Postby Anteaters » Tue Feb 27, 2024 3:59 am
Valhalla wrote: ↑Mon Feb 26, 2024 10:18 pmI suppose one take-away is...maybe almost every super stud falls into a certain range because most of the guys that tall fall into that BMI range
That was my assumption without seeing the numbers. Now that you've collected the data (thanks) it sort of confirms my assumption.
I did not doubt that most of the better fantasy tall WRs fell within the "good" range you designated. I did wonder if that was a range the good
and bad tall WRs fell into. And since it is, it's kind of futile to use it as a determining factor when choosing which rookie WR to target.
It seems there is not enough data to determine if MHJr's supposed lower-than-average BMI is going to be a detriment to his career. Sure, some fantasy managers can fall back on the old trope of "too skinny" and avoid MHJr like some avoided Devonta a couple of years ago. But considering how Devonta has performed so far, I'm not sure we have enough information to determine BMI matters all that much for a WR, very tall or not so tall.
OTOH, if some one is determined to use this information to find an edge, I suppose 27.0 could be targeted as a sweet spot. More than that BMI and about 35% of tall rookie WRs have good fantasy careers. Less than that number and about 8.5% of tall rookie WRs succeed. [I did not use the players listed at exactly 27.0 in either count]
I won't be using that 27.0bmi cutoff, but an argument could be built around that figure.
Valhalla wrote: ↑Mon Feb 26, 2024 10:18 pmbut a BMI of 25 still makes me uncomfortable when I'm expecting a super stud. Especially if Randy was really 210...cause that would make Marvin Harrison Jr. the new lowest outlier if he's truly 6'4" 205.
I'm targeting tall WRs with a BMI 30.0+. I want a Greg (not so) Little type guy to put up a great season. Who is that guy in this draft? I'm targeting him everywhere!
TEAM 1:
12 Team ppr w/20 keepers - start 1QB 2RB 3WR 1TE 1FLX 6IDP 1DEF
QB: Tua, Lamar, Levis
RB: Etienne, Pacheco, JavonteWms, JFord, CEH
WR: Lamb, JChase, Waddle, Pickens, MWilliams, Q Johnston
TE: Goedert, Friermuth
DEF: Cowboys, Ravens
IDP:(LB) Bolton, Greenlaw; (DE/DL) ZCollins, BJHill; (S/CB) Pitre, Bates, Witherspoon
2023 & 2022 Champion: 2020 third place: 2019 Champion
TEAM 2:
14 Team 30roster SF/ppr/TEP - QB/RB/WR/TE/5FLX/SF
QB: Tua, CJStroud, Carr, AOC, MWhite, Lock
RB: Etienne, Stevenson, GusE, AJD, Singletary, CEH, Spiller
WR: Amon-Ra, Kirk, Dell, Thielen, Gallup, Ch Jones
TE: Andrews, Waller, Taysom, Smythe, WMallory, JOliver
2023 semifinals loser
