Somewhat early 2024 Draft thread

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Re: Somewhat early 2024 Draft thread

Postby Jigga94 » Fri Apr 19, 2024 5:42 am

Bronco Billy wrote: Fri Apr 19, 2024 5:25 am
natjjohn wrote: Fri Apr 19, 2024 3:54 am Also, there’s been the majority fantasy analyst take that Maye is a bust in waiting so he seems to be being faded by most though not all.
You seem to be reading different material than I’m seeing. Maye absolutely passes the eye test and should be highly thought of if nothing else than overcoming the O line he was dealt.
I am pretty glad I've stepped back this offseason and missed the pre-draft hype crap.

Maye is still my QB2 and I fully expect him to go to Washington to officially kick off their mega rebuild.

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Re: Somewhat early 2024 Draft thread

Postby killer_of_giants » Fri Apr 19, 2024 5:42 am

Shcritters wrote: Thu Apr 18, 2024 8:24 pm
killer_of_giants wrote: Thu Apr 18, 2024 2:18 am
Shcritters wrote: Wed Apr 17, 2024 9:15 pm
Having said that, take a look at this chart.
https://x.com/fball_insights/status/1780777102825964031

Relatively close…
... to zach evans
https://x.com/ScottBarrettDFB/status/17 ... 9098208561

I stand by what I said.
me too! :lol:

if a couple of strings of numbers that kinda look the same is enough to get your juices flowing, great, fill yer boots!

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Re: Somewhat early 2024 Draft thread

Postby murphysxm » Fri Apr 19, 2024 5:45 am

Jigga94 wrote: Fri Apr 19, 2024 5:42 am
Bronco Billy wrote: Fri Apr 19, 2024 5:25 am
natjjohn wrote: Fri Apr 19, 2024 3:54 am Also, there’s been the majority fantasy analyst take that Maye is a bust in waiting so he seems to be being faded by most though not all.
You seem to be reading different material than I’m seeing. Maye absolutely passes the eye test and should be highly thought of if nothing else than overcoming the O line he was dealt.
I am pretty glad I've stepped back this offseason and missed the pre-draft hype crap.

Maye is still my QB2 and I fully expect him to go to Washington to officially kick off their mega rebuild.
I think Daniels is Washington's pick, but I also am still high on Maye
I am just a guy sharing some thoughts

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Re: Somewhat early 2024 Draft thread

Postby Jigga94 » Fri Apr 19, 2024 6:15 am

murphysxm wrote: Fri Apr 19, 2024 5:45 am
Jigga94 wrote: Fri Apr 19, 2024 5:42 am
Bronco Billy wrote: Fri Apr 19, 2024 5:25 am

You seem to be reading different material than I’m seeing. Maye absolutely passes the eye test and should be highly thought of if nothing else than overcoming the O line he was dealt.
I am pretty glad I've stepped back this offseason and missed the pre-draft hype crap.

Maye is still my QB2 and I fully expect him to go to Washington to officially kick off their mega rebuild.
I think Daniels is Washington's pick, but I also am still high on Maye
I like Daniels a bit too, more for fantasy though. I think Washington may not want RG3 v2, though it is brand new ownership/management

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Re: Somewhat early 2024 Draft thread

Postby ThirdWW » Fri Apr 19, 2024 6:42 am

killer_of_giants wrote: Fri Apr 19, 2024 5:42 am
Shcritters wrote: Thu Apr 18, 2024 8:24 pm
killer_of_giants wrote: Thu Apr 18, 2024 2:18 am

... to zach evans
https://x.com/ScottBarrettDFB/status/17 ... 9098208561

I stand by what I said.
me too! :lol:

if a couple of strings of numbers that kinda look the same is enough to get your juices flowing, great, fill yer boots!
Let’s say he goes 2nd round, how early would you take him?
Team One:
Year 12
12 team, .5 ppr
QB 2RB 3WR TE FLEX K DL LB DB

QB - CJ Stroud
RB - Tank Bigsby, Sean Tucker, Chris Rodriguez, cans
WR - Garrett Wilson, Drake London, JSN, Jahan Dotson, Demario Douglas, Elijah Moore
TE - Kyle Pitts, Cade Otton, Chig Okonkwo

