Anybody Who Doesn't Get Anthony Miller Will Be Missing Out On The Greatest/Cheapest WR In Years

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Anybody Who Doesn't Get Anthony Miller Will Be Missing Out On The Greatest/Cheapest WR In Years

Postby dlf_mikeh » Sat Aug 04, 2018 8:14 am

I love this sub for the discussions & opinions. The topics here have become stagnant for a few days/weeks, so I wanted to create something I thought might be fun for everyone. Feel free to argue below.

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Anthony Miller is Amazing

What makes a WR amazing in the long run? The best and most-successful WRs in the NFL have had similar traits; ability to run precise routes, quickness over speed, durability, and big hands to name a few. Today we need to look at Anthony Miller so I can help you discover the WR you need to own before it's too late.

Durability: This is the easiest one to talk about so let's start here. His injury history consists of two injuries total (LINK). He missed the entire 2014 season with a shoulder injury his freshman year. This happens to a lot of freshmen though. Freshmen aren't used often in games, yet can stay on the team if given an injury designation. If you search for this injury, there's nothing that can be found about it any shoulder injury, and Miller never references it, so it's highly likely that it was minor or even never happened. Second injury: He hurt his foot during his final game at Memphis, which caused him to miss the senior game and not participate in drills at the combine, and also hurt his pro day numbers ever-so-slightly. This put him under the radar even more than he was before.

Hands: If you have small hands, it's hard to catch the ball. If you have large hands, it's easier to catch the ball. Not rocket surgery. Not only are his hands huge (10"), but the guy makes one-handed catches all the time.

Catch 1: https://twitter.com/twitter/statuses/10 ... 8038153216
Catch 2: https://youtu.be/CVf_ptNBzyY?t=24s
Catch 3: https://twitter.com/twitter/statuses/916453145231986689
Catch 4: https://bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnew ... .image.jpg

Picture of Catch 2:
Image

Who does this remind you of? OBJ has 10" hands, stands at 5'11", 200 pounds. Anthony Miller?
10" hands, stands at 5'11", 200 pounds.


Route Running: I'll just leave this part to a site dedicated to studying the metrics of potential NFL stars: ...... Miller’s 85.1 percent success rate vs. zone coverage cleared the 96th percentile among prospects charted over the last three classes. This was an important result given that we’re discussing a likely slot receiver. In the NFL, receivers who primarily line up on the outside see more attempts against man coverage, whereas slot receivers are left to pick through the holes and crevices of zones in the middle of the field. Miller testing out one of the best receivers at getting open against zone coverage is just what you want to see for a player with his projection. (LINK)

Route Tree Success (Green = Good, Red = Bad).
Image

Quickness & Speed: "Memphis WR Anthony Miller (foot) ran the 40-yard dash in an unofficial 4.48 seconds while notching a vertical leap of 39 inches during Tuesday's pro day." It should be noted that Miller was still in his recovery stages when he ran the 40. Here's a recent tweet that shows the quickness he has in his feet: https://twitter.com/AnthonyMiller_3/sta ... 5873661952

Accomplishments:

High School (non-football):
--- The 2013 Tennessee Secondary School Athletic Association (TSSAA) Division II Class AA state 110m hurdles champion (14.44)
--- Undefeated in the 110m hurdles in 2013
--- TSSAA Division II Class AA state runner-up in the long jump (22-11.75)
--- Two-time regional 110m hurdles champion in 2012 and 2013

College:
--- Put together the best season by a receiver in school history (2016)
--- Set school season records for receptions (95), receiving yards (1,434), TD catches (14) and 100-yard receiving games (8)
--- 9th WR in FBS in receiving yards & receiving yards per game (9th) & TD catches (9th)
--- Set school’s single-game receptions record with 15 (169 yards/2 TD) win over No. 18 Houston
--- Caught 12 passes for a school single-game record 250 yards and two TD vs. Tulsa
--- NCAA Consensus All-American (2017)
--- First Team All-America honoree by AFCA, the Associated Press, ESPN, The Athletic's All-American and Phil Steele
--- Second Team All-American by the Football Writers Association of America (FWAA), Sports Illustrated and the Sporting News
--- Named a finalist for the Burlsworth Trophy and a semifinalist for the Biletnikoff Award
--- Holds career, single season and single game records in receiving yards, catches and receiving touchdowns
--- First team all-conference in 2017
--- Miller and Isaac Bruce are the only 2 Memphis 1,000 yard, single season receivers in school history


Article in The Players Tribune written by Anthony Miller to all of the NFL GMs. (LINK). The Bears traded up to take Anthony Miller 51st overall. The Bears have a running game that defenses have to plan for. That leaves the middle of the field wide open, which is where Miller excels.

