2019 Mizelle ADP page is up

[Jigga94]

Rod Smith is pretty high on this list. Do we really think he'll land in a spot where he'll hold that much value? I'm hoping so since I have him stashed...

There is no world in which Rod Smith should go above any of Penny, Drake, Njoku, Howard, Pettis, Ingram, etc..

Had to look to see it for myself... What the... I never understood 1 bit of where the love for him came from

[cmizelle]

Rod Smith is pretty high on this list. Do we really think he'll land in a spot where he'll hold that much value? I'm hoping so since I have him stashed...

There is no world in which Rod Smith should go above any of Penny, Drake, Njoku, Howard, Pettis, Ingram, etc..

Agree. Someone in one of the mocks picked him really high. He isn't even picked at all in the other 5 mocks. Once the drafts are complete I'll make an adjustment to fix this.

[cmizelle]

If you're setting up your own mocks again, I'd be happy to take part!

I appreciate it, but as long as DLF runs their mocks and allow me to access the data, I'll just use theirs. Thanks again.

[IBall2]

Rod Smith is pretty high on this list. Do we really think he'll land in a spot where he'll hold that much value? I'm hoping so since I have him stashed...

There is no world in which Rod Smith should go above any of Penny, Drake, Njoku, Howard, Pettis, Ingram, etc..

Agree. Someone in one of the mocks picked him really high. He isn't even picked at all in the other 5 mocks. Once the drafts are complete I'll make an adjustment to fix this.

Not sure if this is possible or an easy fix, but for every time a player goes undrafted in these mock drafts, can you give them a draft spot of the 230 or something higher than the overall number of players drafted? That would prevent players like Rod Smith who was only drafted once at spot 79 from being shot up the board when really they should be at the very end because they went undrafted in 5 of 6 drafts.

[Phaded]

The top 5 are running backs again - history suggests a couple of those guys are going to come crashing down in an ugly way..

As a Kamara owner- he is probably one of them..

[pvillebiker]

The top 5 are running backs again - history suggests a couple of those guys are going to come crashing down in an ugly way..

As a Kamara owner- he is probably one of them..

Agree on RB's likely to drop. My $'s on Gurley and Zeke.

Gurley if he does have a lingering medical thingy. I'm pretty much discounting the "he forgot how to play" in the playoffs theory. He's averaged 308 touches the last 4 years.

Zeke for potential over-usage. He's averaged 334 touches the last 3 years, even missing 6 games last year! Likely to catch up with him sooner or later. Kamara's only averaged 239 touches over the last 2 years.

Phaded - curious on your thinking about Kamara's crash? My theory continues to be his productivity drops bigly when Brees leaves.

[cmizelle]

Site is updated with the latest. The drafts are complete so this will be the last update until the March drafts. The March update will be post combine.

Not sure if this is possible or an easy fix, but for every time a player goes undrafted in these mock drafts, can you give them a draft spot of the 230 or something higher than the overall number of players drafted? That would prevent players like Rod Smith who was only drafted once at spot 79 from being shot up the board when really they should be at the very end because they went undrafted in 5 of 6 drafts.

@IBall2: I'm going to look into this to see what I can do

[cmizelle]

Not sure if this is possible or an easy fix, but for every time a player goes undrafted in these mock drafts, can you give them a draft spot of the 230 or something higher than the overall number of players drafted? That would prevent players like Rod Smith who was only drafted once at spot 79 from being shot up the board when really they should be at the very end because they went undrafted in 5 of 6 drafts.

I added a new column (Adj Avg2) to handle players going undrafted in the drafts. I assign these players a draft pick of 241 (just outside a 12 team / 20 round draft).

Here is an example of Rod Smith's record with the new column:

Smith, Rod (DAL, RB, Age: 27)
Avg: 147.00
Adj Avg: 147.00 **
Adj Avg2: 209.67 ***
Min: 79
Max: 215
Pick Numbers: 79, 215 (2)
Monthly ADP: Feb: 147.00

** Adj Avg - for players picked 4 or more times, drop the min & max and compute avg
*** Adj Avg 2 - for players not picked in all the drafts add in pick 241 for the non-picked drafts

[cmizelle]

Forgot to mention, you can sort by this new column by changing the "Sort by" value and re-generating the table.

[IBall2]

Thanks! This is a great addition

[remedy29]

So do players ranked 241 till the end share equal ranking?

[cmizelle]

So do players ranked 241 till the end share equal ranking?

I don't understand what you are asking?

[DynastyDabbler]

Thank you for sharing Mizelle. I appreciate the time and effort you put into these rankings.

[ArrylT]

Awesome cmizelle - impressive that you keep find new ways to fine tune it!

[cmizelle]

Awesome cmizelle - impressive that you keep find new ways to fine tune it!

Thanks. I try. If someone makes a suggestion that makes sense (and I'm able to do it), I implement it.