Gap between Burrow and Caleb?

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Mr. Wizard
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Gap between Burrow and Caleb?

Postby Mr. Wizard » Thu Mar 14, 2024 7:13 am

I’ve got Burrow and eyeing Caleb. The 1.01 holder is open to a Burrow swap. I am a Bears fan and just won the championship so feeling a little fast and loose with the homerism. Would it be bonkers to do this swap given Burrow is the sure thing, or are there any concerns with Burrow’s durability?

Basically I’m aware any trade with Burrow is probably “losing the trade,” I’m more asking if I’m completely off my rocker for considering shooting the shot.
12 Team RealitySportsOnline League, Half-PPR, TEP, Half-PPFD

1QB, 2HB, 3WR, 1TE, 2FLX, 1SFX **Years under contract in parentheses. Two extensions and one franchise tag available per year.**

QB: Mahomes (2), Williams (5), Young (3)
HB: Saquon (3), Gibbs (4), Henry (1), Hunt (1), Mattison (1)
WR: Chase (3), Tyreek (4), Kupp (3), Aiyuk (4), Pierce (2)
TE: Kelce (2)
IR:
Future Picks: 2024 2.12, 3.12, 3.6, 3.12 -- 2025 no picks -- 2026 2nd 3rd 4th
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12 Team Dynasty League, Half-PPR
1QB, 2HB, 3WR, 1TE, 1FLX, 1 SFX

QB: Hurts, Prescott, Geno
HB: Bijan, Taylor, Achane, Swift, Herbert, Brian Robinson
WR: AJB, Allen, Nuk, Jeudy, Cooks, Dotson, Shakir, Bourne, Davis, Moore
TE: Hockenson, Knox, Johnson, Otton
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dynastyfootballer
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Re: Gap between Burrow and Caleb?

Postby dynastyfootballer » Thu Mar 14, 2024 7:16 am

i’d want a mid first on top. caleb could be anything, we know what burrow is
All leagues: 12 Team Superflex PPR: 1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, 1 FLEX, 1 SF

Team 1:

QB: Mahomes, Dak, Tua, Jimmy G.
RB: Bijan, JT, Hall, Mostert, Dobbins, McKinnon
WR: AJB, Diggs, Godwin, Reed, K. Allen, M. Mims, Osborn
TE: Hockenson, Kincaid

2024 picks: 1.08, 3.01, 3.03, 3.06, 3.10, 3.11
2025 picks: 1st, 1st, 2nd

Team 2:

QB: Mahomes, Lamar, Dobbs, DTR
RB: Bijan, Hall, R. White, Herbert, Dowdle
WR:Olave, DK, Reed, Theilen, Wicks, E. Moore, Bateman,, Reynolds
TE: Pitts, Everett

2024 picks: 3rd

Team 3:

QB: Stroud, Dak, Tlaw, Levis
RB: Bijan, Gibbs, ETN, Pollard, Javonte, Chandler
WR:Lamb, ARSB, Aiyuk, Adams, JSN, Dotson, Watson, E. Moore
TE: Laporta, Pitts, Ferguson, Chig

2024 picks: 1.10, 2.06, 2.09, 3.01, 4.11, 4.12

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Re: Gap between Burrow and Caleb?

Postby Prison_Mike » Thu Mar 14, 2024 7:43 am

I just don't see any reason to (aside from the homerism), unless you're getting a + to do so

You've got a good team but I think you're taking on too much risk if you don't get something back. Young has a tough hill to climb as your QB3. And while I don't expect Caleb to bust, I would imagine there will be growing pains. If he DOES bust, you've got no 1sts the next few years to address it

That said, I don't know how your league contract structure plays into al this

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Re: Gap between Burrow and Caleb?

Postby Anteaters » Thu Mar 14, 2024 8:00 am

"Value" wise, today, this is probably at least 1.01+late1st for Burrow.

Productivity wise, I think this ends up being Caleb worth Burrow+early1st when we look at it in retrospect.
TEAM 1:
12 Team ppr w/20 keepers - start 1QB 2RB 3WR 1TE 1FLX 6IDP 1DEF
QB: Tua, Lamar, Levis
RB: Etienne, Pacheco, JavonteWms, JFord, CEH
WR: Lamb, JChase, Waddle, Pickens, MWilliams, Q Johnston
TE: Goedert, Friermuth
DEF: Cowboys, Ravens
IDP:(LB) Bolton, Greenlaw; (DE/DL) ZCollins, BJHill; (S/CB) Pitre, Bates, Witherspoon
2023 & 2022 Champion: 2020 third place: 2019 Champion

TEAM 2:
14 Team 30roster SF/ppr/TEP - QB/RB/WR/TE/5FLX/SF
QB: Tua, CJStroud, Carr, AOC, MWhite, Lock
RB: Etienne, Stevenson, GusE, AJD, Singletary, CEH, Spiller
WR: Amon-Ra, Kirk, Dell, Thielen, Gallup, Ch Jones
TE: Andrews, Waller, Taysom, Smythe, WMallory, JOliver
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Re: Gap between Burrow and Caleb?

