D.J. Moore - Thoughts / Buy Low Opportunity?

[ajf235]

My team is built to compete for a championship next year in a 4-keeper half PPR $200 budget league. I have Aaron Jones for $6 and another owner has D.J. Moore for $3.

Initially, I figured that the owner wouldn’t sell Moore for Jones but with the news that Cam may miss 2019, I’m guessing now could be a good buy low opportunity.

If I’m gonna give up the immediate value of Jones for a guy who may be pretty useless in fantasy next year, I wanna make sure that Moore will be incredibly valuable when Cam returns. I know Moore was the consensus WR1 in this class, but it was a weak class and I know a lot of the guys are not projected to ever be alpha WR1 studs, but maybe Moore is different.

So I’m curious, how confident is everyone that Moore will develop into a WR1 within his first 3-4 years in the league?

[senska11]

I think his ceiling is a low-end WR1 but he's a solid WR2.
I would be buying right now, but I don't expect it to be a buy low opportunity. If you can get him low, jump on it. Also, the Cam missing 2019 stuff is completely overblown.

[Mjvb5]

voted not very as that tends to be the general odds on a player of his caliber in a similar situation. And I don't view that as a knock on him. becoming a true long term WR1 requires someone to be a transcendent talent (OBJ, Nuk, AB) or be a very above average talent in an elite situation (Adams). I beleive the odds on someone like him are roughly 33% or so but don't quote me on that.

[briank]

It's not like Cam is a great passer anyways. I don't think that news hurts his value much.

[Gator Sens]

I think it's more CMC that hurts his value then Cam. If you want Moore on your team moving forward, I think now is the best time to try and get him. It' basically the off-season and hype will build as OTA's and all start up again later in the summer.