Re: Chad Kelly
Posted: Mon Oct 29, 2018 1:22 pm
Came back from vacation to find a lot has changed in a week lol - but that can be the norm in the new NFL.ArrylT wrote: ↑Fri Oct 19, 2018 9:22 am Plenty of people were immature in College and made mistakes. Baker Mayfields college career is not clean either - did not stop him from being drafted 1.01 either. If you are unsure of Chad Kelly talk to people who follow the Broncos organization closely and pretty much all of them will tell you Chad Kelly has been working very hard and there have been no signs of being a cancer in the locker room. There have been zero reports of off-field incidents since being drafted.
That arrest was back in 2014 (Kelly was 20) - so 4 years ago - and was outside of a nightclub. It is going to have no effect on his NFL career so long as it remains an isolated incident.
Anyways my thoughts are such
1 - Like I said above - so long as his past behaviour had been isolated it would have no effect. As it unfortunately turns out - it was not the case.
2 - The risk with Kelly is/was always going to be off-field related. This had nothing to do with talent, or situation or physical health. As such Kelly owners can easily ignore the "I told you sos" as it is always easy to be correct after the fact.
3 - Chances are quite high he'll never see an NFL Roster again - but I wont go to 100% like many would. I do think though Manziels odds are now better than Kellys. We have seen before people can get second chances and rise from the ashes - it is just very unlikely for most.
4 - It is often the case that people have to learn from their mistakes rather than other peoples mistakes. Kelly could not learn from Manziel or other past examples - as I'll mention below. It is disappointing he did not learn from his past misadventures but c'est la vie.
5 - It is very easy to say that "if I had been Chad Kelly I would not have put myself in this situation" but there is a reason why they say "walk a mile in another mans shoes" and "people in glass houses should not throw stones". Any person who believes that they would have 100% avoided what happened is
(a) likely forgetting their own life lessons
How many times have we said to ourselves I can handle 1 more beer / 1 more drink
(b) never actually been in a situation where they 100 believed their talent & skills could get themselves out of any sort of trouble
What people see is that sometimes talent CAN overcome or overlook past misdeeds / troubles / struggles. We always ignore the 99% of the time it ends in failure and focus on the 1% that it succeeds. This is engrained in our culture and we can look no further than the volume of underdog stories in the movies from Rudy to Invincible to Eddie the Eagle.
In order to succeed one of the key ingredients is ALWAYS going to be belief in yourself & your talents / skills. It can be very tricky to know when to draw the line and your belief in yourself becomes an entitlement rather than earned. Why else do so many talented people in so many fields end up crashing and burning?
Basically if anyone feels that they would have avoided the Chad Kelly pitfall is more like Chad Kelly that they wish to admit - because Chad Kelly obviously felt he could avoid the pitfalls of previous players - and he did not. I doubt many on this forum could have either.
In the end since it is a fantasy forum and since this is fantasy related - apart from SF Leagues with deeper rosters, I'll be divesting myself of Kelly shares when I see the right moves. No sense in cutting a Kelly for a Tom Savage or a Marc Sanchez ...
And as always - you cannot hit on a long-shot if you do not take the chance. You do not win the lottery by playing it safe. Just accept our losses and move on. The benefit is usually that the cost to play was so minimal that you can afford to take these chances time after time - whereas a 1st round pick that busts or a player that you bought at a premium ...
So any lesson to be learned is that to remain unattached and move on when it is time.
