Patrick Mahomes: Natural regression

General talk about Dynasty Leagues.
Huh
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Re: Patrick Mahomes: Natural regression

Postby Huh » Mon Mar 18, 2019 4:29 pm

jetsfan5757 wrote:
Mon Mar 18, 2019 4:13 pm
Huh wrote:
Mon Mar 18, 2019 3:22 pm
I think what is being lost in all of this is that while big td seasons have happened in the past and the rules have changed a lot, no other qb did what Mahomes did last year and it wasn’t particularly close.
What do you mean by this? What did he do that no other QB was ever close to doing before?
Sorry I meant for it to say no other qb tore it up at that level last year.

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Re: Patrick Mahomes: Natural regression

Postby jetsfan5757 » Mon Mar 18, 2019 4:36 pm

Huh wrote:
Mon Mar 18, 2019 4:29 pm
jetsfan5757 wrote:
Mon Mar 18, 2019 4:13 pm
Huh wrote:
Mon Mar 18, 2019 3:22 pm
I think what is being lost in all of this is that while big td seasons have happened in the past and the rules have changed a lot, no other qb did what Mahomes did last year and it wasn’t particularly close.
What do you mean by this? What did he do that no other QB was ever close to doing before?
Sorry I meant for it to say no other qb tore it up at that level last year.
Agree without a doubt
Dynasty League (25 man rosters + 2 IR, non-PPR scoring. QB/3RB/3WR/2TE/K/DB/LB/DL no flex)

QB (1): Brees, Winston, Darnold
RB (3): David Johnson, N. Chubb, D. Guice, D. Henry, T. Coleman, C. Thompson
WR (3): D. Hopkins, D. Adams, J. Smith-Schuster, M. Evans, D.J. Moore, DJ Chark, D. Pettis, P. Williams
TE (2): H. Henry, O.J. Howard, I. Thomas

K (1): Wil Lutz

DB (1): Landon Collins
LB (1): Luke Kuechly
DL (1): JJ Watt

PS: I often don't revisit a thread after posting. Send me a message if you ever want further thoughts on a comment I made.

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Re: Patrick Mahomes: Natural regression

Postby Weknownothing86 » Tue Mar 19, 2019 1:36 pm

Mahomes should still be pretty good but without Hill (if if if I know but I think he did it and will be suspended at the very least) that entire offense wont be the same. Kelce is the most important player aside from Mahomes in that offense but Hill gave it that special something that truly brought it over the top. Hill will be a huge loss and I don't think that can be ignored.
If i have to explain my screen name to you than you dont understand Fantasy Football.

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Re: Patrick Mahomes: Natural regression

Postby ArrylT » Sun Sep 22, 2019 11:36 am

It is likely too certain to tell - but if Mahomes has 1 more TD this week he'll be on pace for 50 TDs.

And even if they bench him for the 2nd half - he's definitely on pace for 5000 yards.
Please speak to clarion contrarion before considering the use of vetos..

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Phaded
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Re: Patrick Mahomes: Natural regression

Postby Phaded » Sun Sep 22, 2019 11:51 am

He's definitely on pace, but I don't really care for what people are on pace for a few weeks in.
Do you want a logical debate?
You are in the wrong place.

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Re: Patrick Mahomes: Natural regression

Postby ArrylT » Sun Sep 22, 2019 12:17 pm

Perhaps, but I am sure his owners are happy he is on pace to repeat last year, than being on pace for strong regression. :)
Please speak to clarion contrarion before considering the use of vetos..

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Re: Patrick Mahomes: Natural regression

Postby Multiple Scorgasms » Sun Sep 22, 2019 12:22 pm

ArrylT wrote:
Sun Sep 22, 2019 11:36 am
It is likely too certain to tell - but if Mahomes has 1 more TD this week he'll be on pace for 50 TDs.

And even if they bench him for the 2nd half - he's definitely on pace for 5000 yards.
He was on pace for 6000 yards before the game and has 350 yards today...

