Sammy/Hill value and strategy

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BigBawseRoss
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Sammy/Hill value and strategy

Postby BigBawseRoss » Mon Mar 18, 2019 5:42 am

anyone going out and buying Sammy cheap? owners asking for more now? what would you pay to have a possible WR1 on a Pat Mahomes offense?

Anyone going out and buying Hill and thinking "eh he will get 8 games but come back and get a job and be an elite wr once again"?

Buying off a win now team seems like a great move, i sold cheap on a team i am back to back champion mostly because i dont want to miss a beat if he does get heavy punishment.


I've already dumped 2 shares of Hill and looking to get off my last 2, not giving him away but def selling cheap (one deal i sent Hill a 3rd and a 6th for Corey Davis, another i sent Hill, Curtis Samuel, and a mid 2 for Keenan Allen and Kenneth Dixon) but now I'm thinking i gotta get more Sammy if the price is cheap why not?

Im more curious how people are viewing Sammy and his potential in a world without Hill, are you buying?

seems a lot of hill owners are nervously holding and hoping for positive news. In the meantime id send some lowball sammy offers and hope they either dont know the news or have been waiting for an opportunity like this to get some value out of him via trade.
team 1
12 team, 1 pt for 4 rec, 0.1 per rush
1qb, 3 rb, 4 wr, te, k, 4 idp
Dak , Herbert
Achane, Breece Hall, KW3Kyren,Ford, Miller, Spiller, z evans, singletary
J Jefferson, Diggs, DK, D Smith Puka, C Watson, E Moore
Njoku , HH, Engram

2024 picks
1,3,4,5,5,6,7 (all late mostly)

team 2
12 team .5ppr
qb, 2 rb, 2 wr, te, flx,flx,
Fields, Dak
Ford,Mixon, Javonte, Mostert, Chubb, Spears
Hopkins, Evans, g Wilson Mingo, shaheed, Jamo
Kelce,McBride, Chig,


1,2,3,3,5

team 3
14 team sf, even scoring idp to offense (rb scores highly too)
Josh Allen, A Rich, Foles, Rudolph
Bijan, Charbs, Spears, Ebner
J Williams, G Wilson, C Watson, Flowers, J Addison, Tillman
Kincaid, Kolar, Ruckert, Fergeson

Kenny Clark, josh allen, jaelen phillips, felix a-u and a bunch of fluff and rookie fliers at idp

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FantasyFoosball
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Re: Sammy/Hill value and strategy

Postby FantasyFoosball » Mon Mar 18, 2019 6:05 am

I have Hill and Sammy. Put both on the trade block. Zero offers.

I was in negotiations with three owners prior to the Hill news, but once the Hill news hit, they all scattered. Still no idea what I'm going to do.
Team One:
10 Team Salary Cap League w/ IDP - Est. 2018
2018: Champions!
2019: Champions!!
2020: 2nd Place
2021: Loss in Semis
2022: Champions!!!
.5 PPR/$200 budget
1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 WR/TE, 1 K, 2 DL, 2 LB, 2 DB, 3 DL/LB/DB

QB - Mahomes
RB - CMC, White, Sanders, Herbert, Foreman, McKinnon
WR - Diggs, Ridley, Godwin, KJ Osborn, Woods, Claypool, Campbell
TE - Kittle, Goedert, Gesicki
K - Bass
DL - Reddick, Jones, M. Sweat
LB - R. Smith, Wagner, Leonard, White, Perryman, Cashman
DB - Byard, Bell, Hobbs, Jenkins

2024: 3rd

Team Two:
DLF Advice Forum League
14 Team PPR SF/TE Premium (2PPR)
2020: 4th Place
2021: 2nd Place
1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, 1SF, 2Flex
QB - Allen, Carr, Mayfield, Trask, Zappe
RB - Harris, Gibson, Herbert, K. Miller, C. Brown
WR - MT, G. Davis, Bourne, Skyy Moore, Reynolds, Shakir, A.T. Perry, C. Moore, Hinton
TE - Kittle, Andrews, Woods

2024: 1, 2, 3, 4

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Re: Sammy/Hill value and strategy

Postby Gator Sens » Mon Mar 18, 2019 6:21 am

As a Mahomes owner, I would love to take a shot at Watkins but I'm guessing his price will be ridiculous at this point and not worth it at all.

