You're correct, most singular stats can be very misleading, but when you've got several stats that all point to the same conclusion it's called evidence, not coincidence.SteveMaddensShoes wrote: ↑Sat Sep 16, 2017 3:04 pm That's just box score scouting. I could use a ton of stats to make weird conclusions like Doug Baldwin has as many seasons averaging less than 10 ppg in PPR than he does more than 10 ppg. Or David Johnson is not reliable, missing 33% of his games in his first 3 years in the league.
That said I do agree with you that Gurley is overrated.
Also not to get off topic but that Doug Baldwin stat isn't a weird conclusion, Tate got signed by the Lions in 2014 and since then Baldwin has seen a big boost in fantasy value (so has Tate), not to mention the deterioration of the Seattle OL and RB corps.
It's an irrelevant stat, which is something personnel/scheme changes can do to a lot of stats. However, when it comes to Gurley you're comparing two seasons for the same player, on the same offense, with the same OL, the same QB (or same caliber as it were), the same coaching staff, then the isolated variable is the player itself and you can reach a reliable conclusion based on those differences in those seasons (especially when most of the evidence are stats that are determined by deliberately eliminating external factors).