Williams or Snead +?

This is the place for team advice - should I make this trade, should I draft that player, etc.

Williams or Snead +

Mike Williams + 3rd
9
43%
Snead + 2nd + 2nd
12
57%
 
Total votes: 21

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CharlieKelly
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Williams or Snead +?

Postby CharlieKelly » Sun Jun 11, 2017 8:03 am

16 team PPR small lineups - 1QB / 1RB / 2WR / 1TE / 1Flex

I give - Mike Williams + 3rd

I get - Willie Snead + 2nd + 2nd

I'm in win now mode. Snead would be my flex backup along with Shepard and Abdullah, with Diggs as my weekly flex. I feel like i'm giving up a quality long term building piece in favor of someone who might be a little better right now. Starters in bold.

QB - Stafford, Mariota
RB - Howard, Abdullah, Foreman, White
WR - Evans, Jordy, Diggs, Shepard, Williams
TE - Olsen, CJF

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Re: Williams or Snead +?

Postby Goddard » Sun Jun 11, 2017 10:24 am

Williams

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Re: Williams or Snead +?

Postby Edgy68 » Sun Jun 11, 2017 12:48 pm

Snead is more of a win now piece. I'm staying away from Williams at his price because I don't think he's going to hold up, but I think you should stick with him for the time being. Once he heals up and takes the field, his value should go up. Right now, you're looking at 1.05-1.06 + a 3rd for Snead and two 2nds.
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Re: Williams or Snead +?

Postby CharlieKelly » Sun Jun 11, 2017 1:32 pm

Would this be a better deal?

Williams + Ardarius Stewart + 3rd

For

Snead + 2018 1st (likely early)

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Re: Williams or Snead +?

Postby TheRookiePro » Sun Jun 11, 2017 2:19 pm

I suppose the Williams, Stewart, 3rd for me. I like Steward, not big on Williams, and really don't care for Snead's production. So many people try to sell you on Snead as a WR3/Flex who is ranked around WR35. His youth doesn't compensate for his lack of production. Give me an undervalued veteran who comes cheap or free.

2 years ago I used Anquan Boldin as a reliable bench option. And now for the 2nd straight year I'll be using Mike Wallace in that role. I'd be shocked if Snead is able to beat out Wallace's production.
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WR-K. Allen, T. Hill, Josh Gordon, Golladay, Fitzgerald, S. Watkins, J. Reynolds, Enunwa,
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Re: Williams or Snead +?

Postby A-train » Sun Jun 11, 2017 2:41 pm

While the 18 1st is nice especially if it becomes Barkley it's to much of a question mark where it lands for me to go from Williams to Snead. Ahead hasn't really done anything to prove he is a good receiver and has had a couple years to. I'd rather take the chance on Williams, Stewart then Snead.
Team 1: France Les Bleus: 20 team .5 ppr dynasty league. Starters in Bold
QB: Andrew Luck, Marcus Mariota
RB: Ezekiel Elliot, Alex Collins, D'onta Foreman, Chris Carson, James White, Kenneth Dixon
WR: Mike Williams, Chris Godwin, DJ Moore, Laquon Treadwell, Taywan Taylor, Josh Malone
TE: Eric Ebron, Hunter Henry, Adam Shaheen
D/ST: Patriots, Saints

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RB: Royce Freeman, Nick Chubb, Phillip Lindsay, Derius Guice, Melvin Gordon
WR: DJ Moore, Courtland Sutton, DJ Chark, Desean Hamilton, Laquon Treadwell, Equanimous St. Brown, James Washington
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Re: Williams or Snead +?

Postby CharlieKelly » Sun Jun 11, 2017 4:28 pm

Have to admit I'm a little surprised at some of the responses. Snead seems to be really underrated and seems possible he's on his way to WR2 status with Cooks out of the picture. Not so sure about the trade now

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Re: Williams or Snead +?

Postby FKC » Sun Jun 11, 2017 6:03 pm

I voted Snead because of the 2 2nds. I like Williams over Snead, especially in the long term. Snead is more win now value, but I really liked the 2 2nds.
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Re: Williams or Snead +?

