Search found 1576 matches

by jenkins.math
Mon Dec 16, 2019 10:52 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: So...what is the point of trading?
Replies: 64
Views: 3070

Re: So...what is the point of trading?

Mind elaborating, please? Where is the "significant disadvantage"? Two of my best teams are built 95-99% through the draft and free agency. One is going to win a 3rd straight chip this year. I just see no advantage to trading other than the enjoyment of getting a shiny new toy, and when l...
by jenkins.math
Sun Dec 15, 2019 4:19 pm
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Is Jameis Winston a Starting QB
Replies: 473
Views: 18160

Re: Is Jameis Winston a Starting QB

Careful, I made this comparison a while ago and people jumped down my throat. Comparing any QB's stats today to those close to 2 decades ago is silly and irresponsible considering the changes made to offenses and the passing game. Irresponsible? C'mon man :roll: Would you have preferred irrelevant,...
by jenkins.math
Sun Dec 15, 2019 12:45 pm
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Is Jameis Winston a Starting QB
Replies: 473
Views: 18160

Re: Is Jameis Winston a Starting QB

Nothing has changed that would affect the TD to INT ratio though. Only total numbers are affected by time, not ratios Yet Interception % is down league wide in comparison to 2001. All while completion percentage and attempts are up. So your ratios have actually changed, and changed in a way that sh...
by jenkins.math
Sun Dec 15, 2019 12:20 pm
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Is Jameis Winston a Starting QB
Replies: 473
Views: 18160

Re: Is Jameis Winston a Starting QB

Careful, I made this comparison a while ago and people jumped down my throat. Comparing any QB's stats today to those close to 2 decades ago is silly and irresponsible considering the changes made to offenses and the passing game. Nothing has changed that would affect the TD to INT ratio though. On...
by jenkins.math
Sun Dec 15, 2019 10:19 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Is Jameis Winston a Starting QB
Replies: 473
Views: 18160

Re: Is Jameis Winston a Starting QB

What has changed about throwing interceptions? Peyton has notoriously had very little help throughout his career in terms of defense and a run game - you could say the exact same about Jameis. WRs being able to run across the middle without worrying about getting blown up and alligator arming a bal...
by jenkins.math
Sun Dec 15, 2019 9:49 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Is Jameis Winston a Starting QB
Replies: 473
Views: 18160

Re: Is Jameis Winston a Starting QB

First 67 career starts: Peyton Manning 17,190 yards, 117 TDs, 84 INTs, 61% completion rate, 85.4 passer rating Jameis Winston: 18,399 yards, 111 TDs, 78 INTs, 61% completion rate, 86.9 passer rating Careful, I made this comparison a while ago and people jumped down my throat. Comparing any QB's sta...
by jenkins.math
Sun Dec 15, 2019 6:13 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Lamar Jackson is the best QB in the NFL & Fantasy
Replies: 2002
Views: 73816

Re: Lamar Jackson is the best QB in the NFL & Fantasy

The issue in the argument for Lamar going forward is that both camps can be correct. Lamar should improve as a QB going forward, but this could be the best FF season he ever has. Take Cam Newton. His 2nd best FF season was his rookie year with his best being his MVP season. Most would say Cam improv...
by jenkins.math
Wed Dec 11, 2019 12:29 pm
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Week 14 Discussion
Replies: 293
Views: 9862

Re: Week 14 Discussion

as i said earlier, i don't give a funk about the percentage of conversion and its variance: let the head coach assess his chances and feed them to the analyst, who could also do some calculations for every percentage and say which is the minimum one needed for the trick to work, so we don't really ...
by jenkins.math
Wed Dec 11, 2019 9:37 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Week 14 Discussion
Replies: 293
Views: 9862

Re: Week 14 Discussion

The data is based on 2-point conversion rates over the history of the NFL. By this point, the sample size should be large enough to be statistically significant. no, because the sample is not homogeneous: if you sample the heights of man and women from around the world in the past century, that's h...
by jenkins.math
Wed Dec 11, 2019 8:05 am
Forum: Dynasty Team Advice
Topic: Diggs or Juju
Replies: 6
Views: 243

Re: Diggs or Juju

I would take Juju over Diggs, but I've never been a big Diggs fan. Diggs has always been overrated to me and is a guy that I wish I could buy him for what he is actually worth and then immediately turn around and sell him for what people think he is worth. Im giving all the pass catchers in Pitt a m...
by jenkins.math
Wed Dec 11, 2019 6:50 am
Forum: Dynasty Team Advice
Topic: OBJ or DJ Moore
Replies: 55
Views: 2144

Re: OBJ or DJ Moore

Why does it matter though? Moore is succeeding with a below average QB in an offense that is on track to give 400+ touches to CMC. I doubt his QB/coach situation is going to get materially worse than that. Also I think other factors besides talent need to be taken into consideration. Moore is 4.5 y...
by jenkins.math
Tue Dec 10, 2019 7:35 pm
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: 1.01 value
Replies: 56
Views: 2414

Re: 1.01 value

As of right now I don't think there is a huge difference between Taylor and Swift but that all changes if one of them goes to KC (or any other landing spot you find enticing).
by jenkins.math
Tue Dec 10, 2019 3:52 pm
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Is Raheem Mostert SF's RB1 Moving Forward?
Replies: 94
Views: 3801

Re: Is Raheem Mostert SF's RB1 Moving Forward?

I don't think anyone is getting an early 2nd for Mostert This Mostert's value is almost entirely in the next 2 games, and the majority of leagues you aren’t allowed to trade anymore. He has no value compared to a draft pick as soon as the fantasy season is over. If he plays well to end the season, ...
by jenkins.math
Tue Dec 10, 2019 9:55 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Week 14 Discussion
Replies: 293
Views: 9862

Re: Week 14 Discussion

Poking my head back in to this thread to comment on the PAT vs 2pt conversion. PROv3’s posts are all spot on. That is all. Yes Prov3's analysis is correct. But as I've learned both here and in daily life, most people are mathematically clueless and do not understand anything beyond basic arithmetic...
by jenkins.math
Tue Dec 10, 2019 7:23 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Will Ryan Tannehill be a Starting NFL QB in 2020?
Replies: 327
Views: 7871

Re: Will Ryan Tannehill be a Starting NFL QB in 2020?

The Titans can save 10 million in cap space by cutting both Dion Lewis and Delanie Walker, which I would expect the Titans to do. Rumor has it around Nashville that the Titans havent even discussed an extension with Henry so perhaps they aren't planning on paying him big money? No idea, but remember...