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BigBawseRoss
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Re: Sammy/Hill value and strategy

Postby BigBawseRoss » Mon Mar 18, 2019 7:13 am

im in a startup right now and he still went 2.11 which is absurd to me. but it goes to show there are owners out there holding out hope and thinking things are fine..
team 1
12 team, 1 pt for 4 rec, 0.1 per rush
1qb, 3 rb, 4 wr, te, k, 4 idp
Dak , Herbert
Achane, Breece Hall, KW3Kyren,Ford, Miller, Spiller, z evans, singletary
J Jefferson, Diggs, DK, D Smith Puka, C Watson, E Moore
Njoku , HH, Engram

2024 picks
1,3,4,5,5,6,7 (all late mostly)

team 2
12 team .5ppr
qb, 2 rb, 2 wr, te, flx,flx,
Fields, Dak
Ford,Mixon, Javonte, Mostert, Chubb, Spears
Hopkins, Evans, g Wilson Mingo, shaheed, Jamo
Kelce,McBride, Chig,


1,2,3,3,5

team 3
14 team sf, even scoring idp to offense (rb scores highly too)
Josh Allen, A Rich, Foles, Rudolph
Bijan, Charbs, Spears, Ebner
J Williams, G Wilson, C Watson, Flowers, J Addison, Tillman
Kincaid, Kolar, Ruckert, Fergeson

Kenny Clark, josh allen, jaelen phillips, felix a-u and a bunch of fluff and rookie fliers at idp

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Re: Sammy/Hill value and strategy

Postby kiszl » Mon Mar 18, 2019 7:25 am

Current hill owner. Had 4 offers prior to news and have had 2 after but the value hasnt been what it was before.

Unless I'm missing something new related I dont think the hill worry is justified. The first report that came out two weeks ago was thrown away and the one that happened last week he wasnt listed on so unless the NFL has factual written proof that he was involved they cant really take action. I dont think Hill gets suspended and even if he does Im not selling for cheap. Id rather wait until he establishes himself again after suspension and sell then sell right now when his price is by far the lowest.
10 team half ppr 1qb 2rb 2wr 1te 2 flex
Russel Wilson, Jameis Winston, Jimmy Garoppolo, Sam Darnold, Taysom Hill
Justin Jefferson, Brandon Aiyuk, Courtland Sutton, D.J Moore, Tyler Boyd, Terrace Marshall, TY Hilton, Allen Lazard, Mike Williams, Tim Patrick
Dalvin Cook, Ezekiel Elliott, Cam Akers, Najee Harris, Raheem Mostert, Philip Lindsay, AJ Dillon, Zack Moss
Noah Fant, Tim Tebow, O.J Howard
Taxi Squad: T Lance, D People-Jones, A Okwuegbunam, F Darby, J Jefferson, K Trask, R Stevenson, T Tremble
2022: 1, 2, 5, 6, 7
2023: 1, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 5, 6, 7
2024: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7

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Re: Sammy/Hill value and strategy

Postby Dynasty_Analyst » Mon Mar 18, 2019 7:26 am

I'm on the opposite side I've bought Hill for not cheap prices in 3 of my 4 dynasty leagues. He might be a really bad person but my bet is he's a really bad person playing football next season. If he gets the book thrown at him or suspended the whole year I royally $&#-ed myself. Not the best place to be in I suppose counting on hills morality but I am banking on the NFLs ineptitude. None of my leagues were/are selling Hill at the cheap prices I've seen around here. Very little drop in perceived value but I got at a good discount

My opinion on Watkins is I would definitely be looking to sell high if I can. Unless he finally breaks out he most assuredly will not be a chief in 2020 at 16 million with no garunteed money left.
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Re: Sammy/Hill value and strategy

Postby saw061600 » Mon Mar 18, 2019 7:53 am

Have Watkins on the trade block in all leagues: not a single offer.
Sent out some offers and inquiries for Hill; every single owner looking for pre-news value.
I think many are waiting to see what happens and I don't really blame them.
10 TM No PPR or waiver 85RST
Herbert Fields Garoppolo Ridder
JT Barkley Etienne Ingram Charb CEH
Evans Aiyuk Dionte Jeudy London JWill GWils EMoore JMyers Mims Moorex2
Andrews Kinkaid Pits Freiermuth
NBosa Quinnen DJJones Clark F-Myers Taylor Graham
Darius Okereke Kendricks DCampbell DJones Baker Kiser Brooks
Adams Simmons Vaccaro Joseph

12 TM .5ppr 45 RST
Herbert Stroud Mayfield
JT Achane Kamara Ford Pacheco Jaleel
AJB DK Godwin Aiyuk Kirk ZJones RMoore Thornton
Hock F-muth
LWilliams Payne Reed Greenard
Bernard Kendricks Warner Baker Williams Tranquil
Budda McKinney Clark Wilson

1-2QB 2-4RB 3-5WR 1-3TE 11OFF/DEF
Herbert Stafford Brock Dobbs
Taylor Jacobs Mattison Kyren Jaleel Ford Bigsby
AJB Diggs Evans Kirk McLaurin Dionte Boyd Renfrow JuJu
Kelce Pitts Deguara
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Re: Sammy/Hill value and strategy