2024 Picks: 1.1, 1.2, 1.9, 2.6, 2.10, 3.1, 3.2, 3.7, 4.1
2025 Picks: 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 3, 4, 4

Team Two:
Year 2
12 team, .5 ppr, SF
QB SF 2RB 3WR TE 2FLEX K

QB - Joe Burrow, Kyler Murray, Daniel Jones
RB - Roschon Johnson, Kendre Miller, streaming
WR - Amon-Ra St. Brown, Chris Olave, Jaylen Waddle, Jordan Addison, Jahan Dotson, Demario Douglas, Elijah Moore, Wan’Dale Robinson
TE - Kyle Pitts, Trey McBride, Jake Ferguson, Chig

2024 Picks: 1.08, 1.12, 4.1, 4.11
2025 Picks 1, 2, 2, 3, 3, 4

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Re: Somewhat early 2024 Draft thread

Postby Bronco Billy » Fri Apr 19, 2024 6:56 am

ThirdWW wrote: Fri Apr 19, 2024 6:42 am
killer_of_giants wrote: Fri Apr 19, 2024 5:42 am
Shcritters wrote: Thu Apr 18, 2024 8:24 pm

https://x.com/ScottBarrettDFB/status/17 ... 9098208561

I stand by what I said.
me too! :lol:

if a couple of strings of numbers that kinda look the same is enough to get your juices flowing, great, fill yer boots!
Let’s say he goes 2nd round, how early would you take him?
I’d look at him mid Rd 2. Draft capital and opportunistic situations are all great, but that won’t change his limitations.

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Re: Somewhat early 2024 Draft thread

Postby wickerkat1212 » Fri Apr 19, 2024 8:16 am

Chris Simms has Maye as his QB5 in this draft. I saw another QB evaluator (forget his name) say he has red flags on Maye for throwing balls in the dirt. So...there are some out there who are fading him.
D3:
QB—Allen, Pickett RB—Kamara, Jacobs, ZWhite, Edwards, Ford, Warren WR—Lamb, Olave, DJM, Puka, Tillman, Marshall, Jefferson, Robinson, Tucker TE—Ferguson, Schoon, Likely, Smith, Washington, Kraft PK—Prater DEF—BAL

D4:
QB—TLaw, JimmyG, Tannehill, AOC, Hall RB—Bijan, Kamara, Conner, Gainwell, Gainwell, Foreman, ZMoss, Chandler, McLaughlin, Murray WR—Jefferson, Hill, Adams, Allen, Tillman, Woods TE—Kelce, Kmet, Conklin PK—Butker DEF—PIT

Superflex 1:
QB—Mahomes, Rodgers, Mayfield RB—Bijan, Kamara, Allgeier, Singletary, Mostert, BRob, Warren, Rodriguez, Spiller WR—Chase, DJM, Devonta, MBrown, Myers, Reynold, Jones TE—Kmet, Likely, Kraft, Conklin, Hurst, Hudson PK—Elliott DEF—PHI

Superflex 2:
QB: Goff, Cousins, Wentz, White; RB: Bijan, BRob, ZWhite, Allgeier, McLaughlin WR: DJM, Higgins, JSN, Downs, RMoore, Atwell, SMoore, PCampbell, DPJ, ATP, Hutchinson, Iosivas, Devante, CJones TE: Ferguson, Kraft, Trautman, Tremble

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Re: Somewhat early 2024 Draft thread

Postby murphysxm » Fri Apr 19, 2024 9:10 am

wickerkat1212 wrote: Fri Apr 19, 2024 8:16 am Chris Simms has Maye as his QB5 in this draft. I saw another QB evaluator (forget his name) say he has red flags on Maye for throwing balls in the dirt. So...there are some out there who are fading him.
While I will agree that there are some questions about Drake, I am not sure Simms is the resource I want to lean on. He also had Hendon Hooker as his 3rd best QB in last year's class if I recall correctly.... He comes across to me as somebody looking for clicks.
I am just a guy sharing some thoughts