Postby TheTroll » Thu Mar 14, 2024 8:34 am

Anteaters wrote: Thu Mar 14, 2024 8:00 am "Value" wise, today, this is probably at least 1.01+late1st for Burrow.

Productivity wise, I think this ends up being Caleb worth Burrow+early1st when we look at it in retrospect.
I see them as neck and neck right now if you through out the fact Caleb hasnt thrown a pass in the NFL yet. LOL

I like the added late first though too.
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1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 Flex, 1 TE, K, Def

QB: Love, Goff, Fields
RB: Bijan, Montgomery, Kamara, Ford, K Herbert, Zeke, Mattison
WR: Jefferson, Olave, London, Ridley, Sutton, Shaheed
TE: Kincaid, Kittle, Freiermuth
K: Tucker, Sanders
DEF: CLE

Taxi: Charbs, K Mitchell, Demercado, QJ, D Douglas, W Robinson, Hooker

Picks
2024: 1.03, 3.06, 3.09, 4.09
2025: 2, 3, 3, 3, 4, 5
2026: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Team 2
Dynasty 10 team, 22 man roster + 6 Taxi, PPR, SF and TEP
1QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 Flex, 1 S Flex

QB: Allen, Goff, Watson, Jones
RB: K Williams, B Robinson, Chubb, Ford, Mostert, A Gibson, Dillon, Pierce, Zeke
WR: Olave, T Hill, Addison, D Adams, C Watson, D Johnson, G Davis, OBJ
TE: Kincaid, Kmet, Goedert

Taxi: Willis, DTR, Mims, K Miller, Demercado, Vaughn

Picks
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2025: 1, 3, 4, 5
2026: 1, 2, 2, 3, 4, 5

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Mr. Wizard
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Re: Gap between Burrow and Caleb?

Postby Mr. Wizard » Thu Mar 14, 2024 11:22 am

Anteaters wrote: Thu Mar 14, 2024 8:00 am "Value" wise, today, this is probably at least 1.01+late1st for Burrow.

Productivity wise, I think this ends up being Caleb worth Burrow+early1st when we look at it in retrospect.
This is basically what I’m mulling. I’m aware I’m losing value, but may I stand to long term profit? Maybe. Am I being a massive homer in advance? Also maybe!

Appreciate everyone’s thoughts.
12 Team RealitySportsOnline League, Half-PPR, TEP, Half-PPFD

1QB, 2HB, 3WR, 1TE, 2FLX, 1SFX **Years under contract in parentheses. Two extensions and one franchise tag available per year.**

QB: Mahomes (2), Williams (5), Young (3)
HB: Saquon (3), Gibbs (4), Henry (1), Hunt (1), Mattison (1)
WR: Chase (3), Tyreek (4), Kupp (3), Aiyuk (4), Pierce (2)
TE: Kelce (2)
IR:
Future Picks: 2024 2.12, 3.12, 3.6, 3.12 -- 2025 no picks -- 2026 2nd 3rd 4th
--
12 Team Dynasty League, Half-PPR
1QB, 2HB, 3WR, 1TE, 1FLX, 1 SFX

QB: Hurts, Prescott, Geno
HB: Bijan, Taylor, Achane, Swift, Herbert, Brian Robinson
WR: AJB, Allen, Nuk, Jeudy, Cooks, Dotson, Shakir, Bourne, Davis, Moore
TE: Hockenson, Knox, Johnson, Otton
IR:
Future Picks: 2024 3.02, 3.10, 3.11 -- 2025 2nd 3rd -- 2026 1st, 2nd, 3rd

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Shortie
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Re: Gap between Burrow and Caleb?

Postby Shortie » Thu Mar 14, 2024 5:41 pm

Burrow is a sure thing. You have to know that going into it or you wouldn’t be asking.

But it’s OK to be a homer and enjoy fantasy. If Caleb hits big, you’ll be so happy you did. The value not so far off that if you made the trade that you’d be hurting. So have a little fun if you want.


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