ARob is an overrated scrub: Here's a quick 2 minute explanation by Rotoworld that explains my point of view pretty well, and why you shouldn't at all be worried about the presence of ARob in the lineup. In fact, this is a gift because most people are under-valuing Miller as a result of ARob's existence, when in fact it should be the other way around.



And last but not least, here is a link to a Vikings-Dedicated website that called Anthony Miller "The Biggest Steal In The Draft" (LINK).

Summary: Anthony Miller is a HARD worker. He was a walk-on at Memphis. He had to work non-stop to make the team and win a starting job. He set multiple school records, and placed near the top in all WR categories in the FBS. His frame, hand size, and route running is eerily similar to OBJ. He's made multiple one-handed catches with ease, so the dude can catch anything near him. He was drafted in the 2nd round of the NFL draft, but also the 2nd round of many Dynasty Rookie Drafts. His value is still extremely low, so this is your LAST SHOT at buying him low before the hype gets insane.

GO GET HIM!
GO GET HIM!
GO GET HIM!
GO GET HIM!

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Re: Anybody Who Doesn't Get Anthony Miller Will Be Missing Out On The Greatest/Cheapest WR In Years

Postby Bot101 » Sat Aug 04, 2018 9:27 am

Hes already over hyped. His owner in my league believes hes already a WR 1.

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Re: Anybody Who Doesn't Get Anthony Miller Will Be Missing Out On The Greatest/Cheapest WR In Years

Postby skip » Sat Aug 04, 2018 9:30 am

Bot101 wrote:
Sat Aug 04, 2018 9:27 am
Hes already over hyped. His owner in my league believes hes already a WR 1.
I don't think he's over-hyped. He's falling into the 2nd round this season in a class that overall is weak at the position. He's just as likely to be the best WR in this class as the handful going ahead of him. He's the only "2nd round player" that I voted for that I'd trade my 2019 1st to obtain. Can't ask for a better combination of talent and opportunity from this class, imo.
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Re: Anybody Who Doesn't Get Anthony Miller Will Be Missing Out On The Greatest/Cheapest WR In Years

Postby Cult of Dionysus » Sat Aug 04, 2018 9:42 am

Think this class will surprise a lot of people. Think there’s 2 to 3 WR1s. Miller, Sutton, Moore all have it. Just got to put it together. Ridley should be a low WR2. And someone else will surprise us all.

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Re: Anybody Who Doesn't Get Anthony Miller Will Be Missing Out On The Greatest/Cheapest WR In Years

Postby alewilliam789 » Sat Aug 04, 2018 10:20 am

Cult of Dionysus wrote:
Sat Aug 04, 2018 9:42 am
Think this class will surprise a lot of people. Think there’s 2 to 3 WR1s. Miller, Sutton, Moore all have it. Just got to put it together. Ridley should be a low WR2. And someone else will surprise us all.
One thing you didn’t mention. Playerprofiler did a study of players to ever have 2 or more 1,000 yard seasons and almost every player had a Dominator Rating of 30% or higher. I think Doug Baldwin was the only outlier. They also showed that above all stats Dominator Rating, Draft Capital, and Speed Score were the stats that were commonalities of successful WRs. Miller has a very good DR (I think highest in the draft), obviously the Bears invested a 2nd Round pick in him, and his lower speed score can be explained away by his hurt foot.

