We'll see. If he was really that "genetically superior", why did he get a degenerative condition so quickly, when loads of players have ACL injuries don't? The reality is, it is going to get worse. That's a fact. How much worse, isn't. Next year it will be worse than this year, and the year after worse again. We know this. The Rams are fighting for their playoff lives, so they are giving him more touches. They really have to pay him this year and next, and then it's not such an albatross around their neck.Kmani6 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 11, 2019 6:45 am27 touches last week is showing me this injury is not actually getting worse as dramatically as people try to make it out to be. I think people are overreacting terribly to the injury and not realizing that he’s 25 and genetically superior. I think they started him slow and have picked up since, which makes a lot of sense given the capital they have invested into him.FantasyFreak wrote: ↑Wed Dec 11, 2019 4:39 amThe thing is, though, is this injury only gets worse. How long term do you think he can produce? The chances are, next year, his production declines even more from this year, it's just the reality of this situation. I fully expect Henderson to be more involved next year, too. He's never going to get back to where he was a few years ago, and in all likelihood, this year is his new ceiling. I'm not sure how he "bounces back from this season to his old production. Gurley's sophomore year to the next year is not really relevant anymore. The situation is completely different. He was a healthy young RB then, and came into a system that was new and that the NFL wasn't completely ready for. Now Gurley is dealing with a chronic injury, and the NFL has in large part, caught up to McVay's system.Kmani6 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 11, 2019 12:38 amRams Oline = garbage compared to last year. I think Gurley is still nice, and is even a potential buy low, but I guess I’m one of few. Gurley’s sophomore year was way worse production wise/efficiency wise, and the next year he went insane. I get the rams are more cautious now, but I still like him Next year, and I think that’s just better for his long term production. Way better to manage a player this way, then to have a player fall off a cliff like so many RBs do. For a “major injury”, and a terrible oline that has Goff looking like he does, I’ll take his ~1150 yards and 13 TD’s year long projection, and hope he bounces back next year.
If the injury was really as degenerative as people make it out to be over the season the opposite would’ve happened and we’d expect more missed games +receive fewer touches now at the end of the season. The NFL schedule is already brutal for RB’s, but Here we are 3 months in, and Gurley has gotten 27, 20, and 28 touches 3 of his last 4 weeks- that should tell us all something and should be a red flag and tell us more about his chronic degenerative injury - it’s very manageable.
I have watched almost every rams games and basically what I am saying is their o-line has been really way worse than what it was before last year, which is way bigger of a contribution to Gurley’s fantasy production than his injury is in my opinion.
I also didn’t say Gurley would resume his old status, I think you have misinterpreted what I was saying with his sophomore slump. Rookie year he played great, but the o-line really struggled during that sophomore campaign and his numbers look like a total joke/anomaly. The point is that he was able to go from 1200 yards, 6 TDs to 2100 and 19, with the majority of that being line play/whole offensive producing way better in general, which is a pretty big statistical example of a HEALTHY Gurley performing in this way. Therefore, I tried to remove the health factor and explain this.
Gurley has done fairly well, but I still expect this to be his ceiling. Henderson will get more work next year, that's almost a given, and I really don't know how much they can improve their OL by next year. Maybe FA, but they are cap strapped, and rookies don't generally walk in and play extremely well. Especially when they aren't first rounders, and the Rams don't have a first rounder.