Unless he breaks out this yr, I'd rather hedge my bets that he'll be available cheaply next offseason (or right before my trade deadline next reg season). I'm aiming for that sweet spot in the offseason, right after the combine, but before the NFL draft. Everyone gets all jacked for the draft class, but no real situations have changed yet, great time to get deals done imo. Esp with the 2020 class.BigBawseRoss wrote: ↑Fri May 10, 2019 8:23 amthe buy window is now or possibly thru most of this season depending on mariotas struggles. if you plan to wait till everyone knows the situation is gonna change that price wont be what you like. this is sammy all over again but without injuries, the value just doesnt dip hahaJohnny Canuck wrote: ↑Thu May 09, 2019 1:38 pmYah Juju got more balls going his way, but passing volume is part of the situation equation. You can't separate it out. Juju = great situation, CD = garbage situation. Situation is a big part of the equation for fantasy production.BigBawseRoss wrote: ↑Thu May 09, 2019 1:10 pm both dudes going into year 3... also juju got 54 more balls thrown his way last year. i think even 54 more balls from mariota (and not big ben) would have boosted CD a ton.
Juju got more balls thrown his way because he's in a better WR situation, but he also got more balls thrown his way because his play on the dictated it, he stole work from AB, not many guys can do that. CDs play to this point hasn't dictated that he be force fed, if it had, he'd more like a Dhop and succeeding regardless of his QB situation.
CD may be more talented than any of the rookies from 2019, but it's clear as day that his situation is far worse and it will for a few seasons.
He'll be a buy for me next offseason, when his QB hopefully changes, and his value compared to the 2020 draft class hype makes him worth a 2020 2nd.
Imo, Watkins & CD are not comparable, or at least I hope CD doesn't try and take the Watkins path. The path that Watkins has taken to right his trade value ship was like a pinball machine, & FWIW Watkins value did dip (quite a bit actually) but luckily for him Tyreek Hill was doing Tyreek Hill things.