Will someone help talk me into this?

This is the place for team advice - should I make this trade, should I draft that player, etc.
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Golly Dagger
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Re: Will someone help talk me into this?

Postby Golly Dagger » Sun Apr 23, 2017 10:33 pm

I hate Keenan Allen and I'd still take this in a heartbeat.
Team 1:
Fantasy Slams (est. 2015) - Golly Dagger
1st season: 7-7 (Missed playoffs)
2nd season: 7-6 (1st rd exit)
3rd season: 6-7 (Missed playoffs)
4th season: 11-2 (League Champ)
5th season: 9-4 (1st rd exit)

.5 PPR, 6pt TD, 4pt TD Pass, 25 roster, 14 team (6 Playoffs), 1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 2 Flex (RB/WR/TE), 1LB, 1DL, 1DB, 1 Flex IDP:

QB: Jackson, Darnold
RB: Mixon, Gurley, Guice
WR: Cooper, Golladay, Metcalf, Campbell, Boykin, Isabella, Ross, Dulin
TE: Kittle, I. Thomas
DL: J. Bosa
LB: Darius Leonard, Barrett, Esche
DB: Collins

Draft capital: 1.02, 1.06, 4.12, 5.04, 6.04, 7.04, 7.09

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M-Dub
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Re: Will someone help talk me into this?

Postby M-Dub » Sun Apr 23, 2017 11:57 pm

crisdecamposmd wrote: Sun Apr 23, 2017 9:56 pm
Iamwebb223 wrote: Sat Apr 22, 2017 12:30 pm I've been contacted about my 1.11 in our rookie draft. He's throwing out Keenan Allen. Love his talent and situation but he cannot stay healthy. Am i crazy for saying no??? Team 1 in sig.
I think it depends on your depth chart and what's available. I think there will be a big shift in WRs this year so I stacked up last year utilizing the waiver. I have Tyrell Williams and would not trade him for Keenan Allen. Most people think that's absolutely nuts... but he's bigger, taller, faster, younger, and healthier. Keenan Allen put up monster points for half a year? Not only is it unlikely he'll put up the same points, he's rarely healthy. The following is my bench stash, and I think I'd take MOST of them before KA at 1.11: (in addition to these guys I have AJ Green)

- Kamar Aiken
- Jaron Brown
- Chris Conley
- Josh Doctson (I have B Quick too... who you could pick up at the end of your draft... at least one of them will have a monster year... assuming Cousins isn't in SF this time next week)
- Quincy Enunwa
- Marqise Lee
- Jordan Matthews
- Cameron Meredith
- Cordarrelle Patterson
- Eli Rogers

Clearly KA is rated higher than just about all of these guys. But, I think they all have a lot of upside based on their talent and situation.

AIKEN - is a stud with a chip on his shoulder and the OC remembers him when he came in as an UDFA in Buffalo (I think) and from what I've read he was even a stud at that time, plus he was the OC on another team (I think the Chiefs) when he had a monster game on them, including snagging a 50 yard TD bomb at halftime and another play of beating Marcus Peters deep.
BROWN - if you read up on him you'll find that he has been a monster Monday-Saturday on that team but has just been stuck behind Floyd (draft equity) and Fitz (last year). He has made some big time plays on Sunday but his opportunities have been limited... If he comes back healthy from his ACL though, he should have a good chance at a 800-1100 year, and then even more upside in 2018.
CONLEY - I can afford to hold him
DOCTSON/QUICK - One or both of these guys will have a monster year, simple logic on this one really -- grab them both, Doctson will be favored to get the targets (draft equity), but Quick can easily make big plays and is also simply behind Pryor/Doctson, both who have struggled with injuries.
ENUNWA - they didn't see paying Marshall 7.5 million which tells you something about Enunwa. They've been very happy with his development and Marshall's 130 targets just walked out the door. Some of those will absolutely be going to Enunwa who already had 105 in 2016.
LEE - drafted higher than AR15, finally emerged as a healthy version of himself in 2015. He was far more efficient than AR15 in 2016 -- 63/851/3 on 105 targets vs 73/883/6 on 151 targets. I'd expect it to be a coin flip between who is going to get more targets in 2017. Theoretically, if the targets were swapped Lee would have produced in the area of 88/1,191/4-5.
MATTHEWS - His value has plummeted, but he has done nothing to warrant that. Jeffery is actually his comparison when all the objective physical numbers are compared... the difference is he went into a good fantasy situation in Chicago and Matthews went into a horrific one -- limited to slot duties, surrounded by no other weapons, inconsistent coaching and QB play. Jeffery can very easily miss half of next year on top of that. Matthews advanced metrics actually compare to Jeffery, Fitzgerald, Jordy Nelson, AJ Green, and Eric Decker. If Wentz simply progresses in year 2, Matthews will most likely be a 1000 receiver, especially if Jeffery or Smith can ever command double-coverage.
MEREDITH - Clearly their #1. The GM raves about him and compares his development to Maquess Colston.
PATTERSON - Can be taken in late late rounds probably and, like Quick, has moved into a much better situation.
ROGERS - I can afford to hold him. Plus, if AB goes down he may have a chance to really go wild in his 2nd year.
I appreciate your boundless optimism, but damn, you must drive trade partners crazy with some of those valuations. Haha.