..in the 3rd quarter.

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Re: Patrick Mahomes: Natural regression

Postby #5willalwaysloveyou » Sun Sep 22, 2019 4:35 pm

So he’s only getting better
12 team ppr 1qb

QB: Lamar Jackson, Jared Goff

RB: fournette,Ingram, miles Sanders,
Duke Johnson, Ito Smith,Carlos Hyde, ryquell armstead, jaylen Samuels

WR: DeAndre Hopkins, Devante Adams, Kenny golladay, JJ arcega-whiteside, Tyler Lockett, Mohamed Sanu

TE: George kittle, dallas goedert

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Re: Patrick Mahomes: Natural regression

Postby Pew Dogs » Sun Sep 22, 2019 4:54 pm

Every time I hear the word “regression” my brain responds “rewrite record books”.
12 team, dynasty, ppr, 1RB, 3WR, 1RB/WR

QB P.Mahomes, M.Mariota
RB E.Elliott, D.Freeman, R.Jones, I.Smith, D.Williams, D.Thompson
WR M.Thomas, J.Jones, A.Green, T.Hilton, M.Gallup, D.Parker, M.Valdez-Scantling
TE G.Olsen, J.Akins

QB P.Mahomes
RB S.Barkley, D.Freeman, A.Jones, S.Michel, T.Coleman
WR J.Jones, S.Diggs, K.Golladay, C.Godwin, A.Robinson, M.Gallup, D.Hamilton
TE T.Kelce

QB P.Mahomes
RB E.Elliott, N.Chubb, T.Cohen
WR D.Hopkins, K.Golladay, C.Godwin, S.Shepard, M.Valdez-Scantling, R.Foster, D.Hamilton
TE T.Kelce

QB P.Mahomes
RB L.Fornette, D.Freeman, M.Ingram, G.Edwards
WR D.Moore, T.Boyd, C.Godwin, D.Jackson, J.Washington, A.Calloway, T.Gabriel, J.Gordon, A.Humphries, E.St.Brown
TE J.Doyle, C.Herndon

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Re: Patrick Mahomes: Natural regression

Postby IZigUZag » Sun Sep 22, 2019 6:10 pm

I've been on the regression bandwagon for a while now.

But he's doing this against the best pass defenses in the NFL, without his number 1 option, and elevating people like Demarcus Robinson and rookie speedsters like Mecole Hardman to stud status. I'm done doubting him. He might even be better than peak Aaron Rodgers.

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Re: Patrick Mahomes: Natural regression

Postby mild » Sun Sep 22, 2019 6:14 pm

mild wrote:
Mon Mar 18, 2019 11:49 am
I'm going to enjoy bumping this thread if he just picks right up where he left off.

I think it's reasonable to expect Andy and Pat in Year 2 to have made strides in their scheme, and to have new wrinkles available thanks to his newfound familiarity with running the offense.
Bump :D

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Re: Patrick Mahomes: Natural regression

Postby Jigga94 » Sun Sep 22, 2019 9:09 pm

IZigUZag wrote:
Sun Sep 22, 2019 6:10 pm
I've been on the regression bandwagon for a while now.

But he's doing this against the best pass defenses in the NFL, without his number 1 option, and elevating people like Demarcus Robinson and rookie speedsters like Mecole Hardman to stud status. I'm done doubting him. He might even be better than peak Aaron Rodgers.
Welcome to the show. I don't blame anyone for doubting him a little before. But by now, you have to realize he's special
2QB, 2RB, 3WR, TE, FLEX - PPR - 14 Keepers
QB: Mahomes, Baker, D. Jones, Minshew, Luck (IR)
RB: Sony, D. Freeman, Penny, Mostert, J. Jackson, Snell, Gus
WR: Tyreek, Julio, D.J. Moore, Cooks, Hollywood, C. Davis, MVS, Parris, Dorsett, Preston (IR)
TE: Andrews, Henry, Fant, Irv
2020: 1, 2, 3, 4, 4

