They had 404 attempts last year, 18th in the league. I think it goes up with Bevel, with everything Patricia and Quinn are saying, call it 420. That'd've been 12th most in the league last year. Let's just start with 404 though, assume it stays constant. 25 a game.WhatWouldDitkaDo wrote: ↑Thu Apr 04, 2019 10:45 am How would you project the DET backfield's stats then if you so vehemently disagree with my projections?
I'd give Kerryon 50%-60% of those. Call it 55%. The leader of a committee. 13.8 a game, 220 total.
I'd give him 5 targets a game, what he was getting after he took over last year. One of two RBs to catch all catchable passes last year. 4 receptions a game, 64 total. You can read what Patricia has said about how they want to use him in the passing game.
220 carries + 60 catches assuming health. 280 touches. Nearly identical with Kamara in 2018.
14 att/g + 4rec/g.
Leaves 11 attempts for CJA and Zenner. Leaves a few rec for Riddick. Leaves them in a RBBC.
At his YPC and YPR from last year, that'd be 1230 rush yards + 400 rec yards. Yards per Carry probably decreases from 5.6. Yards per Rec probably comes up from 6.5. I'd safely keep YPR the same and drop YPC to 4.6 and that's still 1400 total yards.
Big difference from 190 attempts and 50 recs. There's no reason it should be that low when he earned more per game as a rookie.