skip wrote:princevincexoxo wrote:
Statistical data backs all of this up....and I believe my performance does too
...so I have facts (not just my facts) to support my feelings (which many other seem to share)....how about you?
I have never seen statistical data to support this view. I have seen experts make such a claim for about 20 or so years and beating the RB/RB drum for just as long and claiming you can wait on drafting QBs. So the trend has been that owners wait to draft QBs, etc...and it is a self-fulfilling prophecy. However on a points basis within each position - which is more of a VBD strategy - the argument does not hold up. You are going to point to your performance and I will therefore point to mine. I have won a number of titles in those 20 years and also fallen short in plenty. I have yet to win a league with middle tier talent at QB - always studs. I have fallen short with studs, of course, but my teams have always fared the worst when I don't have one. If you sacrifice production at one position you need to make it up elsewhere - whether that be at QB, RB, WR, or TE. All positions are important.
This is a 4 player keeper league and the arguments need to trend on the side of production, not value. If this were dynasty, that would be another matter.
Statistical data supports the notion that the deviation among QB production is much smaller in proportion to other positions...one of the reasons for this is because in most leagues you only start 1 per team (12-14 QB's) in oppose to 2-3 RB's (24-42 RB's) or 2-3 WR's (24-42 WR's)...
there are 32 starters at QB and RB in the NFL and 64 at WR so the odds break down like this
QB's: 12-14/32 = 37.5%-43% of the top 32 QB's are being started weekly
RB's: 24-42/32=75%-140% of the top 32 RB's are being started weekly
WR's: 24-42/64=37.5%-67% of the top 32 WR's are being started weekly
its plain to see where the demand is going to be no matter how you want to slice it. Additionally the truth of the matter is its not hard to grab an up and coming QB that can be top 10-15 and keep you competitive on a weekly basis....the same cant be said of WR's or RB's (at least not as often as you can say it for QB's). If I ever had to choose between where to stock up at its going to be RB and WR because the need for QB is so low, but each QB's potential to produce at a competitively high level is pretty decent in comparison to any other position.
