Drew Lock Trade Value

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tresskid84
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Drew Lock Trade Value

Postby tresskid84 » Mon Apr 13, 2020 7:50 am

Took over a Fish Safe League Team 3 days after the start-up auction started (almost 100 guys were already sold/off the board including most of the rbs, lol). After a week or so of making moves, heres what the team looks like (Safe League #287 . . . 12tm Superflex, 2pt TE prem):

QBs: Wentz, Mayfield, Lock
RBs: Conner, Henderson & M Brown, Cohen, Z Moss, B Love, Scarbrough, D Anderson
WRs: C Sutton, McLaurin, Hollywood Brown, M Williams, Diontae, Reagor, Higgins, Shenault, A Miller, H Butler, Collin Johnson, G Ward
TEs: M Andrews, Hock, Olsen, F Moreau
2021 Picks:
Three 1st Rounders
Two 2nd Rounders

I want to trade Lock, what value range of player should I be looking at (12tm sf, 2pt TE prem). Are names like Gallup, CEH, Montomery, Kerryon, or future 1s the right range? Going by startup adp data ive accumulated it appears close, but adp's can also be highly variable.

Any suggestions? Am I on the right track with that valuation?
2021-Orphan Rebuild, 12tm PPR, SF, 1.75 TE Prem
2 SF, 8 Flex

QB: Baker, Tyrod, Rudolph, Heinicke, Wolford, Fromm
RB: Z Moss, J Williams, Kerryon, R Freeman, Adams, Scarbrough, R Smith
WR: Washington, Renfrow, Deonte Harris, T Cleveland, R Ridley, E St Brown, M Lee
TE: Everett, Rudolph, Reed, F Moreau, Fumagalli
2021 Picks: 1.04, 1.05, 1.08, 1.10, 2.07, 2.08, 2.12, 3.09, 4.02, 4.09
2022 Pick: my 1, a playoff team's 1, my 2, 3, and 4

16tm PPR, SF, 1.5pr TE, DEVY:
1 QB, 1 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 SF, 3 Flex
Draft is rookies and devy (only 2022 NFL eligible)

QB: Lawrence(D), Fields(D)
RB: Sanders, D Harris, B Scott, Ty Johnson, Adams, Scarbrough, Love, Etienne(D), K Brooks(D)
WR: McLaurin, Shenault, T Higgins, Isabella, Johnson (TB), Johnson (LAC), A Tate, Chase(D), Waddle(D), D Smith(D), Wallace(D)
TE: Sternberger, Moreau, Hu Bryant, Warring, Oliver, Freiermuth(D), Jordan(D), Kolar(D)
2021 Picks:
4-1sts (1.01, 1.07, 1.09, 1.12)
2-2nds (2.01, 2.03)

Dirty Mike&the Boys
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Re: Drew Lock Trade Value

Postby Dirty Mike&the Boys » Mon Apr 13, 2020 9:21 am

I would sit tight and hold Lock, as he showed quite a bit of promise towards the end of last season. If he were to break out this year, he could jump Mayfield in value...Lock is in a good situation in Denver imho.

My personal rule of thumb in superflex formatting is to hold 3 starters at all times, and you currently have that. (FWIW I own Kerryon in one of my leagues and if the Lock owner came to me offering him for Kerryon, I would jump all over that immediately).

Use your picks to build out the rest of your roster (specifically RB). I like what you have going at WR, Sutton, McLaurin, Hollywood have all shown promise to be a WR2 or possibly better. You also have plenty of prospects in Reagor, Higgins, Shenault, A Miller. Your TE situation is OK, and the prospects aren't game changing at the position this draft. Maybe see if you can trade for a guy like Herndon for dirt cheap to be your 2nd TE prospect.

I would invest two of those first rd picks in RB and the other in WR, unless you have Burrows fall into your lap.
12 TEAM SUPERFLEX est. 2018 | 25 Man Rosters
QB - | Rodgers | Herbert | Stafford | Darnold
RB - CMC | Chubb | Dobbins | K Johnson | Ahmed
WR - Evans | C Ridley | McLaurin | Deebo | B Edwards | Gabriel Davis | Tyler Johnson | Lazard | David Moore | Mooney | Guyton
TE - M Andrews | Hockenson | Herndon | Sample
2021 Picks: 1st, 2nd, 3rd

tresskid84
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Re: Drew Lock Trade Value

Postby tresskid84 » Mon Apr 13, 2020 9:52 am

Dirty Mike&the Boys wrote:
Mon Apr 13, 2020 9:21 am
I would sit tight and hold Lock, as he showed quite a bit of promise towards the end of last season. If he were to break out this year, he could jump Mayfield in value...Lock is in a good situation in Denver imho.