Postby WhatWouldDitkaDo » Mon Mar 18, 2019 7:56 am

saw061600 wrote: Mon Mar 18, 2019 7:53 am Have Watkins on the trade block in all leagues: not a single offer.
Sent out some offers and inquiries for Hill; every single owner looking for pre-news value.
I think everyone's waiting to see what happens and I don't really blame them.
Agreed. I've seen a few panic sells, but I haven't gotten any offers in the leagues where I own Hill. It's probably prudent to acquire Watkins if you can for a mid/late 1st, but the asking price might be more given the Hill news story.
Kittles Pox | Championships: 2015, 2017
12-Team PPR | QB, 2RB, 2WR, TE, W/R/T, K, DST
QB: Kyler Murray, Aaron Rodgers
RB: Christian McCaffrey, Melvin Gordon, James Conner, Phillip Lindsay, Tevin Coleman, Boston Scott, Benny Snell Jr.
WR: Tyreek Hill, Mike Evans, Cooper Kupp, Michael Gallup, Christian Kirk
TE: George Kittle, Travis Kelce | K: Younghoe Koo | DST: SF
PS: Mecole Hardman, Tony Pollard | 2020 Picks: 1.09, 2.10, 3.03 | 2021 Picks: 1st, 2nd

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Re: Sammy/Hill value and strategy

Postby Adam_172 » Mon Mar 18, 2019 8:06 am

I'd pay a late 1st fo Watkins but nothing more than that.
TEAM 1
Dynasty PPR 1QB (12 Team League)

QB - Murray, Fields, Pickett, Howell.
RB - Gibbs, R. White, Swift, Javonte Williams, Charbonnet, Allegier, Tank Bigsby, Penny.
WR - Nacua, Dell, Hollywood, Jameson Williams, Burks, Mooney, Atwell, Melton, Phillips, Washington, Lazard.
TE - Ferguson, Mayer, Knox.
DEF - Bills, Vikings.

Rookie Picks: 1.02, 2.02, 3.02, 4.02 and 5.02.


TEAM 2
Dynasty PPR - SuperFlex and TE Prem. (16 teams)

QB - Prescott, Pickett, Ridder, Mariota, Mullins, Willis.
RB - Walker III, R. White, Montgomery, Singletary, R. Jones, Mack, Hull, Sermon.
WR - Adams, Higgins, Watson, Meyers, Gabe Davis, W. Robinson, Dotson, Raymond, ARob.
TE - McBride, H. Henry, B. Jordan, Bates, B. Hopkins.

Rookie Picks: 2.14 and 3.14.

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Re: Sammy/Hill value and strategy

Postby makemeasandwich » Mon Mar 18, 2019 8:17 am

I’m actually looking at this as an opportunity to sell Watkins for more than I think he’s worth.
Last edited by makemeasandwich on Mon Mar 18, 2019 8:22 am, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: Sammy/Hill value and strategy

Postby makemeasandwich » Mon Mar 18, 2019 8:21 am

kiszl wrote: Mon Mar 18, 2019 7:25 am Current hill owner. Had 4 offers prior to news and have had 2 after but the value hasnt been what it was before.

Unless I'm missing something new related I dont think the hill worry is justified. The first report that came out two weeks ago was thrown away and the one that happened last week he wasnt listed on so unless the NFL has factual written proof that he was involved they cant really take action. I dont think Hill gets suspended and even if he does Im not selling for cheap. Id rather wait until he establishes himself again after suspension and sell then sell right now when his price is by far the lowest.
If hill is implicated in breaking his child’s arm he’s not going to get suspensded, he’s going straight to jail and barred from the league.

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Re: Sammy/Hill value and strategy

Postby BigBawseRoss » Mon Mar 18, 2019 8:35 am

https://www.sbnation.com/2014/9/17/6334 ... s-timeline

makes me think of AP, he obviously came back but was out for an entire season. at one point it was looking like he was only going to miss a few games...

think that might be the case here but not sure, AP was already a glorified legend when his story broke, idk if public opinion will matter here or not, for hill i hope not as he was not viewed as a holy man prior to these allegations.

i could see a bigger ban though as the NFL has been on more damage control since this AP story of 2014. time will tell
team 1
12 team, 1 pt for 4 rec, 0.1 per rush
1qb, 3 rb, 4 wr, te, k, 4 idp
Dak , Herbert
Achane, Breece Hall, KW3Kyren,Ford, Miller, Spiller, z evans, singletary
J Jefferson, Diggs, DK, D Smith Puka, C Watson, E Moore
Njoku , HH, Engram

