Tyler Lockett had possibly the most efficient season in NFL history.

[ninotoreS]

• perfect 158.3 passer rating on 70 targets, only WR with more than 15 targets to do it since 2002 (start of data)

• best DVOA (minimum 50 targets) since 1986 (start of data)

• highest average yards per target (minimum 60 targets) since 1992 (start of data)

• among wide receivers to see at least 200 targets this past decade, Lockett ranks first overall in WR rating (127.4) (ranks 2 through 5: Jordy Nelson, Tyreek Hill, Michael Thomas, Doug Baldwin)

• went all of 2018 without dropping a pass... only 10 other times this past decade has a wide receiver seen at least 65 targets and finished the season without a drop

• averaged 3.28 PPR fantasy points per target, the most by a wide receiver in any season (of 1,772 qualifying seasons) since targets became a stat in 1992

[FantasyFreak]

Yeah. I cashed out high. No way this gets repeated. I like him, but it was a perfect storm.

[ArrylT]

I guess no one is going to question his contract now.

[dynastyninja]

I've always had this sliver of hope that Lockett would be the next AB if he could just get enough targets. He's in the wrong offense, though, so he'll have to do his damage on fewer targets. Great receiver whose perceived value is lower than his actual value imo.

[ninotoreS]

Yeah. I cashed out high. No way this gets repeated. I like him, but it was a perfect storm.

The efficiency won't repeat. But it won't need to for our purposes if he trades efficiency for more targets in coming seasons.

Still good time to sell him, of course, depending on what you got. If Seattle doesn't throw more next year, then selling now for blue chip is probably wise.

it was a perfect storm

Seems to me Lockett made the most of a light spring rain.

I've always had this sliver of hope that Lockett would be the next AB if he could just get enough targets.

Lockett's good, but he doesn't have AB's arm-length, hand-size, and play-strength (Lockett has decent play-strength, just not AB play-strength).

I guess no one is going to question his contract now.

Only pilloried for having done so, if it's on public record.

[Pullo Vision]

I know he performed well, but that's impressive. Still not comfortable starting him.

[Phaded]

But I do not understand how passer rating is used in favour of the WR? Wouldn't that be more Wilson? That stat would be way different if he had say.. Blake Bortles.

Nonetheless, it was an efficient season but not enough volume for me to trust him in fantasy.

[ninotoreS]

The inference is that the better and more effective the receiver, the more likely it is the passer will complete the pass, gain the yards, score the touchdown. All criteria represented by passer-rating when targeting said receiver. A perfect passer rating on 70 targets also proves the QB is pretty darn good. Can't dismiss the other half of the equation, though.

[Jigga94]

And I still don't believe... Not saying he's bad, just not a player I'll ever own I suppose. My loss?

[Vcize]

Yeah. I cashed out high. No way this gets repeated. I like him, but it was a perfect storm.

The perfect storm would be him actually getting a reasonable number of targets that a player with his efficiency deserves.

[ArrylT]

The inference is that the better and more effective the receiver, the more likely it is the passer will complete the pass, gain the yards, score the touchdown. All criteria represented by passer-rating when targeting said receiver. A perfect passer rating on 70 targets also proves the QB is pretty darn good. Can't dismiss the other half of the equation, though.

Yeah totally. A QB cannot be blamed if his receiver drops everything thrown to him on target, and a WR cannot be blamed if he cannot catch passes thrown out of his radius. I think above all this shows that Lockett & Wilson are building some nice chemistry together.

[Ice]

The inference is that the better and more effective the receiver, the more likely it is the passer will complete the pass, gain the yards, score the touchdown. All criteria represented by passer-rating when targeting said receiver. A perfect passer rating on 70 targets also proves the QB is pretty darn good. Can't dismiss the other half of the equation, though.

Yeah totally. A QB cannot be blamed if his receiver drops everything thrown to him on target, and a WR cannot be blamed if he cannot catch passes thrown out of his radius. I think above all this shows that Lockett & Wilson are building some nice chemistry together.

They really are building a nice chemistry. Wilson is an outstanding QB. Lockett is a player I may have missed on. His future looks bright but still not a player I will invest heavily in due to targets. 80 targets is a huge concern in fantasy but I would buy if I could him cheap enough which seems unlikely.

[dynastyninja]

I think he's a definite buy. He's a guy you can probably get for a 1st that is pretty young and should be a WR2. If he gets more targets then you're looking at very nice production. He's also tied to Russ for a while, so there's going to be a floor there.

[jetsfan5757]

I like him, but he's not a guy I would chase (speaking in general, not just for my team). Depth is pretty easy to find at WR, so I like to swing for the fence and target WRs who have the potential to become fantasy WR1's. I've missed on my share (Doctson, Corey Coleman, Agholor, Parker to name a few), but I am nicely set up with the ones I have hit on.

That said, if you targeted him last season you are REALLY happy. Not trying to knock him as an asset, but sharing my strategy around WRs.

[dynastyninja]

I like him, but he's not a guy I would chase (speaking in general, not just for my team). Depth is pretty easy to find at WR, so I like to swing for the fence and target WRs who have the potential to become fantasy WR1's. I've missed on my share (Doctson, Corey Coleman, Agholor, Parker to name a few), but I am nicely set up with the ones I have hit on.

That said, if you targeted him last season you are REALLY happy. Not trying to knock him as an asset, but sharing my strategy around WRs.

I'm just really high on Lockett I guess, but I think he has a shot at being a WR1 with legitimate target and any sort of shift in SEA towards an air-it-out offense. They have the QB for it.