So with barely mediocre QBing Wilson produced as a top 10 WR as a rookie. There’s reasonable expectation that he will improve his play and that his QB will be better. That makes top 5-6 production a reasonable expectation with some room for some slight upside.Entering 2023, Wilson will have a major upgrade at quarterback with Aaron Rodgers under center. Last year in games started by non-Zach Wilson Jets QBs, Wilson averaged over 17 fantasy points, 6 catches, 11 targets, and 82 receiving yards per game. Top-10 fantasy WR numbers. If Rodgers can just be accurate throwing the ball (seems manageable), Wilson will crush it in 2023. No Jets QB completed more than 60% of their passes last season. Rodgers completed 64.6% of his passes last season, which was close to his career average (65.3%).
There is also a fallacy of relying on KTC as the one and only source of his value. I’m seeing several other credible sites that have Wilson as the dynasty WR6/7. KTC ain’t the word of God.
Looking at the amalgam of the above and how early it is in his career, his current value seems pretty reasonable and yes, those single player numbers would be difficult to replace if he does play at his potential - not above, but at his potential.