2024 picks
1,3,4,5,5,6,7 (all late mostly)

team 2
12 team .5ppr
qb, 2 rb, 2 wr, te, flx,flx,
Fields, Dak
Ford,Mixon, Javonte, Mostert, Chubb, Spears
Hopkins, Evans, g Wilson Mingo, shaheed, Jamo
Kelce,McBride, Chig,


1,2,3,3,5

team 3
14 team sf, even scoring idp to offense (rb scores highly too)
Josh Allen, A Rich, Foles, Rudolph
Bijan, Charbs, Spears, Ebner
J Williams, G Wilson, C Watson, Flowers, J Addison, Tillman
Kincaid, Kolar, Ruckert, Fergeson

Kenny Clark, josh allen, jaelen phillips, felix a-u and a bunch of fluff and rookie fliers at idp

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Re: Sammy/Hill value and strategy

Postby AresGodOWar » Mon Mar 18, 2019 8:47 am

BigBawseRoss wrote: Mon Mar 18, 2019 8:35 am https://www.sbnation.com/2014/9/17/6334 ... s-timeline

makes me think of AP, he obviously came back but was out for an entire season. at one point it was looking like he was only going to miss a few games...

think that might be the case here but not sure, AP was already a glorified legend when his story broke, idk if public opinion will matter here or not, for hill i hope not as he was not viewed as a holy man prior to these allegations.

i could see a bigger ban though as the NFL has been on more damage control since this AP story of 2014. time will tell
The thing is if he really broke his 3 year old kids arm he isn't getting suspended he is going to jail and getting banned from the NFL , It is a lot worse than what AP did plus he already beat up his 8 week pregnant GF even punched her in the stomach in 2014 so he has a history.
(1) 12 Team, QB 1.5 PPRushingYard, TE 1.5 PPR
QB-J.Hurts, B.Mayfield, K.Murray
RB-A.Ekeler, S.Barkley, T.Pollard, D.Swift, Z.Moss, T.Chandler, J.Kelley
WR-D.Samuel, M.Pittman, M.Brown, J.Jeudy, J.Addison, R.Moore, S.Moore, KJ.Osborn, J.Tolbert
TE-M.Andrews, D.Waller

(2) 12 Team, 1 PPR
QB-J.Hurts, R.Wilson
RB-J.Mixon, A.Ekeler, I.Pacheco, A.Mattison, C.Akers, A.Gibson, I.Spiller
WR-T.Hill, M.Brown, C.Olave, DJ.Moore J.Jeudy, J.Hyatt
TE-D.Schultz, G.Everett, J.Ferguson

(3) 12 Team, .15 PPCarry, WR 1.25 PPR, TE 2 PPR
QB-L.Jackson, J.Dobbs, T.Lance
RB-J.Jacobs, S.Barkley, A.Mattison, M.Sanders, Z.White, T.Chandler
WR-C.Lamb, AJ.Brown, J.Jeudy, M.Pittman, J.Tolbert
TE-D.Waller, J.Smith, G.Everett

(4) 14 Team SF, .2 PPCarry, TE 1.65 PPR
QB-J.Allen, G.Smith, J.Dobbs
RB-C.McCaffery, J.Mixon, J.Jacobs, Jav.Williams, C.Hubbard, S.Perine, C.Evans
WR-C.Godwin, J.Addison, C.Samuel, D.Parker
TE-D.Schultz, J.Ferguson


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Re: Sammy/Hill value and strategy

Postby nosferatu » Mon Mar 18, 2019 8:50 am

I already own two shares of Hill, but was thinking of adding a 3rd share. I'm lacking a TE in my startup.

Give: Thielen, 1.12
Get: Hill, Njoku/Henry

Can't decide if I'm crazy enough to own 3 dicey shares.
A - 12tm PPR: QB, SFLX, 3RB, 3WR, TE, FLX

QBs: Burrow, Lawrence, Fields, Darnold, Wilson, Rypien
RBs: Dillon, Nwangwu, junk
WRs: Chark, Reagor, Chase, Smith, Bateman, Mooney, Rodgers, Waddle, Preston, Lazard
TEs: Herndon, Freiermuth, Sternberger
2022: 1, 2, 2, 3, 3, 4

B - 12tm PPR: QB, 2RB, 3WR, TE, 2FLX (SFLX in 2022)

QBs: Mahomes, Ryan, Eason
RBs: Cook, Jones, Gordon, Robinson, Gibson, Mattison, Harris, Jackson, Hasty, Michel
WRs: Adams, Nuk, Golladay, Boyd, Preston, Shepard, Gage, Harry
TEs: Henry, Ebron, Hurst, Graham
2021: 1.11, 3.11, 4.11 2022: 1, 2, 3, 4


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