To the OP, take Keenan already.
Both are 12-team 1QB PPR dynasties

🦬PRIME🦬
QB: Hurts, Howell
RB: Mixon, Jones, Sanders, Dobbins, Akers, Roschon, Dowdle, Kelley
WR: Nuk, Godwin, Cooper, Lockett, Flowers, Chark, Collins, Hollins, Tillman, Tolbert
TE: Hockenson, Chig, Trautman
Taxi: Willis, Z. White, M. Mims, T. Palmer

Hull Awaits
$450 cap, 60 contract years

QB: Lawrence $5/3, Richardson $5/5, Minshew $1/0, Jones $1/0, Heinicke $1/0, Tyrod $1/0
RB: Achane $4/4, Warren $2/4, Roschon $7/5, Dillon $4/1, Hubbard $2/1, Kelley $1/0
WR: Nuk $78/1, MT $25/1, M. Williams $1/0, JSN $21/5, Reed $4/5, Rice $4/5, M. Wilson $2/5
TE: Thomas $1/0, Hill $1/0, Parham $1/0

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Re: Will someone help talk me into this?

Postby IR1 » Mon Apr 24, 2017 5:45 am

KA
10Team PPR-QB/RB/WR/WR/TE/PK/flex-DT/DE/DE/LB/LB/LB/CB/CB/S/S/flex
QB- Herbert, Tua
RB- Barkley, Swift, Montgomery, Dobbins, Walker
WR-Adams, ARSB, JWilliams, Godwin, Metcalf, Allen, Kirk, Flowers
TE- Kelce, Goedert
PK
DT- Buckner, Simmons, QWilliams,
DE- Hunter, JBosa, Thibodeaux, JPHillips, Rousseau, Paye, Greenard
LB- Edmunds, Warner, E Kendricks, Wagner, De"Vondre Campbell, Asamoah, Sanders
CB- Moore, Howard, Reed
S- Dugger, Pitre, Thompson
IR Dobbins, Dulcich
Taxi- Kincaid, QJohnston

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AresGodOWar
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Re: Will someone help talk me into this?

Postby AresGodOWar » Mon Apr 24, 2017 6:14 am

Yeah you are crazy for even asking about it Keenan is going top 20 in startups
(1) 12 Team, QB 1.5 PPRushingYard, TE 1.5 PPR
QB-J.Hurts, B.Mayfield, K.Murray
RB-A.Ekeler, S.Barkley, T.Pollard, D.Swift, Z.Moss, T.Chandler, J.Kelley
WR-D.Samuel, M.Pittman, M.Brown, J.Jeudy, J.Addison, R.Moore, S.Moore, KJ.Osborn, J.Tolbert
TE-M.Andrews, D.Waller

(2) 12 Team, 1 PPR
QB-J.Hurts, R.Wilson
RB-J.Mixon, A.Ekeler, I.Pacheco, A.Mattison, C.Akers, A.Gibson, I.Spiller
WR-T.Hill, M.Brown, C.Olave, DJ.Moore J.Jeudy, J.Hyatt
TE-D.Schultz, G.Everett, J.Ferguson

