It's likely at least 2 more 1st round WR's from the 2015-2017 NFL draft classes will hit. But which ones?

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Re: It's likely at least 2 more 1st round WR's from the 2015-2017 NFL draft classes will hit. But which ones?

Postby Anteaters » Mon Oct 04, 2021 11:13 pm

ArrylT wrote: Mon Oct 04, 2021 7:27 am 1st rounders with 2+ 1k yard seasons

...
Players from the 2nd grouping, that have not reached the target will be listed & monitored for 2021. All players from 1st group have retired and/or reached the goal of 2 1000 yard seasons. Players that are active but have not gotten real actual on-field production (Treadwell, Harry, Bateman etc) will not be added unless further use warrants.
:clap: great stuff. Thanks for compiling it!
TEAM 1:
12 Team ppr w/20 keepers - start 1QB 2RB 3WR 1TE 1FLX 6IDP 1DEF
QB: Tua, Lamar, Levis
RB: Etienne, Pacheco, JavonteWms, JFord, CEH
WR: Lamb, JChase, Waddle, Pickens, Tre Tucker, Q Johnston
TE: Goedert, Friermuth
DEF: Cowboys, Ravens
IDP:(LB) Bolton, Greenlaw; (DE/DL) ZCollins, BJHill; (S/CB) Pitre, Bates, Witherspoon
IR: Mike Williams (WR), Joey Bosa (DL)
2023 & 2022 Champion: 2020 third place: 2019 Champion

TEAM 2:
14 Team 30roster SF/ppr/TEP - QB/RB/WR/TE/5FLX/SF
QB: Tua, CJStroud, Carr, AOC, MWhite, Lock
RB: Etienne, Stevenson, GusE, AJD, Singletary, CEH, Spiller
WR: Amon-Ra, Kirk, Dell, Thielen, Gallup, Ch Jones
TE: Andrews, Waller, Taysom, Smythe, WMallory, JOliver
2023 semifinals loser

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Re: It's likely at least 2 more 1st round WR's from the 2015-2017 NFL draft classes will hit. But which ones?

Postby ArrylT » Tue Oct 05, 2021 8:44 am

Well the original compilation was done by Dynasty Delorean and others have contributed since then as well. I'm simply keeping the study going - and admittedly because I find it very interesting. But I am glad it is useful for others. :) And very curious to see how this year plays out as we have a few unexpected names making noise and a couple of guys whose missing time could seriously affect their 2021 season.
Please speak to clarion contrarion before considering the use of vetos..

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Re: It's likely at least 2 more 1st round WR's from the 2015-2017 NFL draft classes will hit. But which ones?

Postby ArrylT » Mon Nov 01, 2021 10:05 am

All stats provided by Pro-Football Reference

subsequent updates Weeks XII & XVI with final results after the season (Week XVIII).

Pace is determined, unless otherwise mentioned by dividing yardage by # of games played and then multiplying by 16 & 17 game seasons. Some alteration may occur depending on the players # of games.

Cordarelle Patterson
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 7
333 Receiving Yards
47.57 yard / game average
16 game pace = 761
17 game pace = 809
Pace decreased

Sammy Watkins
Previous 1000 yard Season? Yes (2015)
Games Played: 5*
292 Receiving Yards
58.40 yard / game average
16 game pace = 818
17 game pace = 876
Pace decreased

Devante Parker
Previous 1000 yard Season? Yes (2019)
Games Played: 5*
327 Receiving Yards
65.40 yard / game average
16 game pace = 850
17 game pace = 916
Per game Pace increased
Overall pace decreased

Nelson Agholor
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 8
355 Receiving Yards
44.38 yard / game average
16 game pace = 710
17 game pace = 754
Pace increased

Will Fuller
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
https://thespun.com/more/top-stories/do ... ill-fuller
Doesnt seem likely he'll play much in 2021 so scrubbed for 2021.

