Are TE's worth the high pick?

General discussion and team advice concerning Salary Cap & Auction leagues.
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Are TE's worth the high pick?

Postby apbohannon » Fri Apr 21, 2017 8:02 am

This is a pretty loaded class at TE talent, but I'm still having an internal struggle drafting one of these guys with high draft capital. In a salary cap league format (RSO specifically) where you don't retain the rights to the player like a typical dynasty format, is it worth paying a premium for a rookie TE when you will be losing control just as they are beginning to show return on the premium paid?

I understand this is largely in flux depending on the specific rules of the league and contract extensions/rookie contract years, but let's just say that you can only have the TE signed for 4-5 years max on his rookie deal and possible extensions; is it worth using a 1st rd. pick and paying the 1st rd. salary to a guy that, more than likely, won't produce for the first 2-3 years?

This is just something I've been toiling with given the projected talent this class has and where those top guys are being drafted.
Team 1:
QB - Joe Flacco, Jimmy Garoppolo, Jared Goff, Teddy Bridgewater
RB - Tevin Coleman, Ryan Mathews, CJ Prosise, Mike Gillislee, Jeremy Langford
WR - K. Aiken , A. Boldin, P. Cooper, T. Smith, Ty. Williams, T. Lockett, M. Mitchell, T.Williams
TE - Tyler Higbee, Austin Hooper, Vance McDonald

2017 Picks - 1.01, 1.04, 1.08, 1.09, 4.01
2018 Picks - 2x 1st (both projected top 4), 2nd, 3rd, 4th

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Re: Are TE's worth the high pick?

Postby moishetreats » Sat Apr 22, 2017 6:14 pm

I think that you're framing the question incorrectly.

Ask it this way: will this TE outplay his contract in years 3+ by enough to justify being overpaid in years 1 and 2?

That creates a better answer for a salary cap format.
Tm 1: 10 tms. 27 plyrs, PPR
Start: 2 QBs 2 RBs 3 WRs 2 TEs 2 Flex (RB/WR/TE)

QB: Rodgers, Wilson, Prescott, Hundley
RB: Gurley, Gordon, Mixon, Riddick, Foreman, Carson
WR: Hilton, Baldwin, D Thomas, Doctson, Anderson, Ty Williams, Z Jones
TE: Reed, Howard, J Smith, Kittle, Swoope, Butt, Seals-Jones, Vannett

2018 Picks: 3.04, 3.09, 5.01, 5.02
2019 Picks: 1st (x2), 2nd (x2), 3rd (x4)
2020 Picks: 1st, 2nd (x2), 3rd, 4th

Tm 2: 12 tms. 22 plyrs, max 2 {IR}, max 4 [Taxi]. Salary Cap: $300. PPR
Start: 1 QB 2 RB 3 WR 1 TE 1 1 Superflex 1 Flex / best ball

QB: Luck ($34 through 2021), Prescott (42/20), Winston (35/19)
RB: Crowell (7/19)
WR: Jordy (4/18), Fitzgerald (4/18), Maclin (3/18), Marshall (2/19)
TE: Gronk (2/20), Vannett (1/19)
Total + dead cap hits (2018): $139

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Re: Are TE's worth the high pick?

Postby Bay City Original » Sat Apr 22, 2017 6:39 pm

I agree with what Moishetreats said... with the time it takes to develop a TE (and to find out if they will pan out), I wouldn't go too crazy to draft a TE. I def wouldn't trade to move up for one but if one drops down to me and I feel it's a "value" to pick him, I'd go that route. If you hit, cool. I'd rather invest in a TE that's a couple year's developed that I think might break through.

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Re: Are TE's worth the high pick?

Postby bruiser » Sat Apr 22, 2017 7:43 pm

I play in 16-tm, start 2TE leagues. They are a premium, and Henry Hunter is evidence enough that the age-old developmental barriers are able to be broken. Gronk had 10TDs as a rook (I think). There will be one or two of this year's crop that proves to be startable in my format. You have to know how it applies to your format.
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