Any Thoughts on why Safety Scoring is falling off now?

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Montanacub
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Any Thoughts on why Safety Scoring is falling off now?

Postby Montanacub » Mon Nov 28, 2022 10:26 am

I am in three advanced full IDP contract dynasty leagues. All 32 team. IDP starting requirements are similar and scoring is balanced (ab. 60% offense 40% IDP) all start 9 Offense and 11 IDP and must start 1-3 Safeties. Across all three leagues and in all rosters, I've noticed a distinct decline in scores for starting Safeties. Any conjecture on this. Most of the competitive teams now only start 1 safety, where early in the season we would max them out at three IF we have full 100% snap count starters rostered of course. What gives? Scheme changes? Worse weather? Starter attrition due to injuries? Or all of the above?

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lukkynumber13
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Re: Any Thoughts on why Safety Scoring is falling off now?

Postby lukkynumber13 » Tue Nov 29, 2022 12:48 am

The simplest answer is scheme change. Most teams are playing 2 safeties deep now, almost no matter the opponent.

To a much lesser extent - and this isn’t backed by any verifiable data that I’ve found, just a theory - TE production hasn’t been THIS bad (excepting Kelce) in a long time. Stud TEs are OFTEN (but not always) covered by stud safeties (or at the very least, tackled by safeties if they get away from the 1st guy). Maybe that’s playing a role as well?
TEAM A - 12T (22 R/U, 20 R/U, 19 R/U, 18 Champ, 17 R/U)
HERBERT, Baker
BIJAN/KAMARA/MIXON, A Jones
HILL/AJB/DK/G WILSON/D Adams, Pittman, Z Flowers, Evans
KITTLE
/
TEAM B - 16T, SF, TEP (22 R/U)
HURTS/MINSHEW, Cousins, D Jones
JT/JACOBS, Mostert, Gus E
HILL/MCLAURIN/DEEBO
KELCE/KITTLE, LaPorta
/
TEAM C - 14T, SF (Joined in 22)
GENO
HENRY/A JONES, Gus E
HILL/DIGGS/K ALLEN
WALLER
/
TEAM D - 14T, 1QB (Joined in 22)
MAHOMES, Goff
BIJAN/BREECE/POLLARD
CHASE/DIGGS/G WILSON/AIYUK, DJM, Pittman
KITTLE, Goedert
/
TEAM E - 14T, SF, 2TE (Started in 22)
MAHOMES/T-LAW, Carr
BIJAN/CMC/SAQUON/POLLARD, Hall
HILL/AIYUK/EVANS/GODWIN, Hollywood, Thielen
MCBRIDE/ENGRAM, Goedert, Chig
/
TEAM F - 16T (Joined in 23)
R WILSON, Minshew
SAQUON/KAMARA/MIXON, Monty
DIGGS/GODWIN/AIYUK/EVANS, Thielen, A Cooper
KELCE, Schultz
/
TEAM G - 12T, SF & TEP (Joined in 23)
HERBERT/TUA, Kyler
BIJAN/MIXON, Spears, J Warren
JJ/G WILSON/WADDLE/OLAVE, Godwin, J Reed
LAPORTA

Kcarr
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Re: Any Thoughts on why Safety Scoring is falling off now?

Postby Kcarr » Tue Dec 06, 2022 7:52 am

Also this year I am pretty sure we are seeing more running of the football, last couple years there have been 5 and 7 teams running over 45 percent of the time, this year there are 5 running over 50 percent and 11 over 45. That may be effecting it slightly, though I don't know
4th and long: ppr, 10 team, qb, rb, rb, wr, wr, wr, flex, flex, te, k, dl, dl, lb, lb, db, db, dflex, dflex

QB: Kirk Cousins Tyrod Taylor, Jared Goff
RB: Melvin Gordon, Ezekiel Elliot, Theo Riddick, D'Onta Foreman, James Conner, Jamal Williams
WR: Alshon Jeffrey, Amari Cooper, Sammy Watkins, Keenan Allen, Jordan Matthews, Cole Beasley, Robby Anderson, Corey Davis, Breshad Perriman, Eli Rogers
TE: Eric Ebron, , David Njoku, Jack Doyle
K: Will Lutz
DL: Frank Clark, Danielle Hunter
LB: Luke Kuechley, Bobby Wagner, Jordan Hicks, Mark Barron, Darron Lee
DB: Sean Davis, Morgan Burnett,

IR: Clayton Geathers, Quincy Enunwa, Raekwon McMillan

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killer_of_giants
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Re: Any Thoughts on why Safety Scoring is falling off now?

Postby killer_of_giants » Fri Dec 09, 2022 4:00 am

Kcarr wrote: Tue Dec 06, 2022 7:52 am Also this year I am pretty sure we are seeing more running of the football, last couple years there have been 5 and 7 teams running over 45 percent of the time, this year there are 5 running over 50 percent and 11 over 45. That may be effecting it slightly, though I don't know
probably more of a consequence of the defensive schemes rather than a cause, but still an interesting point.

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Re: Any Thoughts on why Safety Scoring is falling off now?

Postby Kcarr » Thu Dec 15, 2022 11:39 pm

killer_of_giants wrote: Fri Dec 09, 2022 4:00 am
Kcarr wrote: Tue Dec 06, 2022 7:52 am Also this year I am pretty sure we are seeing more running of the football, last couple years there have been 5 and 7 teams running over 45 percent of the time, this year there are 5 running over 50 percent and 11 over 45. That may be effecting it slightly, though I don't know
probably more of a consequence of the defensive schemes rather than a cause, but still an interesting point.
Could be, could also be some combo, more 2 high looks mean more carries, mote running means more tackles by the front 2 units. I don't know for sure
4th and long: ppr, 10 team, qb, rb, rb, wr, wr, wr, flex, flex, te, k, dl, dl, lb, lb, db, db, dflex, dflex

QB: Kirk Cousins Tyrod Taylor, Jared Goff
RB: Melvin Gordon, Ezekiel Elliot, Theo Riddick, D'Onta Foreman, James Conner, Jamal Williams
WR: Alshon Jeffrey, Amari Cooper, Sammy Watkins, Keenan Allen, Jordan Matthews, Cole Beasley, Robby Anderson, Corey Davis, Breshad Perriman, Eli Rogers
TE: Eric Ebron, , David Njoku, Jack Doyle
K: Will Lutz
DL: Frank Clark, Danielle Hunter
LB: Luke Kuechley, Bobby Wagner, Jordan Hicks, Mark Barron, Darron Lee
DB: Sean Davis, Morgan Burnett,

IR: Clayton Geathers, Quincy Enunwa, Raekwon McMillan


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