fantasydem wrote: ↑Mon Sep 18, 2017 5:03 pm
moishetreats wrote: ↑Mon Sep 18, 2017 4:29 pm
srlarson wrote: ↑Mon Sep 18, 2017 1:59 pm
with your QB and RB situation...don't see this team competing....not sure what you got for your picks, assuming your WR's...but looks like a long painful rebuild.
x2. My thoughts, too. Not sure what you were seeing this off-season.
Good lesson, though: don't put all your chips in the middle before a single card has been dealt (unless you have aces)... you leave yourself with no outs. That's where you are now.
Not quite sure I understand what people on this site consider "competing". I'd think 2 of the 3 best receivers and 4 of the top 15-18 receivers on a team along with a RB that finished top 10 last year & a solid workhorse in Hyde. QBs are obviously not a strong point but Staff, if my memory serves me right, finished top 10 last year leaving Eli as the lone dud would be considered competing but I could have my bias goggles on.
Fair point, and I'll explain more.
It's a 12-team SF league. Everyone in theory has a top-12 QB and top-24 QB. Everyone in theory has a top-12 RB and a top-24 RB. Everyone in theory has a top-12 WR and a top-24 WR. Everyone in theory has a top-12 TE. And everyone in theory two more top-36 RBs or WRs. That's your starting line-up.
Of course, it's never perfectly balanced. Some teams will have injuries, others will be rebuilding, and others will just suck at player evaluation. So, some teams will have far fewer than the typical starters. Those players must therefore be redistributed to other teams, meaning that other teams will have, say, two top-12 QBs and/or 2 flex players in the top-24 of their position rather than the top 36.
There's more.
Even if everyone has exactly the same number of top-X players, there is a hierarchy in those tiers. Some teams will have players at the top of the tiers and some at the bottom. Some, of course, will have multiple players at the top of those tiers.
Then, put those together. Every year, there will be at least a couple of teams with BOTH more players in the top-X of their position AND more players at the top of those tiers. Those are the teams that will likely compete for the championship.
When looking at your team, WR definitely fits the bill. TE is fine, too (though the depth is suspect). But, RB is just okay -- Howard is a mid-tier RB1 and Hyde a mid-tier or maybe upper-tier RB2, and you have limited depth. Can't compete with any team that has two top-12 RBs. And QB is wayyyyy behind; in an SF, it's the difference-making position.
And even though your top-3 WRs are elite, you don't have the depth behind them for bye weeks, injuries, or unexpected under-performances. Let's say that all three meet expectations, though: they can't overcome the glaring holes elsewhere. Throw in the fact that you have no 2018 draft pick ammo to improve your team, and I don't see where the wins come from. You need all three WRs to be their very best and you need some of your starters to far exceed expectations just to give yourself the chance to compete with the teams that are ahead of you. You have no room for misses. And no reinforcements coming.
Believe me, I'm not trying to be harsh but am trying to give you my honest assessment. Three stud WRs in an SF league can't overcome average-at-best starters at all other positions (except for TE) with no depth and no 2018 picks. Your realistic ceiling, IMO, is playing for third place... and there's no reason to expect improvement next year since you're already banking on getting your players' best production possible.
So, keep down this road, and, yeah, I agree that you'll have to endure a long painful rebuild as you struggle (and likely fail) to compete every year while your elite players age out of elite value.