(3) 12 Team, .15 PPCarry, WR 1.25 PPR, TE 2 PPR
QB-L.Jackson, J.Dobbs, T.Lance
RB-J.Jacobs, S.Barkley, A.Mattison, M.Sanders, Z.White, T.Chandler
WR-C.Lamb, AJ.Brown, J.Jeudy, M.Pittman, J.Tolbert
TE-D.Waller, J.Smith, G.Everett

(4) 14 Team SF, .2 PPCarry, TE 1.65 PPR
QB-J.Allen, G.Smith, J.Dobbs
RB-C.McCaffery, J.Mixon, J.Jacobs, Jav.Williams, C.Hubbard, S.Perine, C.Evans
WR-C.Godwin, J.Addison, C.Samuel, D.Parker
TE-D.Schultz, J.Ferguson


Teams 5-8 memberlist.php?mode=viewprofile&u=36583
Teams 9-12 memberlist.php?mode=viewprofile&u=26151
Teams 13-16 memberlist.php?mode=viewprofile&u=42194
Team 17 memberlist.php?mode=viewprofile&u=31326

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Re: Will someone help talk me into this?

Postby flyersfan1981 » Mon Apr 24, 2017 6:23 am

crisdecamposmd wrote: Sun Apr 23, 2017 9:56 pm
Iamwebb223 wrote: Sat Apr 22, 2017 12:30 pm I've been contacted about my 1.11 in our rookie draft. He's throwing out Keenan Allen. Love his talent and situation but he cannot stay healthy. Am i crazy for saying no??? Team 1 in sig.
I think it depends on your depth chart and what's available. I think there will be a big shift in WRs this year so I stacked up last year utilizing the waiver. I have Tyrell Williams and would not trade him for Keenan Allen. Most people think that's absolutely nuts... but he's bigger, taller, faster, younger, and healthier. Keenan Allen put up monster points for half a year? Not only is it unlikely he'll put up the same points, he's rarely healthy. The following is my bench stash, and I think I'd take MOST of them before KA at 1.11: (in addition to these guys I have AJ Green)

- Kamar Aiken
- Jaron Brown
- Chris Conley
- Josh Doctson (I have B Quick too... who you could pick up at the end of your draft... at least one of them will have a monster year... assuming Cousins isn't in SF this time next week)
- Quincy Enunwa
- Marqise Lee
- Jordan Matthews
- Cameron Meredith
- Cordarrelle Patterson
- Eli Rogers


Clearly KA is rated higher than just about all of these guys. But, I think they all have a lot of upside based on their talent and situation.

AIKEN - is a stud with a chip on his shoulder and the OC remembers him when he came in as an UDFA in Buffalo (I think) and from what I've read he was even a stud at that time, plus he was the OC on another team (I think the Chiefs) when he had a monster game on them, including snagging a 50 yard TD bomb at halftime and another play of beating Marcus Peters deep.
BROWN - if you read up on him you'll find that he has been a monster Monday-Saturday on that team but has just been stuck behind Floyd (draft equity) and Fitz (last year). He has made some big time plays on Sunday but his opportunities have been limited... If he comes back healthy from his ACL though, he should have a good chance at a 800-1100 year, and then even more upside in 2018.
CONLEY - I can afford to hold him
DOCTSON/QUICK - One or both of these guys will have a monster year, simple logic on this one really -- grab them both, Doctson will be favored to get the targets (draft equity), but Quick can easily make big plays and is also simply behind Pryor/Doctson, both who have struggled with injuries.
ENUNWA - they didn't see paying Marshall 7.5 million which tells you something about Enunwa. They've been very happy with his development and Marshall's 130 targets just walked out the door. Some of those will absolutely be going to Enunwa who already had 105 in 2016.
LEE - drafted higher than AR15, finally emerged as a healthy version of himself in 2015. He was far more efficient than AR15 in 2016 -- 63/851/3 on 105 targets vs 73/883/6 on 151 targets. I'd expect it to be a coin flip between who is going to get more targets in 2017. Theoretically, if the targets were swapped Lee would have produced in the area of 88/1,191/4-5.
MATTHEWS - His value has plummeted, but he has done nothing to warrant that. Jeffery is actually his comparison when all the objective physical numbers are compared... the difference is he went into a good fantasy situation in Chicago and Matthews went into a horrific one -- limited to slot duties, surrounded by no other weapons, inconsistent coaching and QB play. Jeffery can very easily miss half of next year on top of that. Matthews advanced metrics actually compare to Jeffery, Fitzgerald, Jordy Nelson, AJ Green, and Eric Decker. If Wentz simply progresses in year 2, Matthews will most likely be a 1000 receiver, especially if Jeffery or Smith can ever command double-coverage.
MEREDITH - Clearly their #1. The GM raves about him and compares his development to Maquess Colston.
PATTERSON - Can be taken in late late rounds probably and, like Quick, has moved into a much better situation.
ROGERS - I can afford to hold him. Plus, if AB goes down he may have a chance to really go wild in his 2nd year.
A lot more to being an NFL WR than being big, fast, and tall...DGB is biggest, faster, and taller, too...did you for get to add him to your list?