2QB, 2RB, 2WR, TE, 3FLEX - PPR - 20 Keepers
QB: Dak, Ryan, Foles, Minshew, Cam (IR)
RB: CMC, Jacobs, Hunt, Penny, J. Samuels, J. Jackson
WR: D.J. Moore, Mike Will, Hollywood, Deebo, C. Davis, MVS, Diontae, Lazard, AB, Parris (IR)
TE: Andrews, Henry, Jonnu, Gesicki
2020: 1, 2, 2
2021: 1, 1, 2, 3

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Re: Patrick Mahomes: Natural regression

Postby Multiple Scorgasms » Mon Sep 23, 2019 4:03 am

Here's a couple stats for you. WOW.

899 yards passing
8 TD

(IN THE FIRST HALF OF GAMES)

When KC goes conservative in the 2nd half to protect a lead* (see below)

296 yards
2 TD

* KC 1st half play mix
Week 1: 8 run/20 pass
Week 2: 8 run/26 pass
Week 3: 8 run/25 pass

KC 2nd half play mix
Week 1: 18 run/14 pass
Week 2: 14 run/18 pass
Week 3: 18 run/12 pass

Just imagine if the D was as bad as last year and they needed to keep passing in the 2nd half. His stats would be absolutely out of this world.

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Re: Patrick Mahomes: Natural regression

Postby ArrylT » Mon Sep 23, 2019 7:25 am

mild wrote:
Sun Sep 22, 2019 6:14 pm
mild wrote:
Mon Mar 18, 2019 11:49 am
I'm going to enjoy bumping this thread if he just picks right up where he left off.

I think it's reasonable to expect Andy and Pat in Year 2 to have made strides in their scheme, and to have new wrinkles available thanks to his newfound familiarity with running the offense.
Bump :D
Apologies for spoiling your thunder. :ewink:
Please speak to clarion contrarion before considering the use of vetos..

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Re: Patrick Mahomes: Natural regression

Postby Jigga94 » Mon Sep 23, 2019 7:44 am

Multiple Scorgasms wrote:
Mon Sep 23, 2019 4:03 am
Here's a couple stats for you. WOW.

899 yards passing
8 TD

(IN THE FIRST HALF OF GAMES)

When KC goes conservative in the 2nd half to protect a lead* (see below)

296 yards
2 TD

* KC 1st half play mix
Week 1: 8 run/20 pass
Week 2: 8 run/26 pass
Week 3: 8 run/25 pass

KC 2nd half play mix
Week 1: 18 run/14 pass
Week 2: 14 run/18 pass
Week 3: 18 run/12 pass

Just imagine if the D was as bad as last year and they needed to keep passing in the 2nd half. His stats would be absolutely out of this world.
I think a lot of people were expecting the D to be worse this year. That's crazy how identical the play calls look
2QB, 2RB, 3WR, TE, FLEX - PPR - 14 Keepers
QB: Mahomes, Baker, D. Jones, Minshew, Luck (IR)
RB: Sony, D. Freeman, Penny, Mostert, J. Jackson, Snell, Gus
WR: Tyreek, Julio, D.J. Moore, Cooks, Hollywood, C. Davis, MVS, Parris, Dorsett, Preston (IR)
TE: Andrews, Henry, Fant, Irv
2020: 1, 2, 3, 4, 4

2QB, 2RB, 2WR, TE, 3FLEX - PPR - 20 Keepers
QB: Dak, Ryan, Foles, Minshew, Cam (IR)
RB: CMC, Jacobs, Hunt, Penny, J. Samuels, J. Jackson
WR: D.J. Moore, Mike Will, Hollywood, Deebo, C. Davis, MVS, Diontae, Lazard, AB, Parris (IR)
TE: Andrews, Henry, Jonnu, Gesicki
2020: 1, 2, 2
2021: 1, 1, 2, 3


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