So interesting stuff.
12 Owner 1 PPR (4th Season) 1QB, 2WR, 1RB, 1TE, 1 FLEX, 1K, 1 DEF -- 20 man roster
Record: 7-6
QB - Watson, Prescott, Carr
WR - Courtland Sutton, DJ Moore, AJ Brown, Josh Reynolds, Justin Watson, Andy Isabella, JJ Arcega-Whiteside
RB - Alvin Kamara, Josh Jacobs
TE - T.J. Hockenson, I Thomas, J. Oliver

Picks:
2020-
1.05, 3.06


12 Owner 1 PPR (3rd Season) 1QB, 2WR, 1RB, 1TE, 1 FLEX, 1K, 1 DEF -- 20 man roster
Record: 6-7
QB: Rivers, Wentz, Lock
RB: David Johnson, Mixon, Hyde
WR: Michael Thomas, Amari Cooper, Brandin Cooks, AJ Green, JJ Arcega-Whiteside, Josh Reynolds, Andy Isabella
TE: Kittle, OJ Howard, Chris Herndon

Picks:
2020-
1st and 3rd

12 Owner 1 PPR (1st Season) 1QB 1-3 RB 1-3 WR 1-2 TE
1 K 1D/ST — 20 man rosters
Record: 7-6
QB: Mahomes, Stafford
RB: Chubb, Guice, Penny, Duke Johnson, Darrell Henderson
WR: Landry, Sutton, Marvin Jones, Harry, Crowder, Josh Reynolds
TE: Hooper, Goedert

2020:
2 1st, 1 2nd, 1 3rd Round Picks

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Re: Anybody Who Doesn't Get Anthony Miller Will Be Missing Out On The Greatest/Cheapest WR In Years

Postby FantasyFreak » Sat Aug 04, 2018 11:16 am

The biggest steal of the draft comment means absolutely nothing at this point. That won't be know for years. The thing about Miller that concerns me is he will be 24 in October. He really didn't do all that much until he was 22. Not saying he can't be good, but he is an older prospect, and he needs to get going in the NFL sooner rather than later, so if he doesn't, his trade value immediately dips compared to a guy like Kirk. I'm also not sold on Trubisky, but apparently he's been checking down a lot in camp, so maybe that's a good thing for Miller.
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Re: Anybody Who Doesn't Get Anthony Miller Will Be Missing Out On The Greatest/Cheapest WR In Years

Postby Bot101 » Sat Aug 04, 2018 11:58 am

skip wrote:
Sat Aug 04, 2018 9:30 am
Bot101 wrote:
Sat Aug 04, 2018 9:27 am
Hes already over hyped. His owner in my league believes hes already a WR 1.
I don't think he's over-hyped. He's falling into the 2nd round this season in a class that overall is weak at the position. He's just as likely to be the best WR in this class as the handful going ahead of him. He's the only "2nd round player" that I voted for that I'd trade my 2019 1st to obtain. Can't ask for a better combination of talent and opportunity from this class, imo.
Hes over hyped in the sense hes being valued as a top 12 WR, in my league, after 1 week of practices.

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Re: Anybody Who Doesn't Get Anthony Miller Will Be Missing Out On The Greatest/Cheapest WR In Years

Postby FantasyFreak » Sat Aug 04, 2018 12:12 pm

Bot101 wrote:
Sat Aug 04, 2018 11:58 am
skip wrote:
Sat Aug 04, 2018 9:30 am
Bot101 wrote:
Sat Aug 04, 2018 9:27 am
Hes already over hyped. His owner in my league believes hes already a WR 1.
I don't think he's over-hyped. He's falling into the 2nd round this season in a class that overall is weak at the position. He's just as likely to be the best WR in this class as the handful going ahead of him. He's the only "2nd round player" that I voted for that I'd trade my 2019 1st to obtain. Can't ask for a better combination of talent and opportunity from this class, imo.
Hes over hyped in the sense hes being valued as a top 12 WR, in my league, after 1 week of practices.
Ridiculous. To skips comment, I voted Sutton, I prefer to trade firsts for guys who have a legit shot at becoming an X receiver, not slot guys, personally. Sutton will get that shot next year, and by the looks of it, he'll work into by being the number 3 this year.
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Record: 28-5 Division Champ/League High Scorer/Runner Up

Wentz, Stafford. Driskel
Chubb, Cook, Breida, Ekeler, Penny, James White, D Washington
Evans, Sutton, Woods, Crowder, Agholor, Sanu, , D Robinson, T Taylor
Kittle, Olsen, McDonald, Clay

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Re: Anybody Who Doesn't Get Anthony Miller Will Be Missing Out On The Greatest/Cheapest WR In Years

Postby playa_hata » Sat Aug 04, 2018 1:22 pm

love me some anthony miller man i was able to score some shares of him DIRT cheap. my first rookie draft (superflex league) i ended up getting him in the 3rd round... this was the day after the nfl draft finished up so he was somewhat under the radar at the time but still getting him in the 3rd was stupid.... I only had 1.9 and 3.7 in the draft and was trying to trade with everyone once he was still on the board half way into the 2nd. needless to say i ended up snagging him at 3.7 and have been beyond excited since then.... Also was able to grab a share of him for tyler eifert and mo sanu team was set to win now and needed some depth not sure how i pulled the deaal off but those are my two anth miller shares and i seemed to have scored big time so far....