Let me try and put this in as nice a way as possible if you believe this...you are an idiot!
#1-12 Team .5 PPR TE Premium (20-max)

Winston, Wentz
Ingram, Jones, Dalvin Cook, Rawls, Smallwood, McGuire
Evans, Keenan, Parker, Corey Davis, Lockett, Ty Williams
Ertz
1.05/1.06/1.07

#2-12 Team .5 PPR (25-max)

Rivers, Wilson
Gurley, JStew, West, Duke, Breida, Smallwood, Joe Williams
Nuk, Alshon, Sanders, Doctson, Crowder, Carroo, Carlos Henderson
Ertz, Kittle

#3 14-team PPR (27-max) Year 2

Rodgers, Bortles
McCoy, Howard, Chubb, Crowell, Cohen, D. Martin, McGuire, Joe Williams, Breida, West, Aaron Jones
Cooks, Alshon, MBryant, Britt, Boyd, Wright, Carroo, Chad Williams
Kelce, Julius Thomas, Jesse James, Shaheen, D. Allen

#4 12-team PPR S-flex TE Prem

Wentz, Trubisky, Cutler
Kamara, Ajayi, Howard, Lacy, Mack, Elijah McGuire, Sproles, Turbin
Hopkins, Alshon, Parker, Stills, Britt, ArDarius, P Cooper, TWilliams
Brate, Green, D Allen, Higbee, Hodges, Anderson
1.02/1.10

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The.Big.Spank
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Re: Will someone help talk me into this?

Postby The.Big.Spank » Mon Apr 24, 2017 6:25 am

If you need to be talked into this trade you should consider quitting fantasy football, at least quiting dynasty
Team 1: 16 Team
QB's: Fields, Wentz,
RB: D. Harris, D. Montgomery, Kendre M.
WR: Chase, AJ Brown, Aiyuk, Bateman
TE: Waller, J. Woods, Dulich, Mayer

Team 2: 12 Team SF 1ppr, Start 10
QB: Mahomes, Burrow, Watson
RB: Hall, Walker, Javonte, Pacheco, K Mitchell, Dobbins
WR: Godwin, JSN, Pittman, Pickens, Toney, DP Jones, S Moore
TE: Andrews, Fant, Likely
(2024) 1.03, 2.03, 3.03
(2025) Top 3 1st, my 1st

Team 3 SF, TEP, Start 11 ppr
QB: AR, Watson, Young, Levis
RB: ETN, Walker, Pierce, Akers, Pacheco, Herbert, Warren, Kelley
WR: G. Wilson, Higgins, Godwin, Kirk, Bateman, Collins, Doubs, Chark, Shaheed,
TE: Schultz, I Smith, Bellinger, Parham, Fant, Likely, Granson,

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skip
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Re: Will someone help talk me into this?