Mike Williams
Previous 1000 yard Season? Yes (2019)
Games Played: 7
517 Receiving Yards
73.86 yard / game average
16 game pace = 1182
17 game pace = 1256
Pace decreased

Corey Davis
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 6
349 Receiving Yards
58.17 yard / game average
16 game pace = 931
17 game pace = 989
Pace decreased

Calvin Ridley
Previous 1000 yard Season? Yes (2020)
Games Played: 5*
281 Receiving Yards
56.20 yard / game average
16 game pace = 787
17 game pace = 843
Pace decreased
Note: Ridley is expected to miss more time due to personal health but pace is based on if he played

Marquise Brown
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 7
566 Receiving Yards
80.86 yard / game average
16 game pace = 1294
17 game pace = 1375
Pace unchanged

Justin Jefferson
Previous 1000 yard Season? Yes (2020)
Games Played: 7
563 Receiving Yards
80.43 yard / game average
16 game pace = 1287
17 game pace = 1367
Pace slightly decreased

Jerry Jeudy
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 2*
111 Receiving Yards
55.50 yard / game average
16 game pace = 555
17 game pace = 611

CeeDee Lamb
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 7
609 Receiving Yards
87.00 yard / game average
16 game pace = 1392
17 game pace = 1479
Pace large increase

Henry Ruggs
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 7
469 Receiving Yards
67.00 yard / game average
16 game pace = 1072
17 game pace = 1139
Pace slightly decreased

Brandon Aiyuk
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 7
141 Receiving Yards
20.15 yard / game average
16 game pace = 322
17 game pace = 343
Pace increased

Jalen Reagor
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 8
165 Receiving Yards
20.63 yard / game average
16 game pace = 330
17 game pace = 351
Pace decreased

Ja'Marr Chase
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 8
786 Receiving Yards
98.25 yard / game average
16 game pace = 1572
17 game pace = 1670
Pace large increase

Jaylen Waddle
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 8
413 Receiving Yards
51.63 yard / game pace
16 game pace = 826
17 game pace = 877
Pace slightly increased

DeVonta Smith
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 8
421 Receiving Yards
52.63 yard / game pace
16 game pace = 843
17 game pace = 895
Pace decreased

Kadarius Toney
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 7
343 Receiving Yards
49.00 yard / game pace
16 game pace = 784
17 game pace = 833
Pace large increase


* - pace determined by # of games played added to potential number of games played
Example: Watkins played in 5 of 7 Games. So 17 - 2 games missed or 16 - 2 games missed equals pace
Please speak to clarion contrarion before considering the use of vetos..

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Re: It's likely at least 2 more 1st round WR's from the 2015-2017 NFL draft classes will hit. But which ones?

Postby ArrylT » Tue Nov 02, 2021 8:38 am

Updated to include MNF results
Please speak to clarion contrarion before considering the use of vetos..

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Re: It's likely at least 2 more 1st round WR's from the 2015-2017 NFL draft classes will hit. But which ones?

Postby mild » Tue Nov 02, 2021 12:56 pm

Cordarelle Patterson is an interesting one. I know this is a WR thread... but as an all-round weapon, he's definitely primed to clear 1000 total scrimmage yards this season.

It won't count towards this thread's metric, though - which is a shame! He's quite the story.

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Re: It's likely at least 2 more 1st round WR's from the 2015-2017 NFL draft classes will hit. But which ones?

Postby ArrylT » Wed Dec 01, 2021 9:24 pm

All stats provided by Pro-Football Reference

Final results after the season (Week XVIII).

Pace is determined, unless otherwise mentioned by dividing yardage by # of games played and then multiplying by 16 & 17 game seasons. Some alteration may occur depending on the players # of games.

Cordarelle Patterson
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 10 / 11
500 Receiving Yards
50.00 yard / game average
15 game pace = 750
16 game pace = 800
Pace stable

Sammy Watkins
Previous 1000 yard Season? Yes (2015)
Games Played: 8 / 11
355 Receiving Yards
44.38 yard / game average
13 game pace = 577
14 game pace = 621
Pace decreased

Devante Parker
Previous 1000 yard Season? Yes (2019)
Games Played: 5 / 12
323 Receiving Yards
65.40 yard / game average
9 game pace = 589
10 game pace = 654
Pace decreased

Nelson Agholor
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 12 / 12
416 Receiving Yards
34.67 yard / game average
16 game pace = 555
17 game pace = 589
Pace decreased

Will Fuller
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
https://thespun.com/more/top-stories/do ... ill-fuller
Doesnt seem likely he'll play much in 2021 so scrubbed for 2021.