My personal rule of thumb in superflex formatting is to hold 3 starters at all times, and you currently have that. (FWIW I own Kerryon in one of my leagues and if the Lock owner came to me offering him for Kerryon, I would jump all over that immediately).

Use your picks to build out the rest of your roster (specifically RB). I like what you have going at WR, Sutton, McLaurin, Hollywood have all shown promise to be a WR2 or possibly better. You also have plenty of prospects in Reagor, Higgins, Shenault, A Miller. Your TE situation is OK, and the prospects aren't game changing at the position this draft. Maybe see if you can trade for a guy like Herndon for dirt cheap to be your 2nd TE prospect.

I would invest two of those first rd picks in RB and the other in WR, unless you have Burrows fall into your lap.
Sitting on him is probably wise, I just am not the biggest fan of his, haha. Acquired him as value filler in order to snag Sutton.

Also, the picks are all 2021 picks. Its not a devy league, all the rookies were included in the startup auction, though that is my hope for next year, haha.
2021-Orphan Rebuild, 12tm PPR, SF, 1.75 TE Prem
2 SF, 8 Flex

QB: Baker, Tyrod, Rudolph, Heinicke, Wolford, Fromm
RB: Z Moss, J Williams, Kerryon, R Freeman, Adams, Scarbrough, R Smith
WR: Washington, Renfrow, Deonte Harris, T Cleveland, R Ridley, E St Brown, M Lee
TE: Everett, Rudolph, Reed, F Moreau, Fumagalli
2021 Picks: 1.04, 1.05, 1.08, 1.10, 2.07, 2.08, 2.12, 3.09, 4.02, 4.09
2022 Pick: my 1, a playoff team's 1, my 2, 3, and 4

16tm PPR, SF, 1.5pr TE, DEVY:
1 QB, 1 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 SF, 3 Flex
Draft is rookies and devy (only 2022 NFL eligible)

QB: Lawrence(D), Fields(D)
RB: Sanders, D Harris, B Scott, Ty Johnson, Adams, Scarbrough, Love, Etienne(D), K Brooks(D)
WR: McLaurin, Shenault, T Higgins, Isabella, Johnson (TB), Johnson (LAC), A Tate, Chase(D), Waddle(D), D Smith(D), Wallace(D)
TE: Sternberger, Moreau, Hu Bryant, Warring, Oliver, Freiermuth(D), Jordan(D), Kolar(D)
2021 Picks:
4-1sts (1.01, 1.07, 1.09, 1.12)
2-2nds (2.01, 2.03)

tresskid84
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Re: Drew Lock Trade Value

Postby tresskid84 » Mon Apr 13, 2020 12:21 pm

Ended up trading Lock and Z Moss for a future 1 and 2.
2021-Orphan Rebuild, 12tm PPR, SF, 1.75 TE Prem
2 SF, 8 Flex

QB: Baker, Tyrod, Rudolph, Heinicke, Wolford, Fromm
RB: Z Moss, J Williams, Kerryon, R Freeman, Adams, Scarbrough, R Smith
WR: Washington, Renfrow, Deonte Harris, T Cleveland, R Ridley, E St Brown, M Lee
TE: Everett, Rudolph, Reed, F Moreau, Fumagalli
2021 Picks: 1.04, 1.05, 1.08, 1.10, 2.07, 2.08, 2.12, 3.09, 4.02, 4.09
2022 Pick: my 1, a playoff team's 1, my 2, 3, and 4

16tm PPR, SF, 1.5pr TE, DEVY:
1 QB, 1 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 SF, 3 Flex
Draft is rookies and devy (only 2022 NFL eligible)

QB: Lawrence(D), Fields(D)
RB: Sanders, D Harris, B Scott, Ty Johnson, Adams, Scarbrough, Love, Etienne(D), K Brooks(D)
WR: McLaurin, Shenault, T Higgins, Isabella, Johnson (TB), Johnson (LAC), A Tate, Chase(D), Waddle(D), D Smith(D), Wallace(D)
TE: Sternberger, Moreau, Hu Bryant, Warring, Oliver, Freiermuth(D), Jordan(D), Kolar(D)
2021 Picks:
4-1sts (1.01, 1.07, 1.09, 1.12)
2-2nds (2.01, 2.03)

RockandRollJames
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Re: Drew Lock Trade Value

Postby RockandRollJames » Mon Apr 13, 2020 3:09 pm

I own Lock and would trade for any 1st round pick this year. Maybe an early 2nd.