Postby skip » Mon Apr 24, 2017 6:56 am

M-Dub wrote: Sun Apr 23, 2017 11:57 pm
crisdecamposmd wrote: Sun Apr 23, 2017 9:56 pm
Iamwebb223 wrote: Sat Apr 22, 2017 12:30 pm I've been contacted about my 1.11 in our rookie draft. He's throwing out Keenan Allen. Love his talent and situation but he cannot stay healthy. Am i crazy for saying no??? Team 1 in sig.
I think it depends on your depth chart and what's available. I think there will be a big shift in WRs this year so I stacked up last year utilizing the waiver. I have Tyrell Williams and would not trade him for Keenan Allen. Most people think that's absolutely nuts... but he's bigger, taller, faster, younger, and healthier. Keenan Allen put up monster points for half a year? Not only is it unlikely he'll put up the same points, he's rarely healthy. The following is my bench stash, and I think I'd take MOST of them before KA at 1.11: (in addition to these guys I have AJ Green)

- Kamar Aiken
- Jaron Brown
- Chris Conley
- Josh Doctson (I have B Quick too... who you could pick up at the end of your draft... at least one of them will have a monster year... assuming Cousins isn't in SF this time next week)
- Quincy Enunwa
- Marqise Lee
- Jordan Matthews
- Cameron Meredith
- Cordarrelle Patterson
- Eli Rogers

Clearly KA is rated higher than just about all of these guys. But, I think they all have a lot of upside based on their talent and situation.

AIKEN - is a stud with a chip on his shoulder and the OC remembers him when he came in as an UDFA in Buffalo (I think) and from what I've read he was even a stud at that time, plus he was the OC on another team (I think the Chiefs) when he had a monster game on them, including snagging a 50 yard TD bomb at halftime and another play of beating Marcus Peters deep.
BROWN - if you read up on him you'll find that he has been a monster Monday-Saturday on that team but has just been stuck behind Floyd (draft equity) and Fitz (last year). He has made some big time plays on Sunday but his opportunities have been limited... If he comes back healthy from his ACL though, he should have a good chance at a 800-1100 year, and then even more upside in 2018.
CONLEY - I can afford to hold him
DOCTSON/QUICK - One or both of these guys will have a monster year, simple logic on this one really -- grab them both, Doctson will be favored to get the targets (draft equity), but Quick can easily make big plays and is also simply behind Pryor/Doctson, both who have struggled with injuries.
ENUNWA - they didn't see paying Marshall 7.5 million which tells you something about Enunwa. They've been very happy with his development and Marshall's 130 targets just walked out the door. Some of those will absolutely be going to Enunwa who already had 105 in 2016.
LEE - drafted higher than AR15, finally emerged as a healthy version of himself in 2015. He was far more efficient than AR15 in 2016 -- 63/851/3 on 105 targets vs 73/883/6 on 151 targets. I'd expect it to be a coin flip between who is going to get more targets in 2017. Theoretically, if the targets were swapped Lee would have produced in the area of 88/1,191/4-5.
MATTHEWS - His value has plummeted, but he has done nothing to warrant that. Jeffery is actually his comparison when all the objective physical numbers are compared... the difference is he went into a good fantasy situation in Chicago and Matthews went into a horrific one -- limited to slot duties, surrounded by no other weapons, inconsistent coaching and QB play. Jeffery can very easily miss half of next year on top of that. Matthews advanced metrics actually compare to Jeffery, Fitzgerald, Jordy Nelson, AJ Green, and Eric Decker. If Wentz simply progresses in year 2, Matthews will most likely be a 1000 receiver, especially if Jeffery or Smith can ever command double-coverage.
MEREDITH - Clearly their #1. The GM raves about him and compares his development to Maquess Colston.
PATTERSON - Can be taken in late late rounds probably and, like Quick, has moved into a much better situation.
ROGERS - I can afford to hold him. Plus, if AB goes down he may have a chance to really go wild in his 2nd year.
I appreciate your boundless optimism, but damn, you must drive trade partners crazy with some of those valuations. Haha.

To the OP, take Keenan already.
That was the kind of post that a trade partner just wouldn't take seriously. There are options on there who shouldn't even be rostered in shallower leagues and borderline in larger ones (like Jaron Brown and Eli Rogers).
If you can't leave at least a 20% tip, you can't afford to eat out.

