Like everyone else.. need Bell advice

[robluhrs]

So.. I am in first place by 2 games (we do double headers every week, 16 team league). BUT my only startable RB is Crowell. And while that's worked thus far.. unless Bell or Foreman magically come back in the next week or so.. my hold on first is tenuous at best.
Been shopping pretty hard.. and some fillers have come across as options.. (Ross and a 3rd for Carson) something with Gore that I refused..
and then trying to shop Bell.
On the Bell front.. I was working towards a Kerryon and a top 3 2019 first for Bell and my second.. but he decided to wait a week to think.. and then Kerryon blew up.. so I'd have to give more to make that deal work....
Other owner who is willing to deal has Breida, Aaron Jones, Lindsday and Mack as RB's that he'd move.. (he also has Guice and Conner who he said are untouchable).. As I need a better back up QB, he offered to through in Carr to help me through my bye week.. BUT. i feel like Lindsay + Carr + a 2019 first likely just isn't enough value for Bell... I don't know.... thoughts from the peanut gallery?

[BigBawseRoss]

offer sucks

[Dirty Mike&the Boys]

Can't let recency bias work in those ways. "Kerryon and a top 3 2019 first for Bell and my second" is already unfair imo. You shouldn't need to add a 2nd. Just because Kerryon had a stellar outing doesn't put him and the first worth more than Bell.

I traded Bell for CMC and a mid 2019 first earlier, and am happy with it. It was good value, and a fair trade. If your best offers are these, then I'd recommend holding.

[robluhrs]

Yeah.. I feel like holding is likely my best option.. BUT.. At some point I need to do something to make up for having Crowell as my only back.. I have made it this far on a few monster games from Sanders/Kittle/Landry/Diggs/Crowell/Lockett/Ryan.. BUT.. Crowell is still the big liability here.
I guess Carson is no worse and let's me hold Bell till his value re-appears....

[jeffster]

Can't let recency bias work in those ways. "Kerryon and a top 3 2019 first for Bell and my second" is already unfair imo. You shouldn't need to add a 2nd. Just because Kerryon had a stellar outing doesn't put him and the first worth more than Bell.

I traded Bell for CMC and a mid 2019 first earlier, and am happy with it. It was good value, and a fair trade. If your best offers are these, then I'd recommend holding.

Just because it "happened recently" doesn't mean it's recency bias. There are huge red flags for Bell, not the least of which are his age, high mileage, hold out this season, and unknown situation next season. I also find it alarming that, while we knew his situation was excellent, we're now seeing a guy who was drafted outside of the top 100 step in and instantly have success in his stead. It seems like a virtual certainty that Bell's situation has no where to go but down.

The offer doesn't sound bad on the surface, but if I was holding Kerryon and a likely top-3 1st, I would probably not move them for Bell right now. I wouldn't be surprised if you can't get very good value for Bell right now though, so you might have no choice but to hope, and hang on until he's on the field again.