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Re: Somewhat early 2024 Draft thread

Postby wickerkat1212 » Fri Apr 19, 2024 9:24 am

murphysxm wrote: Fri Apr 19, 2024 9:10 am
wickerkat1212 wrote: Fri Apr 19, 2024 8:16 am Chris Simms has Maye as his QB5 in this draft. I saw another QB evaluator (forget his name) say he has red flags on Maye for throwing balls in the dirt. So...there are some out there who are fading him.
While I will agree that there are some questions about Drake, I am not sure Simms is the resource I want to lean on. He also had Hendon Hooker as his 3rd best QB in last year's class if I recall correctly.... He comes across to me as somebody looking for clicks.
I hear you, and I take it all with a grain of salt, but I did watch his video and another guy, a QB analyst, and they made some good points. I'm really curious to see what happens with Maye, with all of these QBs. I'm not in a position to draft any QBs in my Superflex league (not the top four anyway). Just thought I'd toss out a few POVs on Maye.
D3:
QB—Allen, Pickett RB—Kamara, Jacobs, ZWhite, Edwards, Ford, Warren WR—Lamb, Olave, DJM, Puka, Tillman, Marshall, Jefferson, Robinson, Tucker TE—Ferguson, Schoon, Likely, Smith, Washington, Kraft PK—Prater DEF—BAL

D4:
QB—TLaw, JimmyG, Tannehill, AOC, Hall RB—Bijan, Kamara, Conner, Gainwell, Gainwell, Foreman, ZMoss, Chandler, McLaughlin, Murray WR—Jefferson, Hill, Adams, Allen, Tillman, Woods TE—Kelce, Kmet, Conklin PK—Butker DEF—PIT

Superflex 1:
QB—Mahomes, Rodgers, Mayfield RB—Bijan, Kamara, Allgeier, Singletary, Mostert, BRob, Warren, Rodriguez, Spiller WR—Chase, DJM, Devonta, MBrown, Myers, Reynold, Jones TE—Kmet, Likely, Kraft, Conklin, Hurst, Hudson PK—Elliott DEF—PHI

Superflex 2:
QB: Goff, Cousins, Wentz, White; RB: Bijan, BRob, ZWhite, Allgeier, McLaughlin WR: DJM, Higgins, JSN, Downs, RMoore, Atwell, SMoore, PCampbell, DPJ, ATP, Hutchinson, Iosivas, Devante, CJones TE: Ferguson, Kraft, Trautman, Tremble

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Re: Somewhat early 2024 Draft thread

Postby Shcritters » Fri Apr 19, 2024 9:26 am

Bronco Billy wrote: Fri Apr 19, 2024 6:56 am
ThirdWW wrote: Fri Apr 19, 2024 6:42 am
killer_of_giants wrote: Fri Apr 19, 2024 5:42 am

me too! :lol:

if a couple of strings of numbers that kinda look the same is enough to get your juices flowing, great, fill yer boots!
Let’s say he goes 2nd round, how early would you take him?
I’d look at him mid Rd 2. Draft capital and opportunistic situations are all great, but that won’t change his limitations.
@Killer - I don't think you're listening to what I've said. I didn't say he was Bijan, I said he was similar statistically - which is the point of citing those two examples. Absolutely he's well below Bijan, but depending on where he lands he could be a decently valuable RB. I think he could be a Sanders-type player (good comp given he was behind Barkley) that has value in the right situation.

My guess is he's going to go 2nd round in the NFL draft, and (like I said before) he'll gain value in 2H of the season as well as going into next year, given that it usually takes a year to get back fully from an ACL tear. If he goes into the 3rd then his value drops significantly.

For fantasy you are looking for one of two things in a RB - amazing talent (of which there are few - think Barkley, CMC, Hall, potentially Gibbs), or someone who is capable but is going to get volume. I view him as capable... so it is really going to be situation (volume) dependent. If he goes round 2 and lands in DAL, ARI, BAL, possibly LV... places where he has opportunity to be the RB1 at high volume then he could sneak into the late 1st, but likely early 2nd. I can absolutely see people taking a shot at him if they need a RB over some of the tier 2/tier 3 WR's at the end of the first. If he lands in a bad place with no line-of sight to touches - and if Benson (who many people have ranked #2) goes to a good place - then I see him dropping to the back-half of the 2nd.

