Durham Smythe, TE MIA

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Anteaters
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Re: Durham Smythe, TE MIA

Postby Anteaters » Mon Sep 18, 2023 10:35 am

I haven't changed my mind but I feeling good about my cautiously optimistic outlook on Smythe. In a TEP league, I'd be thrilled if he ended up with Schultz level production.

I was low-key predicting Smythe would have a good week 2 game. Belichick always takes away what an offense likes most and I figured Bill would scheme a way to reduce the usage of Tyreek and Waddle. I felt there was a chance, in that scenario, for Smythe to receive a lot of targets. That possibility fell apart when Bill didn't have enough hi-quality DBs to shut down Waddle, and Mostert had a monster game.

But the volume Smythe is receiving is enough to provide a chance for a mini-breakout. I could see 600 yards this season. Not mindblowing breakout, but block-by-block building a better than expected season. Right now, better for TEP/2TE than regular TE scoring, but worth a stash either way if the rosters are deep enough.
TEAM 1:
12 Team ppr w/20 keepers - start 1QB 2RB 3WR 1TE 1FLX 6IDP 1DEF
QB: Tua, Lamar, Levis
RB: Etienne, Pacheco, JavonteWms, JFord, CEH
WR: Lamb, JChase, Waddle, Pickens, MWilliams, Q Johnston
TE: Goedert, Friermuth
DEF: Cowboys, Ravens
IDP:(LB) Bolton, Greenlaw; (DE/DL) ZCollins, BJHill; (S/CB) Pitre, Bates, Witherspoon
2023 & 2022 Champion: 2020 third place: 2019 Champion

TEAM 2:
14 Team 30roster SF/ppr/TEP - QB/RB/WR/TE/5FLX/SF
QB: Tua, CJStroud, Carr, AOC, MWhite, Lock
RB: Etienne, Stevenson, GusE, AJD, Singletary, CEH, Spiller
WR: Amon-Ra, Kirk, Dell, Thielen, Gallup, Ch Jones
TE: Andrews, Waller, Taysom, Smythe, WMallory, JOliver
2023 semifinals loser

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Re: Durham Smythe, TE MIA

Postby Bronco Billy » Mon Sep 18, 2023 10:49 am

Cameron Giles wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 10:02 am
wickerkat1212 wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 9:52 am Anyone change their mind yet?
I don't see anything special, but TE is such a wasteland that any TE who's on the field for 97% of the snaps like he has and has good route participation is worth starting.

Call it the "Dalton Schultz" or "Austin Hooper" special.
He’s been on the field for 128 snaps and has run 38 routes. His participation in the passing game is not great. He has also played 50% of ST snaps, so he’s not being seen as an integral part of the passing O. His efficiency numbers are really poor. This is not a Schultz or Hooper type TE, and I’m confused why you’re seeing him like them.

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Re: Durham Smythe, TE MIA

Postby Jigga94 » Mon Sep 18, 2023 11:24 am

One of my favorite threads lol.

Day 3 TE
28/381 in 4 years at ND
88/809/3 in 5 NFL seasons
28 years old
Blocking TE
Subpar athleticism
Getting a majority of offensive snaps, but not routes
Still only has 6/67 in 2 games, but that would be a career pace of 51/570!

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Re: Durham Smythe, TE MIA

Postby Cameron Giles » Tue Sep 19, 2023 11:57 am

Bronco Billy wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 10:49 am
Cameron Giles wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 10:02 am
wickerkat1212 wrote: Mon Sep 18, 2023 9:52 am Anyone change their mind yet?
I don't see anything special, but TE is such a wasteland that any TE who's on the field for 97% of the snaps like he has and has good route participation is worth starting.

Call it the "Dalton Schultz" or "Austin Hooper" special.
He’s been on the field for 128 snaps and has run 38 routes. His participation in the passing game is not great. He has also played 50% of ST snaps, so he’s not being seen as an integral part of the passing O. His efficiency numbers are really poor. This is not a Schultz or Hooper type TE, and I’m confused why you’re seeing him like them.
Not sure where you're getting your stats, but he ran 33 routes in Week 1 alone and has an 85% route % on top of a 98% snap share so far.

