I was in the camp saying to expect regression. I still do. And I agree that variables like injury (not just Mahomes, but to linemen and skill players) make it impossible to put up 50 TDs every year.Weknownothing86 wrote: ↑Fri Oct 18, 2019 6:33 amAnd this is why you dont bet on a guy getting 50 TDs again. There are way too many variables and injury is one of them. The Brady 2008 injury comes to mind. On paper he was set up to have another great season of possibly 50 plus Tds, then in one play Brady is out for the season. Wasnt himself due partially to recovering from the ACL in 2009, then Moss is gone in 2010 and there goes any hope of 50 Tds.
Mahomes doesnt have an ACL obviously but will most likely miss a few weeks. Missing a few weeks gives him no shot at 50 TDs and who knows if he has the offensive talent around him to throw 50 Tds again next season or any season after that? I hope Mahomes recovers and can be 100 percent, he is a great player and he can go on to have a great career but the whole 50 TD thing again was ridiculous. I dont think he ever does it again in his career. 35+ sure, but not 50, just way too many variables need to go your way for that to happen. I was stunned at the amount of people here and in real life who thought he could do it again.
But I also firmly believe Mahomes will get to 50 again. Not every year. But I'd be shocked it he doesn't do it at least 1 more time. Doing it twice more wouldn't surprise me, but also wouldn't surprise me if he doesn't.
I think the real point of any Mahomes thread should be: is he the QB1 right now in dynasty and is it close. The answers are yes QB1 and no it's not close.
Caveat to above statement is people paying prices for him as if he will get 5,000 and 50 every year. That's just dumb.