Hope that clarifies.
Gopher Two
PPR SF, WR & TE Premium (WR 1.2 PPR , TE 1.5 PPR), 10 total starters, 1 QB, 1SF, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 3 Flex
QB: Mahomes, Prescott, Mayfield
RB: Hall, Pacheco, Jacobs, Connor, Chubb, Mattison
WR: Tyreek, AJ Brown, Flowers, CSutton, JJeudy, Slayton, Iosivas
TE: McBride, DSchultz, Musgrave, Kraft, MGesicki
2024: 1.02, 2.02
2022 and 2023 League Champ

SafeLeague #1 (12 team, SF, 2.0 PPR TE Prem). 10 total starters 1 QB, 1SF (QB/TE/RB/WR), 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 3 Flex
QB: Purdy, Levis, DTR
RB: Pacheco + scrubs
WR: Downs, MMims, EMoore, Jeudy, MWilson + scrubs
TE: Hock, Kincaid, Pitts, Mayer + scrubs
2024: 1.01, 1.05, 1.11, 2.01, 2.02, 2.06,
2025: 2 1sts, 2 2nds

SafeLeague #2
QB: Purdy, Richardson, Hooker, Willis
RB: literal ZERO RB (for now)
WR: Mingo, MMims, Toney, Skyy, Iosivas
TE: LaPorta, Kincaid, McBride, Mayer, Musgrave, Schoonmaker (and a bunch more 2nd stringers)
2024: 1.01, 1.05, 1.06, 1.09, 1.10, 1.11, 2.01, 2.05, 3.01, 3.04
2025: 3 1sts, 1 2nd

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Re: Somewhat early 2024 Draft thread

Postby grandmabetty » Fri Apr 19, 2024 10:10 am

For reference Chris simms also had Zach Wilson as His QB1 in that class. I like the guy and he seems smart but not sure he should be relied upon heavily for QB evaluation lol

In his defense the jets could draft the 2nd coming of Dan Marino and turn him into Ryan leaf

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Re: Somewhat early 2024 Draft thread

Postby Dynasty DeLorean » Fri Apr 19, 2024 10:48 am

grandmabetty wrote: Fri Apr 19, 2024 10:10 am For reference Chris simms also had Zach Wilson as His QB1 in that class. I like the guy and he seems smart but not sure he should be relied upon heavily for QB evaluation lol

In his defense the jets could draft the 2nd coming of Dan Marino and turn him into Ryan leaf
You can look at it many ways, the Wilson thing wasn’t good but it also showed he was lower on Lawrence than most, which in hindsight was a correct take. Wilson was also buried by that Jets franchise, of course don’t get me wrong if Wilson was good he’d be good and he’s not, but he was actively harmed by the Jets organization as well. Simms got fooled by the level of competition with Wilson, which many people did. It’s never an easy thing to figure out how a player will translate to the NFl. There’s an alternate timeline in which Zach Wilson actually studies the playbook and succeeded in the NFL

From what I can see he had Stroud #1 last year. Simms puts a lot of stock in a QBs tools and how they fair in certain situations, so probably more often than not it works out for him but sometimes it can lead him astray as with Zach Wilson

Bottom line is that if Maye is erratic and inconsistent he’s not going to be ranked high by Simms. But that doesn’t mean he can’t turn into a really good QB eventually

I haven’t watched any Maye tape, but if he has an issue with throwing balls in the dirt then that would remind me a lot of Carson Wentz coming out of college

He also seemed lower than most on Trey Lance, Justin fields, Malik Willis, etc. His actual rankings are not always correct (like everyone else’s), but he’s right a lot of the times with who he’s higher or lower on.
Last edited by Dynasty DeLorean on Fri Apr 19, 2024 11:05 am, edited 2 times in total.