Postby TheRookiePro » Sun Jun 11, 2017 6:21 pm

CharlieKelly wrote: Sun Jun 11, 2017 4:28 pm Snead seems to be really underrated and seems possible he's on his way to WR2 status with Cooks out of the picture.
WR2!? That's a bit ambitious. Just because Cooks is gone, it doesn't mean Snead is going to take advantage of those missing targets. He has good hands and runs nice routes. But he's too slow and undersized, a good third receiving option for the Saints, an ok one for a fantasy team.

Brees had the second most passing attempts--673, the most in his career--last season, he had a great year for fantasy but the Saints went 7-9 for a third consecutive time. They are too one-dimensional behind a 38 year old QB. They added A.Peterson and Kamara for a reason. They want fresh legs behind Ingram in order to chew up the clock and lessen the time their defense--which gave up the third most points a game last season(28.3)--is on the field.

P.S. 5/7 of their victories were one score games.
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RB-Gurley, M. Gordon, Jeff Wilson, Tevin Coleman,T. Montgomery, John Kelly, Justin Davis
WR-K. Allen, T. Hill, Josh Gordon, Golladay, Fitzgerald, S. Watkins, J. Reynolds, Enunwa,
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Re: Williams or Snead +?

Postby CharlieKelly » Sun Jun 11, 2017 7:55 pm

TheRookiePro wrote: Sun Jun 11, 2017 6:21 pm
CharlieKelly wrote: Sun Jun 11, 2017 4:28 pm Snead seems to be really underrated and seems possible he's on his way to WR2 status with Cooks out of the picture.
WR2!? That's a bit ambitious. Just because Cooks is gone, it doesn't mean Snead is going to take advantage of those missing targets. He has good hands and runs nice routes. But he's too slow and undersized, a good third receiving option for the Saints, an ok one for a fantasy team.

Brees had the second most passing attempts--673, the most in his career--last season, he had a great year for fantasy but the Saints went 7-9 for a third consecutive time. They are too one-dimensional behind a 38 year old QB. They added A.Peterson and Kamara for a reason. They want fresh legs behind Ingram in order to chew up the clock and lessen the time their defense--which gave up the third most points a game last season(28.3)--is on the field.

P.S. 5/7 of their victories were one score games.
I don't think it's that ambitious. Snead finished as WR31 overall despite missing 1 game and playing through a toe injury all year. Who becomes the 2nd receiving option there if not Snead? Ginn? Fleener? Snead was already 3rd on the team in targets by a pretty decent margin before Cooks left.

Snead has had two solid seasons to begin his career and grades well above average in reception perception. I don't see how it's ambitious to assume he continues to take a step forward in his career and breaks 1,000 yards (he had 895 last year) and maybe ups his TD total from 4 to maybe 6-7.

That would pretty solidly put him in WR2 territory.

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Re: Williams or Snead +?

Postby Djg1996 » Sun Jun 11, 2017 8:08 pm

I voted Snead here.
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QB Jalen Hurts
RB Jerome Ford, Pierre Strong, D’Onta Foreman, Keaton Mitchell
WR Tee Higgins, Keenan Allen, Zay Flowers, Jayden Reed, Josh Downs
TE Dalton Kincaid, Donald Parham Jr,
K Eddy Piniero
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RB Nick Chubb Antonio Gibson Kenneth Gainwell
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TE Pat Freiermuth
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Re: Williams or Snead +?

Postby TheRookiePro » Sun Jun 11, 2017 8:13 pm

CharlieKelly wrote: Sun Jun 11, 2017 4:28 pm I don't see how it's ambitious to assume he continues to take a step forward in his career and breaks 1,000 yards (he had 895 last year) and maybe ups his TD total from 4 to maybe 6-7.

That would pretty solidly put him in WR2 territory.
Lol you're drunk off the Snead cool-aid. Hey best of luck to you. I don't put a ton of faith in slot receivers who run a 4.62.

2017 stats: Mike Wallace>Willie Snead
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RB-Gurley, M. Gordon, Jeff Wilson, Tevin Coleman,T. Montgomery, John Kelly, Justin Davis
WR-K. Allen, T. Hill, Josh Gordon, Golladay, Fitzgerald, S. Watkins, J. Reynolds, Enunwa,
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Re: Williams or Snead +?