Mike Williams
Previous 1000 yard Season? Yes (2019)
Games Played: 11 / 11
744 Receiving Yards
67.64 yard / game average
16 game pace = 1082
17 game pace = 1150
Pace decreased

Corey Davis
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 8 / 11
477 Receiving Yards
59.63 yard / game average
13 game pace = 775
14 game pace = 835
Per game pace stable but overall pace decreased

Calvin Ridley
Previous 1000 yard Season? Yes (2020)
Scrubbed due to lost season due to taking time away from NFL

Marquise Brown
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 10 / 11
770 Receiving Yards
77.00 yard / game average
15 game pace = 1155
16 game pace = 1232
Pe game Pace unchanged

Justin Jefferson
Previous 1000 yard Season? Yes (2020)
2021 has reached 1000 yards - 1027 currently


Jerry Jeudy
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 5 / 11
253 Receiving Yards
50.60 yard / game average
10 game pace = 506
11 game pace = 557
Pace unchanged

CeeDee Lamb
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 10 / 11
740 Receiving Yards
74.00 yard / game average
15 game pace = 1110
16 game pace = 1184
Pace decreased

Henry Ruggs
Scrubbed - no further comment needed

Brandon Aiyuk
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 11
432 Receiving Yards
39.27 yard / game average
16 game pace = 628
17 game pace = 668
Pace increased

Jalen Reagor
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 12
201 Receiving Yards
16.75 yard / game average
16 game pace = 268
17 game pace = 284
Pace decreased

Ja'Marr Chase
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 11
906 Receiving Yards
82.36 yard / game average
16 game pace = 1317
17 game pace = 1400
Pace decreased

Jaylen Waddle
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 12
759 Receiving Yards
63.25 yard / game pace
16 game pace = 1012
17 game pace = 1075
Pace increased

DeVonta Smith
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 12
686 Receiving Yards
57.16 yard / game pace
16 game pace = 915
17 game pace = 972
Pace increased

Kadarius Toney
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 9 / 11
392 Receiving Yards
43.55 yard / game pace
14 game pace = 610
15 game pace = 653
Pace decreased

Rashod Bateman
Previous 1000 Yard Season? No
Games Played: 6 / 11
301 Receiving Yards
50.16 yard / game pace
11 game pace = 552
12 game pace = 602
Please speak to clarion contrarion before considering the use of vetos..

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Re: It's likely at least 2 more 1st round WR's from the 2015-2017 NFL draft classes will hit. But which ones?

Postby Anteaters » Fri Dec 03, 2021 8:48 pm

thanks for all the research!
TEAM 1:
12 Team ppr w/20 keepers - start 1QB 2RB 3WR 1TE 1FLX 6IDP 1DEF
QB: Tua, Lamar, Levis
RB: Etienne, Pacheco, JavonteWms, JFord, CEH
WR: Lamb, JChase, Waddle, Pickens, Tre Tucker, Q Johnston
TE: Goedert, Friermuth
DEF: Cowboys, Ravens
IDP:(LB) Bolton, Greenlaw; (DE/DL) ZCollins, BJHill; (S/CB) Pitre, Bates, Witherspoon
IR: Mike Williams (WR), Joey Bosa (DL)
2023 & 2022 Champion: 2020 third place: 2019 Champion

TEAM 2:
14 Team 30roster SF/ppr/TEP - QB/RB/WR/TE/5FLX/SF
QB: Tua, CJStroud, Carr, AOC, MWhite, Lock
RB: Etienne, Stevenson, GusE, AJD, Singletary, CEH, Spiller
WR: Amon-Ra, Kirk, Dell, Thielen, Gallup, Ch Jones
TE: Andrews, Waller, Taysom, Smythe, WMallory, JOliver
2023 semifinals loser

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Re: It's likely at least 2 more 1st round WR's from the 2015-2017 NFL draft classes will hit. But which ones?

Postby thebeast » Sat Dec 04, 2021 3:44 pm

ArrylT wrote: Wed Dec 01, 2021 9:24 pm All stats provided by Pro-Football Reference

Final results after the season (Week XVIII).

Pace is determined, unless otherwise mentioned by dividing yardage by # of games played and then multiplying by 16 & 17 game seasons. Some alteration may occur depending on the players # of games.