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Re: Somewhat early 2024 Draft thread

Postby mild » Fri Apr 19, 2024 10:59 am

murphysxm wrote: Fri Apr 19, 2024 9:10 am
wickerkat1212 wrote: Fri Apr 19, 2024 8:16 am Chris Simms has Maye as his QB5 in this draft. I saw another QB evaluator (forget his name) say he has red flags on Maye for throwing balls in the dirt. So...there are some out there who are fading him.
While I will agree that there are some questions about Drake, I am not sure Simms is the resource I want to lean on. He also had Hendon Hooker as his 3rd best QB in last year's class if I recall correctly.... He comes across to me as somebody looking for clicks.
JT O'Sullivan from the QB School has Maye at QB4, and was almost tempted to put him QB5. (He really likes Penix)

https://www.reddit.com/r/minnesotavikin ... _rankings/

Naturally, the limitations of JT's style of analysis are that he's looking at it "right now" and very much from a mechanical and decision making point of view. I think even Maye's staunchest advocates (Nate Tice has him QB1) all agree that he has a lot to clean up mechanically / footwork wise.

But as a toolsy project, he's got the talent - for sure. I don't blame anyone that has him QB2 for having him there after CW.

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Re: Somewhat early 2024 Draft thread

Postby wickerkat1212 » Fri Apr 19, 2024 12:18 pm

mild wrote: Fri Apr 19, 2024 10:59 am
murphysxm wrote: Fri Apr 19, 2024 9:10 am
wickerkat1212 wrote: Fri Apr 19, 2024 8:16 am Chris Simms has Maye as his QB5 in this draft. I saw another QB evaluator (forget his name) say he has red flags on Maye for throwing balls in the dirt. So...there are some out there who are fading him.
While I will agree that there are some questions about Drake, I am not sure Simms is the resource I want to lean on. He also had Hendon Hooker as his 3rd best QB in last year's class if I recall correctly.... He comes across to me as somebody looking for clicks.
JT O'Sullivan from the QB School has Maye at QB4, and was almost tempted to put him QB5. (He really likes Penix)

https://www.reddit.com/r/minnesotavikin ... _rankings/

Naturally, the limitations of JT's style of analysis are that he's looking at it "right now" and very much from a mechanical and decision making point of view. I think even Maye's staunchest advocates (Nate Tice has him QB1) all agree that he has a lot to clean up mechanically / footwork wise.

But as a toolsy project, he's got the talent - for sure. I don't blame anyone that has him QB2 for having him there after CW.
Thanks, I couldn't remember his name.
D3:
QB—Allen, Pickett RB—Kamara, Jacobs, ZWhite, Edwards, Ford, Warren WR—Lamb, Olave, DJM, Puka, Tillman, Marshall, Jefferson, Robinson, Tucker TE—Ferguson, Schoon, Likely, Smith, Washington, Kraft PK—Prater DEF—BAL

D4:
QB—TLaw, JimmyG, Tannehill, AOC, Hall RB—Bijan, Kamara, Conner, Gainwell, Gainwell, Foreman, ZMoss, Chandler, McLaughlin, Murray WR—Jefferson, Hill, Adams, Allen, Tillman, Woods TE—Kelce, Kmet, Conklin PK—Butker DEF—PIT

Superflex 1:
QB—Mahomes, Rodgers, Mayfield RB—Bijan, Kamara, Allgeier, Singletary, Mostert, BRob, Warren, Rodriguez, Spiller WR—Chase, DJM, Devonta, MBrown, Myers, Reynold, Jones TE—Kmet, Likely, Kraft, Conklin, Hurst, Hudson PK—Elliott DEF—PHI

Superflex 2:
QB: Goff, Cousins, Wentz, White; RB: Bijan, BRob, ZWhite, Allgeier, McLaughlin WR: DJM, Higgins, JSN, Downs, RMoore, Atwell, SMoore, PCampbell, DPJ, ATP, Hutchinson, Iosivas, Devante, CJones TE: Ferguson, Kraft, Trautman, Tremble

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Re: Somewhat early 2024 Draft thread

Postby mild » Fri Apr 19, 2024 3:38 pm

So long as we're talking about Drake Maye for a second...

I wonder if he's going to be a good locker room guy?


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