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WhatWouldDitkaDo
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Re: Drew Lock Trade Value

Postby WhatWouldDitkaDo » Mon Apr 13, 2020 6:28 pm

tresskid84 wrote:
Mon Apr 13, 2020 12:21 pm
Ended up trading Lock and Z Moss for a future 1 and 2.
Moss has been getting some and mocked to BAL by some. It's okay value, but I probably would've held Lock and Moss unless those picks are projected to be pretty early.
Kittles Pox | Championships: 2015, 2017
12-Team PPR | QB, 2RB, 2WR, TE, W/R/T, K, DST
QB: Kyler Murray, Aaron Rodgers
RB: Christian McCaffrey, Melvin Gordon, James Conner, Phillip Lindsay, Tevin Coleman, Boston Scott, Benny Snell Jr.
WR: Tyreek Hill, Mike Evans, Cooper Kupp, Michael Gallup, Christian Kirk
TE: George Kittle, Travis Kelce | K: Younghoe Koo | DST: SF
PS: Mecole Hardman, Tony Pollard | 2020 Picks: 1.09, 2.10, 3.03 | 2021 Picks: 1st, 2nd

blemly
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Re: Drew Lock Trade Value

Postby blemly » Tue Apr 14, 2020 10:00 am

I know you've already made the deal, but for others coming to this thread looking for a gauge on his value I recently sold him in a SF league: Lock + 2.01 + 2.11 for Ekeler + N. Harry + 3.07.
Team 1: 12-team 0.5 PPR/1.0 PP1D:
QB: Dak, Cousins, Darnold
RB: CMC, Mixon, Gibson, Guice, Freeman, Cohen, Coleman
WR: DK, Chark, Diontae, Samuel, Hollywood, Shepard, Mims
TE: Hurst, Albert O, Knox
2020: 1, 2

Team 2: 14-team PPR SF TE Prem:
QB: Wilson, Rivers, Foles, Mullens
RB: Mixon, Jacobs, Gibson, Hines, Guice
WR: DJM, Chark, Kupp, Landry, Renfrow
TE: Gesicki, Njoku

Team 3: 12-team PPR SF:
QB: Watson, Rodgers, Cam
RB: Kamara, Jacobs, Dobbins, Hunt
WR: Hill, AJB, McLaurin, Woods, Perriman, Shenault
TE: Gesicki, OJH

Team 4 (Rebuild): 12-team PPR SF TE Prem
QB: Watson, Stafford
RB: Dobbins, Swift, Akers, Gibson
WR: Lamb, Diontae, Pittman, Mims, Shenault, Campbell, Shepard
TE: Knox, Jarwin, Trautman
2021: 1,1,2,2

Team 5 (Rebuild): 12-team PPR SF:
QB: Dak, Lock
RB: Sanders, Dobbins, Guice, Pollard
WR: Sutton, DJM, Edwards, Kirk, Campbell, Mims, Hamler
TE: Herndon, Gesicki
2021: 1,1,1,1, 2, 2

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Servo
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Re: Drew Lock Trade Value

Postby Servo » Wed Apr 15, 2020 7:34 am

I believe Lock was a mid to late 2nd rounder in SF/2QB drafts last year and I don't think he did a ton to significantly "increase" his value...maybe at most someone trades is a late first for the guy if you have no shot at Tua/Burrow/Herbert.

On the subject of holding him, Lock has a lot of talent around him now: Sutton, Fant, Lindsay, Gordon and there are mocks out there saying they'll draft another WR "relatively" high.
Trucking Through The Fantasy Mud, One Year At a Time.

12-Man, 0.5PPR, Superflex, Start 9
2016 - Runner Up
2017 - Champion
2018 - Champion
2019 - lol


Mahomes, Stafford, Lock, Mariota, Tyrod
Dobbins, D. Williams, Mostert, Kerryon, B. Hill, Hines, Love, Laird, Perine NYJ
Hopkins, Allen, Thielen, Mims, Cooks, Fitz, Perriman, Ross
Kelce, Kittle


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