Cordarelle Patterson
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 10 / 11
500 Receiving Yards
50.00 yard / game average
15 game pace = 750
16 game pace = 800
Pace stable

Sammy Watkins
Previous 1000 yard Season? Yes (2015)
Games Played: 8 / 11
355 Receiving Yards
44.38 yard / game average
13 game pace = 577
14 game pace = 621
Pace decreased

Devante Parker
Previous 1000 yard Season? Yes (2019)
Games Played: 5 / 12
323 Receiving Yards
65.40 yard / game average
9 game pace = 589
10 game pace = 654
Pace decreased

Nelson Agholor
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 12 / 12
416 Receiving Yards
34.67 yard / game average
16 game pace = 555
17 game pace = 589
Pace decreased

Will Fuller
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
https://thespun.com/more/top-stories/do ... ill-fuller
Doesnt seem likely he'll play much in 2021 so scrubbed for 2021.

Mike Williams
Previous 1000 yard Season? Yes (2019)
Games Played: 11 / 11
744 Receiving Yards
67.64 yard / game average
16 game pace = 1082
17 game pace = 1150
Pace decreased

Corey Davis
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 8 / 11
477 Receiving Yards
59.63 yard / game average
13 game pace = 775
14 game pace = 835
Per game pace stable but overall pace decreased

Calvin Ridley
Previous 1000 yard Season? Yes (2020)
Scrubbed due to lost season due to taking time away from NFL

Marquise Brown
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 10 / 11
770 Receiving Yards
77.00 yard / game average
15 game pace = 1155
16 game pace = 1232
Pe game Pace unchanged

Justin Jefferson
Previous 1000 yard Season? Yes (2020)
2021 has reached 1000 yards - 1027 currently


Jerry Jeudy
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 5 / 11
253 Receiving Yards
50.60 yard / game average
10 game pace = 506
11 game pace = 557
Pace unchanged

CeeDee Lamb
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 10 / 11
740 Receiving Yards
74.00 yard / game average
15 game pace = 1110
16 game pace = 1184
Pace decreased

Henry Ruggs
Scrubbed - no further comment needed

Brandon Aiyuk
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 11
432 Receiving Yards
39.27 yard / game average
16 game pace = 628
17 game pace = 668
Pace increased

Jalen Reagor
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 12
201 Receiving Yards
16.75 yard / game average
16 game pace = 268
17 game pace = 284
Pace decreased

Ja'Marr Chase
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 11
906 Receiving Yards
82.36 yard / game average
16 game pace = 1317
17 game pace = 1400
Pace decreased

Jaylen Waddle
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 12
759 Receiving Yards
63.25 yard / game pace
16 game pace = 1012
17 game pace = 1075
Pace increased

DeVonta Smith
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 12
686 Receiving Yards
57.16 yard / game pace
16 game pace = 915
17 game pace = 972
Pace increased

Kadarius Toney
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 9 / 11
392 Receiving Yards
43.55 yard / game pace
14 game pace = 610
15 game pace = 653
Pace decreased

Rashod Bateman
Previous 1000 Yard Season? No
Games Played: 6 / 11
301 Receiving Yards
50.16 yard / game pace
11 game pace = 552
12 game pace = 602
These are awesome updates! Thanks DD for kicking this off and thanks ArrylT for the ongoing updates!

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Re: It's likely at least 2 more 1st round WR's from the 2015-2017 NFL draft classes will hit. But which ones?

Postby ArrylT » Mon Jan 10, 2022 1:28 pm

All stats provided by Pro-Football Reference

Final results

Pace is determined, unless otherwise mentioned by dividing yardage by # of games played and then multiplying by 16 & 17 game seasons. Some alteration may occur depending on the players # of games.

Cordarelle Patterson
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 16 of 17
548 Receiving Yards
618 Rushing Yards
1166 Yards from Scrimmage (539 higher than previous best)

Sammy Watkins
Previous 1000 yard Season? Yes (2015)
Games Played: 13 of 17
394 Receiving Yards

Devante Parker
Previous 1000 yard Season? Yes (2019)
Games Played: 10 of 17
515 Receiving Yards

Nelson Agholor
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 15 of 17
473 Receiving Yards

Will Fuller
Scrubbed

Laquon Treadwell
Previous 1000 yard season? No
Games Played: 12 of 17
434 Receiving Yards

Mike Williams
Previous 1000 yard Season? Yes (2019)
Games Played: 16 of 17
1146 Receiving Yards
Now has 2 1000 Yard seasons - deemed success.
First hit from the 2017 class


