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by OhCruelestRanter
Sat Jul 27, 2019 8:42 pm
Forum: Help Wanted - League Openings or Owners Needed
Topic: 12 team, 3 divisions, 22 man roster, $100 buy in. Jackpot for year 5. TE premium.
Replies: 11
Views: 386

Re: 12 team, 3 divisions, 22 man roster, $100 buy in. Jackpot for year 5. TE premium.

Is it still only 22 man rosters? I’d absolutely be down if it was deeper but 22 is really shallow for superflex.
by OhCruelestRanter
Wed Jul 10, 2019 3:30 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Thoughts On Mariota??
Replies: 145
Views: 5071

Re: Thoughts On Mariota??

Imagine still making fantasy football decisions on whether or not you think a player has “killer instinct” in 2019.

Mariota has been a QB2 each of the last 3 years, but has a QB3 ADP. He has the best receiving options of his career. He’s an easy buy low in Superflex startups.
by OhCruelestRanter
Sat Jun 29, 2019 1:34 pm
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Tyreek Hill
Replies: 823
Views: 36514

Re: Tyreek Hill

Considering recent outcomes among all related cases, I’d be very surprised if Hill pursues a lengthy appeal for anything less than a year long ban.

If he got 6, I wouldn’t be surprised if he appealed trying to get it to 4, but I’d be shocked if he took it to the courts ala Zeke.
by OhCruelestRanter
Tue Jun 25, 2019 4:01 pm
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Tyreek Hill
Replies: 823
Views: 36514

Re: Tyreek Hill

I have a feeling that those expecting certainty after Wednesday's NFL interviews with Tyreek are likely to be disappointed. It'll take longer. Almost always does. And if they do rule that quickly, it means they have confidence in their decision. Since the child protective investigation is still ong...
by OhCruelestRanter
Sun Jun 09, 2019 7:11 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: 2019 Running Back Report
Replies: 134
Views: 9236

Re: 2019 Running Back Report

Dunno anything about player profiler... What's the reason for Richardson? That’s kind of the problem- two really disparate prospects projected for the same very specific outcome, retrospectively, despite reaching that outcome for different reasons. I don't have a problem with that. He could have br...
by OhCruelestRanter
Sun Jun 09, 2019 5:16 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: 2019 Running Back Report
Replies: 134
Views: 9236

Re: 2019 Running Back Report

Lord_Varys wrote:
Sun Jun 09, 2019 4:48 am
Dunno anything about player profiler...

What's the reason for Richardson?
That’s kind of the problem- two really disparate prospects projected for the same very specific outcome, retrospectively, despite reaching that outcome for different reasons.
by OhCruelestRanter
Fri Jun 07, 2019 7:25 pm
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: 2019 Running Back Report
Replies: 134
Views: 9236

Re: 2019 Running Back Report

IR1 wrote:
Fri Jun 07, 2019 7:18 pm
My understanding of these reports is not so much you’ll hit on a pick but more that you’ll avoid a miss. Focus more on who not to draft vs who to draft?
I agree, and that’s what makes not disclosing how the model somehow identified T-Rich’s short career even more concerning.
by OhCruelestRanter
Fri Jun 07, 2019 7:16 pm
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: 2019 Running Back Report
Replies: 134
Views: 9236

Re: 2019 Running Back Report

Hmm, well based on DDs response and his critics response I guess I didn’t have a handle on this. Oh well. I still think it’s an interesting endeavor, the stat/measurement driven approach can be useful. And this being a free forum, cheers to OP for presenting it. Not that the critics don’t have a va...
by OhCruelestRanter
Fri Jun 07, 2019 5:46 pm
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Tyreek Hill
Replies: 823
Views: 36514

Re: Tyreek Hill

Holy bleep. https://sportsnaut.com/2019/06/report-i ... hill-case/ The idea that Crystal Espinal has factitious disorder imposed on another (formerly Munchausen's by proxy) is bleep nuts and incredibly sad. Munchausen's by proxy been renamed? Why? That new name is awkward asf. DSM5, I guess. Appare...
by OhCruelestRanter
Fri Jun 07, 2019 5:38 pm
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: 2019 Running Back Report
Replies: 134
Views: 9236

Re: 2019 Running Back Report

I don’t feel a need to make a long post about it, but I do want to comment on “overfitting” and accusations of wildly changing the formula as he goes. Isn’t that kinda the point anyways? Tweak and work it out, with the goal of making it as useful a predictive tool as possible? The problem with over...
by OhCruelestRanter
Fri Jun 07, 2019 3:18 pm
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: 2019 Running Back Report
Replies: 134
Views: 9236

Re: 2019 Running Back Report

I don’t feel a need to make a long post about it, but I do want to comment on “overfitting” and accusations of wildly changing the formula as he goes. Isn’t that kinda the point anyways? Tweak and work it out, with the goal of making it as useful a predictive tool as possible? The problem with over...
by OhCruelestRanter
Fri Jun 07, 2019 2:52 pm
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: 2019 Running Back Report
Replies: 134
Views: 9236

Re: 2019 Running Back Report

Maybe I could ask the question in a way that's not so upsetting. I think that claiming that a model would correctly have identified Trent Richardson as a bust is an extraordinary claim. As long as I've been playing dynasty fantasy football, he's been one of, if not the biggest busts. Saying that you...
by OhCruelestRanter
Fri Jun 07, 2019 11:37 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: 2019 Running Back Report
Replies: 134
Views: 9236

Re: 2019 Running Back Report

I’m pretty sure the troll in question is me. I think, if your work is so hard to defend that your response to criticism of how you do your analysis is to just call people trolls, then your work isn’t worth much. Still waiting to hear about how the model that has Derrius Guice in Tier 1 and Trent Ric...
by OhCruelestRanter
Fri Jun 07, 2019 10:18 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Minicamp rumblings/standouts
Replies: 239
Views: 14748

Re: Minicamp rumblings/standouts

Seems logical. Old vets with their roster spot secure like AP are trying to preserve their bodies at this point so generally they take it easy at OTAs, Thompson's ankle is tender so he's taking it easy too, Guice is still rehabbing, Love is inactive. So it sounds like the competition for the accola...