I compare him to them, because he could simply be a compiler rather than a talent. Schultz isn't any good, but he was on the field a lot in a good offense and ran a lot of routes. That's been Hooper's reality as well peaking on a Falcons team that was constantly playing from behind and he's done nothing since leaving.

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Re: Durham Smythe, TE MIA

Postby frerichs5 » Wed Sep 27, 2023 11:39 am

Never paid attention to TE usage during the game this week, but any reason Smythe dropped to 36% snaps and Julian Hill got 78%? Looks to be Hill’s first week active.

Only noticed because Julian Hill was getting added in a couple TEP leagues.

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Re: Durham Smythe, TE MIA

Postby Anteaters » Wed Sep 27, 2023 2:45 pm

frerichs5 wrote: Wed Sep 27, 2023 11:39 am Never paid attention to TE usage during the game this week, but any reason Smythe dropped to 36% snaps and Julian Hill got 78%? Looks to be Hill’s first week active.

Only noticed because Julian Hill was getting added in a couple TEP leagues.
Interesting.
No idea why, but I'll definitely have to investigate this.
TEAM 1:
12 Team ppr w/20 keepers - start 1QB 2RB 3WR 1TE 1FLX 6IDP 1DEF
QB: Tua, Lamar, Levis
RB: Etienne, Pacheco, JavonteWms, JFord, CEH
WR: Lamb, JChase, Waddle, Pickens, MWilliams, Q Johnston
TE: Goedert, Friermuth
DEF: Cowboys, Ravens
IDP:(LB) Bolton, Greenlaw; (DE/DL) ZCollins, BJHill; (S/CB) Pitre, Bates, Witherspoon
2023 & 2022 Champion: 2020 third place: 2019 Champion

TEAM 2:
14 Team 30roster SF/ppr/TEP - QB/RB/WR/TE/5FLX/SF
QB: Tua, CJStroud, Carr, AOC, MWhite, Lock
RB: Etienne, Stevenson, GusE, AJD, Singletary, CEH, Spiller
WR: Amon-Ra, Kirk, Dell, Thielen, Gallup, Ch Jones
TE: Andrews, Waller, Taysom, Smythe, WMallory, JOliver
2023 semifinals loser

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Re: Durham Smythe, TE MIA

Postby Anteaters » Wed Sep 27, 2023 3:05 pm

I just saw a couple of articles that said Smythe had hamstring problems that hampered him during the game. They continue to bother him during practice this week. Sounds like Hill might get a little more time this week, but is not a true threat to Smythe's playing time when Smythe is back to full health.
TEAM 1:
12 Team ppr w/20 keepers - start 1QB 2RB 3WR 1TE 1FLX 6IDP 1DEF
QB: Tua, Lamar, Levis
RB: Etienne, Pacheco, JavonteWms, JFord, CEH
WR: Lamb, JChase, Waddle, Pickens, MWilliams, Q Johnston
TE: Goedert, Friermuth
DEF: Cowboys, Ravens
IDP:(LB) Bolton, Greenlaw; (DE/DL) ZCollins, BJHill; (S/CB) Pitre, Bates, Witherspoon
2023 & 2022 Champion: 2020 third place: 2019 Champion

TEAM 2:
14 Team 30roster SF/ppr/TEP - QB/RB/WR/TE/5FLX/SF
QB: Tua, CJStroud, Carr, AOC, MWhite, Lock
RB: Etienne, Stevenson, GusE, AJD, Singletary, CEH, Spiller
WR: Amon-Ra, Kirk, Dell, Thielen, Gallup, Ch Jones
TE: Andrews, Waller, Taysom, Smythe, WMallory, JOliver
2023 semifinals loser