Postby CharlieKelly » Sun Jun 11, 2017 8:27 pm

TheRookiePro wrote: Sun Jun 11, 2017 8:13 pm
CharlieKelly wrote: Sun Jun 11, 2017 4:28 pm I don't see how it's ambitious to assume he continues to take a step forward in his career and breaks 1,000 yards (he had 895 last year) and maybe ups his TD total from 4 to maybe 6-7.

That would pretty solidly put him in WR2 territory.
Lol you're drunk off the Snead cool-aid. Hey best of luck to you. I don't put a ton of faith in slot receivers who run a 4.62.

2017 stats: Mike Wallace>Willie Snead
I'm just asking why that's an unreasonable conclusion to come to? He had 104 targets last year, which should increase with the loss of Cooks.

Why is a 100 yard and 2-3 TD increase from a player entering his 3rd year "getting drunk off the Snead cool-aid"? Should we just assume a player can't get any better because he had a bad 40 time and was undrafted?

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Re: Williams or Snead +?

Postby nabright » Sun Jun 11, 2017 8:27 pm

TheRookiePro wrote: Sun Jun 11, 2017 8:13 pm
CharlieKelly wrote: Sun Jun 11, 2017 4:28 pm I don't see how it's ambitious to assume he continues to take a step forward in his career and breaks 1,000 yards (he had 895 last year) and maybe ups his TD total from 4 to maybe 6-7.

That would pretty solidly put him in WR2 territory.
Lol you're drunk off the Snead cool-aid. Hey best of luck to you. I don't put a ton of faith in slot receivers who run a 4.62.

2017 stats: Mike Wallace>Willie Snead
How is projecting 100 more yards and a couple more TDs that out of the realm of possibility? They just traded Cooks, who was a top 10 WR in PPR. There is going to be a lot of targets up for grabs. Thomas can't have many more targets than he did last year. Ginn will get his fair share, but most likely will be used on deep routes most of the time. Sure, speed matters, but running good routes can easily make up for that. i.e.: Wes Welker, Julian Edelman...

To stay on track, I would keep Williams. You have a solid WR core, so WR production is not a need for you right now. I'd rather try to trade for a vet WR that will come cheaper to solidify your depth.
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QB: ARod, Wilson, Goff, Winston, Taysom Hill
RB: Cook, Mack, Barber, L. Murray, Ito Smith, Bibbs
WR: ARob, Kupp, Miller(Chi), Agholar, Doctson, Grant, Gordon Z. Jones, Quinn(Wsh), Wilson(Mia)
TE: Reed, Ebron, Andrews, V. Davis, Gates, Herndon
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RB: Henry, Drake
WR: Nuk, ARob, Cooper, JuJu, Shepard, Hurns, Lockett, Stewart, Kupp
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Re: Williams or Snead +?

Postby CharlieKelly » Sun Jun 11, 2017 8:49 pm

nabright wrote: Sun Jun 11, 2017 8:27 pm
TheRookiePro wrote: Sun Jun 11, 2017 8:13 pm
Lol you're drunk off the Snead cool-aid. Hey best of luck to you. I don't put a ton of faith in slot receivers who run a 4.62.

2017 stats: Mike Wallace>Willie Snead
How is projecting 100 more yards and a couple more TDs that out of the realm of possibility? They just traded Cooks, who was a top 10 WR in PPR. There is going to be a lot of targets up for grabs. Thomas can't have many more targets than he did last year. Ginn will get his fair share, but most likely will be used on deep routes most of the time. Sure, speed matters, but running good routes can easily make up for that. i.e.: Wes Welker, Julian Edelman...

To stay on track, I would keep Williams. You have a solid WR core, so WR production is not a need for you right now. I'd rather try to trade for a vet WR that will come cheaper to solidify your depth.
Thanks for the insight. The only problem with trading another one of my players is that I don't really think I have the depth to trade anyone else at another position. It's a salary cap league and I spent all of my cap space on Olsen this year, so i'm pretty much maxed out in terms of my options.

I'm thinking about opting to make the move for Snead mostly because I have another trade lined up where i'll be moving Shepard for a 2018 1st, and i'd be more confident with Snead as my WR4 instead of Williams in that case.

But yeah, i'm worried that i'm giving up too much short term production for better long term production here.


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