I don't dispute his talent. I like his talent and think his talent is good enough to be a good fantasy player in the right situation.Cameron Giles wrote: ↑Mon Oct 23, 2023 5:48 amDowns isn't going to post 125 yards every game, or get as open as he did on a wheel route each game. That said, he's a Day 2 WR with an 87th percentile breakout, and checked out big time in a lot of advanced stats that you want to see from a WR prospect.Anteaters wrote: ↑Mon Oct 23, 2023 3:51 am I just get all kinds of hot-young-receiver-flashes-before-coming-back-down-to-earth vibes about this. We just went through it with Jeudy/EMoore/3differentGBreceivers/and more. Downs is good, but he's not so immensely talented his skill rises above everything else. His situation matters greatly. And I don't think his situation is trustworthy.
Holding isn't a bad idea, but a mid1st in SF would be too good for me to say no to. A 2nd and I'm definitely holding.
There's going to be variance in every young WR. Statistical improvement is not linear and dynasty is a game of peaks and valleys. But, so far Downs looks exactly like the player in the OP and was always a perfect fit for this offense as a pure separator who increases the teams high % pass plays.
His skill set and talent is not coming back down to earth. The way he wins is very sustainable.
As I tried to explain, it's his situation that is my biggest concern.