Well first, I drafted Mike Williams at 1.06 in May before I found out about his sketchy back.Goddard wrote: ↑Thu Aug 31, 2017 8:55 amYou guys are using extreme examples that are not very relevant. I'll try to explain my logic and keep it simple. You either thought Hunt was good enough to take over the starting job over an average RB in Ware, or you thought he wasn't. That shouldn't have changed after Ware's injury. I ranked him based on the assumption that he would take over, so his ranking doesn't change for me at all. Also, I usually rank players prior to the NFL draft based on their skills/talents and I very rarely move them based on where they get picked or their situation.chalorpas wrote: ↑Thu Aug 31, 2017 8:12 amExactly this. In 2015 you could have the same argument that Kevin White didn't get any worse and David Johnson didn't get any better. May be an extreme example but there is a high likelihood that Kareem Hunt will be worth far more than Mike Williams after this season ends.
In the case of Juju, he didn't meet expectations and actually took a step back last year from 2015, so you can argue he did get worse. Also, many other players got better and passed him in my (and everyone else's) rankings. Same with White and DJ. White hasn't even been able to stay on the field, and when he has, he's looked terrible. Obviously no one knew DJ was going to be this good, so in everyone's eyes, he did get better. So I'm just not understanding those two arguments.
I understand what you're saying and for the most part I agree that its talent > situation. But my only argument here is that you're taking it way too far. If you don't adjust your predraft board based on the NFL draft, injuries, and what you see when these players perform on the field (especially in NFL jerseys) then you're just handicapping yourself.