Devante Parker

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flashgordon12
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Re: Devante Parker

Postby flashgordon12 » Mon May 29, 2017 3:05 pm

2018 1st is worth the gamble for a guy like parker. Even if he's "only" your WR3, if he breaks out like many think he will he'd easily increase in value. And then you can just sell him if he's still your lowly WR3
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Re: Devante Parker

Postby Dingram » Mon May 29, 2017 3:13 pm

StableOfRBs wrote: Mon May 29, 2017 1:18 pm
GLSmk wrote: Mon May 29, 2017 1:09 pm
StableOfRBs wrote: Mon May 29, 2017 1:02 pm just did a price check for him in my league and the guy wanted a late 1st, hard pass
I may be biased as an owner, but I mean, who are you going to get in that range that is "better" than Parker? Ross? Kamara? dude, I'd roll with Parker and be happy it only cost me a late 1st.
team is in my sig, he wouldn't be more than a WR3 for me and he means for next year (we're currently doing our draft right now and it's round 5) I took Njoku with the 2.02 and it's TE premium league, rather have him than Parker by far
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Vcize
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Re: Devante Parker

Postby Vcize » Mon May 29, 2017 4:46 pm

flashgordon12 wrote: Mon May 29, 2017 3:05 pm 2018 1st is worth the gamble for a guy like parker. Even if he's "only" your WR3, if he breaks out like many think he will he'd easily increase in value. And then you can just sell him if he's still your lowly WR3
If Parker doesn't breakout this year his value will tank.
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FiremanEd
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Re: Devante Parker

Postby FiremanEd » Mon May 29, 2017 6:36 pm

Perhaps, though Moncrief seems to be holding steady still...

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thebeast
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Re: Devante Parker

Postby thebeast » Mon May 29, 2017 6:49 pm

Landry is a very good WR and his skills match better with Tanehills comfort zone so the offense will likely continue to run through him. Parker has an opportunity to be a good WR2 this season, but he needs to stay on the field.

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Re: Devante Parker

Postby Jason3123 » Mon May 29, 2017 8:19 pm

Been pounding the table for Parker for a while on these boards. Miami threw the ball a ridiculously low 477 times last season. Parker maintained a 19% market share regardless of who played QB. He should easily clear 100 targets this year and if he can get into the 120+ range we'll really be talking about a massive breakout.

I recently bought him for the 1.07.

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Re: Devante Parker

Postby StableOfRBs » Mon May 29, 2017 8:24 pm

Jason3123 wrote: Mon May 29, 2017 8:19 pm Been pounding the table for Parker for a while on these boards. Miami threw the ball a ridiculously low 477 times last season. Parker maintained a 19% market share regardless of who played QB. He should easily clear 100 targets this year and if he can get into the 120+ range we'll really be talking about a massive breakout.

I recently bought him for the 1.07.
https://twitter.com/MikeClayNFL/status/ ... 7706526721 these are Mike Clay's projections for the entire Miami passing offense this year and I can't really argue with any of them, don't see Parker getting more than 100-110 targets on the season, at a 66% catch rate he's gonna have to be over 15 YPR or he's gonna be pretty close to last years numbers
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Re: Devante Parker

Postby Jason3123 » Mon May 29, 2017 9:06 pm

501 attempts would still be well below the league average for a 2nd consecutive year. That would mean Miami would be a 10 win team again. I would bet against that. They were a fluky 10 win team last season as is. Ajayi getting 288 carries seems pretty optimistic as well. They will have to throw more.

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Re: Devante Parker

Postby Meretc01 » Mon May 29, 2017 11:57 pm

You guys talk about a breakout year.. what's considered a breakout? 1000 yds 10 tds?
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Re: Devante Parker

Postby BuckeyeNation » Tue May 30, 2017 12:05 am

Meretc01 wrote: Mon May 29, 2017 11:57 pm You guys talk about a breakout year.. what's considered a breakout? 1000 yds 10 tds?
Seems fair, TDs may be a bit high. I was going to say something like 1100/8.
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Re: Devante Parker

Postby dlf_jules » Tue May 30, 2017 7:43 am

Jason3123 wrote: Mon May 29, 2017 9:06 pm 501 attempts would still be well below the league average for a 2nd consecutive year. That would mean Miami would be a 10 win team again. I would bet against that. They were a fluky 10 win team last season as is. Ajayi getting 288 carries seems pretty optimistic as well. They will have to throw more.
Indeed, the 2016 Dolphins ranked 32nd in total offensive plays, more than 100 plays below the league average. That seems anomalous for Gase: even the lowly 2015 Bears were middle of the pack. But this is his first run as HC, not OC, so we'll see.
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Re: Devante Parker

Postby _yeti » Tue May 30, 2017 8:10 am

Tannehill is death to deep threats.

I still remember Mike Wallace's surprise WR2 season in Miami (his first there). He had been known as someone who could only be a deep threat and then had a WR2 year on all midrange routes. I remember time and time again he would beat the coverage deep only for Tannehill to sail it 5 yards out of bounds.
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Re: Devante Parker

Postby 49ersFaithful80 » Tue May 30, 2017 8:33 am

I guess I don't like him as much as you do because he's done absolutely nothing in the first 2 years of his career. I don't consider a long TD here or there and a 56/744/4 receiving line last year as having proved anything.

His owner's would have told you a couple years back that he definitely would be the clear-cut WR1 on the Dolphins at this point in his career.

But Jarvis Landry outproduced him in every way last year and Miami has made it clear they want to re-sign him.

There's definitely a lot of potential there but up until this point it's been all hype and zero production.

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Re: Devante Parker

Postby kadun2 » Tue May 30, 2017 8:46 am

Here's a crazy thought:
Maybe they are talking up Parker so they can trade him, and maybe they have been talking negatively about Caroo to motivate him because they really like his fit. They already payed for the deep threat Stills.
The thought of Parker on a team with a cannon-arm QB is a dream...probably just a dream :)

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Re: Devante Parker

Postby WhatWouldDitkaDo » Tue May 30, 2017 9:06 am

Jason3123 wrote: Mon May 29, 2017 8:19 pm Been pounding the table for Parker for a while on these boards. Miami threw the ball a ridiculously low 477 times last season. Parker maintained a 19% market share regardless of who played QB. He should easily clear 100 targets this year and if he can get into the 120+ range we'll really be talking about a massive breakout.

I recently bought him for the 1.07.
Sure, I think MIA throws a bit more. But at the same time, I think they do want to run as much as they can assuming Jay Ajayi and the offensive line stay healthy. That was their formula to relieve pressure off Ryan Tannehill and the somewhat shaky defense. Also, they kept Kenny Stills around, and Tannehill seems to have developed decent chemistry with him. Julius Thomas could also siphon away some red-zone targets from Parker. Even if Parker develops, it's still a relatively capped target share in an offense that wants to run a lot.
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