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Re: Durham Smythe, TE MIA

Postby Pac_Eddy » Wed Sep 27, 2023 3:33 pm

Anteaters wrote: Wed Sep 27, 2023 3:05 pm I just saw a couple of articles that said Smythe had hamstring problems that hampered him during the game. They continue to bother him during practice this week. Sounds like Hill might get a little more time this week, but is not a true threat to Smythe's playing time when Smythe is back to full health.
Some good sleuthing there. Explains the radical change in play time.
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Re: Durham Smythe, TE MIA

Postby Orenthal Shames » Wed Sep 27, 2023 5:52 pm

Anteaters wrote: Wed Sep 27, 2023 3:05 pm Sounds like Hill might get a little more time this week, but is not a true threat to Smythe's playing time when Smythe is back to full health.
Any TE on the roster is a potential threat to Smythe. He's a replacement level player.
16 team league
1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 2 Flex (RB/WR/TE)
26 upman rosters - full point ppr
2015, 17, 18, 19, 20 Champs

QB: Watson, Flacco Stidham
RB: Bijan, Gibbs, McLaughlin
WR: Olave, Addison, Flowers, Rice, Sutton, Downs, Mims, Tillman
TE: Kittle, Goedert, Chig, Woods
24 Picks: 1.06

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Re: Durham Smythe, TE MIA

Postby killer_of_giants » Thu Sep 28, 2023 2:46 am

the dolphins offense has 1600+ total yards, 1000+ passing. smythe had 82 yards in total. other TEs had 0. this offense is not going to feed replacement level TEs (and why would they?). if they sign a good TE, then maybe. but a TE that barely cracked 800 yards in five seasons isn't going to be fantasy productive all of a sudden.

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Re: Durham Smythe, TE MIA

Postby Jigga94 » Thu Sep 28, 2023 6:35 am

killer_of_giants wrote: Thu Sep 28, 2023 2:46 am the dolphins offense has 1600+ total yards, 1000+ passing. smythe had 82 yards in total. other TEs had 0. this offense is not going to feed replacement level TEs (and why would they?). if they sign a good TE, then maybe. but a TE that barely cracked 800 yards in five seasons isn't going to be fantasy productive all of a sudden.
I figured if they weren't going to use Gesicki as a weapon, they would never use a TE.

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Re: Durham Smythe, TE MIA

Postby Pac_Eddy » Thu Sep 28, 2023 9:21 am

Jigga94 wrote: Thu Sep 28, 2023 6:35 am I figured if they weren't going to use Gesicki as a weapon, they would never use a TE.
This is a good point. But I still want to grab any piece of this offense that I can if I have the roster space.
Not all that counts can be counted. Not all that can be counted counts.

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Re: Durham Smythe, TE MIA

Postby Jigga94 » Thu Sep 28, 2023 9:27 am

Pac_Eddy wrote: Thu Sep 28, 2023 9:21 am
Jigga94 wrote: Thu Sep 28, 2023 6:35 am I figured if they weren't going to use Gesicki as a weapon, they would never use a TE.
This is a good point. But I still want to grab any piece of this offense that I can if I have the roster space.
Jeff Wilson is probably free. I like him as a stash if Mostert or Achane get hurt

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Re: Durham Smythe, TE MIA

Postby Bronco Billy » Sat Sep 30, 2023 7:46 am

Pac_Eddy wrote: Wed Sep 27, 2023 3:33 pm
Anteaters wrote: Wed Sep 27, 2023 3:05 pm I just saw a couple of articles that said Smythe had hamstring problems that hampered him during the game. They continue to bother him during practice this week. Sounds like Hill might get a little more time this week, but is not a true threat to Smythe's playing time when Smythe is back to full health.
Some good sleuthing there. Explains the radical change in play time.
Alternatively, it could be that Hill is an UDFA from a small school and is getting up to speed enough to bypass Smythe - which is not a high bar to overcome.

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Re: Durham Smythe, TE MIA

Postby Jigga94 » Tue Dec 19, 2023 12:27 pm

3.6 ppg so far this year :oops:


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