Just to brag really quick.
12 team PPR SuperFlex start 9 (Same for each team)

TM1
QB: Rodgers, Rivers, Dak, Tyrod
RB: Zeke, CMC, Ingram, Chubb, Dobbins, Mcguire
WR: Davante Adams, Tyreek, Fuller, Pettis, Aj Brown, Ab, Fitz, Hamilton Geronimo, Scantling, Hollins, Jordan Matthews
TE: Ertz, Engram, Vannett, Gates, Watson

TM2
QB: Rodgers, Baker, Stafford, Bridgewater
RB:Kamara, Chubb, Hunt, Singletary Alfred Morris, Ware
WR:M Evans,D Adams,Kupp, AJ brown, lockett, sanders,miller, Callaway, Hamilton, Lasley, D.Robinson, Trey Quinn, Scantling
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Re: Anybody Who Doesn't Get Anthony Miller Will Be Missing Out On The Greatest/Cheapest WR In Years

Postby Space Cowboy » Sat Aug 04, 2018 1:31 pm

Nice post, thanks.

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Re: Anybody Who Doesn't Get Anthony Miller Will Be Missing Out On The Greatest/Cheapest WR In Years

Postby sloth8u » Sat Aug 04, 2018 2:41 pm

i hope your right! i own several shares and if he is the real deal....would complete some wr's corps nicely as a wr1/2 flex....and send me in to contention. i passed on him for gesicki in the hof league because of te need and the loss of landry, and question the decision every time i visit the roster (im in desperate need of wr).

my concerns obviously are the competition and age, not to mention the size. how will he hold up? a "football player" plays football, if the guy is a stud, we are likely to see it immediately based off his age. he is what he is at this point.

i try not to get to excited by metrics...some guys, put it together, some dont. a significant or nagging injury can always derail guys aswell. im optipistic as an owner and like you....think getting him early 2nd in most instances is a nice land and the farther back you get....he's a steal (in terms of prospects).

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Re: Anybody Who Doesn't Get Anthony Miller Will Be Missing Out On The Greatest/Cheapest WR In Years

Postby DJB » Sat Aug 04, 2018 2:50 pm

Great post! Hopefully someone else takes the time do the same on someone else.

Miller's only drawback is his age
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Re: Anybody Who Doesn't Get Anthony Miller Will Be Missing Out On The Greatest/Cheapest WR In Years

Postby AussieMate » Sat Aug 04, 2018 6:07 pm

You lost me when you called arob a scrub..... But seriously I do like Miller, out of the wrs this yr it's Moore, Sutton then Miller and I think he will be a very good slot receiver and a serviceable fantasy player (wr2) with a high floor.

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Re: Anybody Who Doesn't Get Anthony Miller Will Be Missing Out On The Greatest/Cheapest WR In Years

Postby Dynasty DeLorean » Sat Aug 04, 2018 6:15 pm

AussieMate wrote:
Sat Aug 04, 2018 6:07 pm
You lost me when you called arob a scrub.....
I assume he was being facetious.

As for Miller, he's a guy that seems like average or above average. It's always kind of hard to tell how those guys will pan out. Basically if I don't own them they do great, if I own them they are terrible.

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Re: Anybody Who Doesn't Get Anthony Miller Will Be Missing Out On The Greatest/Cheapest WR In Years

Postby dynastyninja » Sat Aug 04, 2018 7:05 pm

Dynasty DeLorean wrote:
Sat Aug 04, 2018 6:15 pm
As for Miller, he's a guy that seems like average or above average. It's always kind of hard to tell how those guys will pan out. Basically if I don't own them they do great, if I own them they are terrible.
This is exactly how I feel


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