Corey Davis
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 9 of 17
492 Receiving Yards

Calvin Ridley
Previous 1000 yard Season? Yes (2020)
Scrubbed due to lost season due to taking time away from NFL

Marquise Brown
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 16 of 17
1008 Yards
1/2 way to success

Justin Jefferson
Previous 1000 yard Season? Yes (2020)
1616 Yards (200+ increase over 2020)
First hit of the 2020 Class


Jerry Jeudy
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 10 of 17
467 Receiving Yards

CeeDee Lamb
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 16 of 17
1102 Receiving Yards
1/2 to success

Henry Ruggs
Scrubbed - no further comment needed

Brandon Aiyuk
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 17 of 17
826 Receiving Yards (increase of 78 from 2020)

Jalen Reagor
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 17 of 17
299 Receiving Yards

Ja'Marr Chase
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 17 of 17
1455 Receiving Yards
1/2 to success

Jaylen Waddle
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 16 of 17
1015 Receiving Yards
1/2 to success

DeVonta Smith
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 17 of 17
916 Receiving Yards

Kadarius Toney
Previous 1000 yard Season? No
Games Played: 10 of 17
420 Receiving Yards

Rashod Bateman
Previous 1000 Yard Season? No
Games Played: 12 of 17
515 Receiving Yards
Please speak to clarion contrarion before considering the use of vetos..

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Re: It's likely at least 2 more 1st round WR's from the 2015-2017 NFL draft classes will hit. But which ones?

Postby Dynasty DeLorean » Mon Jan 10, 2022 2:25 pm

Thanks Arry. Mike Willy!!!

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Re: It's likely at least 2 more 1st round WR's from the 2015-2017 NFL draft classes will hit. But which ones?

Postby jordanzs » Mon Jan 10, 2022 4:03 pm

To answer the original question of this post.....Treadwell just mildly hit out of nowhere. And he was drafted in round 1 of the 2016 draft.

Will 2022 be the year of Corey Coleman & Josh Doctson?

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Re: It's likely at least 2 more 1st round WR's from the 2015-2017 NFL draft classes will hit. But which ones?

Postby ArrylT » Tue Jan 11, 2022 9:00 am

jordanzs wrote: Mon Jan 10, 2022 4:03 pm To answer the original question of this post.....Treadwell just mildly hit out of nowhere. And he was drafted in round 1 of the 2016 draft.

Will 2022 be the year of Corey Coleman & Josh Doctson?
Oops completely forgot to list Treadwell. :oops: :lol:
Please speak to clarion contrarion before considering the use of vetos..

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Re: It's likely at least 2 more 1st round WR's from the 2015-2017 NFL draft classes will hit. But which ones?

Postby Jigga94 » Tue Jan 11, 2022 6:54 pm

ArrylT wrote: Tue Jan 11, 2022 9:00 am
jordanzs wrote: Mon Jan 10, 2022 4:03 pm To answer the original question of this post.....Treadwell just mildly hit out of nowhere. And he was drafted in round 1 of the 2016 draft.

Will 2022 be the year of Corey Coleman & Josh Doctson?
Oops completely forgot to list Treadwell. :oops: :lol:
Ehh 434 yards doesn't change much. He's a bust

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Re: It's likely at least 2 more 1st round WR's from the 2015-2017 NFL draft classes will hit. But which ones?

Postby ArrylT » Wed Jan 12, 2022 2:55 pm

Jigga94 wrote: Tue Jan 11, 2022 6:54 pm
ArrylT wrote: Tue Jan 11, 2022 9:00 am
jordanzs wrote: Mon Jan 10, 2022 4:03 pm To answer the original question of this post.....Treadwell just mildly hit out of nowhere. And he was drafted in round 1 of the 2016 draft.

Will 2022 be the year of Corey Coleman & Josh Doctson?
Oops completely forgot to list Treadwell. :oops: :lol:
Ehh 434 yards doesn't change much. He's a bust
Very true, but I was able to plug him into several of my lineups and he provided WR2/3 production for a few weeks. I'd say he is at least back on the discussion on whether he should be rostered in deeper leagues (28+). Dont think he'll ever get a 1000 yard season, but principle wise I had to add him since he still qualifies.
Please speak to clarion contrarion before considering the use of vetos..


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