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Re: Will someone help talk me into this?

Postby M-Dub » Mon Apr 24, 2017 8:51 am

skip wrote: Mon Apr 24, 2017 6:56 am
M-Dub wrote: Sun Apr 23, 2017 11:57 pm
crisdecamposmd wrote: Sun Apr 23, 2017 9:56 pm

I think it depends on your depth chart and what's available. I think there will be a big shift in WRs this year so I stacked up last year utilizing the waiver. I have Tyrell Williams and would not trade him for Keenan Allen. Most people think that's absolutely nuts... but he's bigger, taller, faster, younger, and healthier. Keenan Allen put up monster points for half a year? Not only is it unlikely he'll put up the same points, he's rarely healthy. The following is my bench stash, and I think I'd take MOST of them before KA at 1.11: (in addition to these guys I have AJ Green)

- Kamar Aiken
- Jaron Brown
- Chris Conley
- Josh Doctson (I have B Quick too... who you could pick up at the end of your draft... at least one of them will have a monster year... assuming Cousins isn't in SF this time next week)
- Quincy Enunwa
- Marqise Lee
- Jordan Matthews
- Cameron Meredith
- Cordarrelle Patterson
- Eli Rogers

Clearly KA is rated higher than just about all of these guys. But, I think they all have a lot of upside based on their talent and situation.

AIKEN - is a stud with a chip on his shoulder and the OC remembers him when he came in as an UDFA in Buffalo (I think) and from what I've read he was even a stud at that time, plus he was the OC on another team (I think the Chiefs) when he had a monster game on them, including snagging a 50 yard TD bomb at halftime and another play of beating Marcus Peters deep.
BROWN - if you read up on him you'll find that he has been a monster Monday-Saturday on that team but has just been stuck behind Floyd (draft equity) and Fitz (last year). He has made some big time plays on Sunday but his opportunities have been limited... If he comes back healthy from his ACL though, he should have a good chance at a 800-1100 year, and then even more upside in 2018.
CONLEY - I can afford to hold him
DOCTSON/QUICK - One or both of these guys will have a monster year, simple logic on this one really -- grab them both, Doctson will be favored to get the targets (draft equity), but Quick can easily make big plays and is also simply behind Pryor/Doctson, both who have struggled with injuries.
ENUNWA - they didn't see paying Marshall 7.5 million which tells you something about Enunwa. They've been very happy with his development and Marshall's 130 targets just walked out the door. Some of those will absolutely be going to Enunwa who already had 105 in 2016.
LEE - drafted higher than AR15, finally emerged as a healthy version of himself in 2015. He was far more efficient than AR15 in 2016 -- 63/851/3 on 105 targets vs 73/883/6 on 151 targets. I'd expect it to be a coin flip between who is going to get more targets in 2017. Theoretically, if the targets were swapped Lee would have produced in the area of 88/1,191/4-5.
MATTHEWS - His value has plummeted, but he has done nothing to warrant that. Jeffery is actually his comparison when all the objective physical numbers are compared... the difference is he went into a good fantasy situation in Chicago and Matthews went into a horrific one -- limited to slot duties, surrounded by no other weapons, inconsistent coaching and QB play. Jeffery can very easily miss half of next year on top of that. Matthews advanced metrics actually compare to Jeffery, Fitzgerald, Jordy Nelson, AJ Green, and Eric Decker. If Wentz simply progresses in year 2, Matthews will most likely be a 1000 receiver, especially if Jeffery or Smith can ever command double-coverage.
MEREDITH - Clearly their #1. The GM raves about him and compares his development to Maquess Colston.
PATTERSON - Can be taken in late late rounds probably and, like Quick, has moved into a much better situation.
ROGERS - I can afford to hold him. Plus, if AB goes down he may have a chance to really go wild in his 2nd year.
I appreciate your boundless optimism, but damn, you must drive trade partners crazy with some of those valuations. Haha.

To the OP, take Keenan already.
That was the kind of post that a trade partner just wouldn't take seriously. There are options on there who shouldn't even be rostered in shallower leagues and borderline in larger ones (like Jaron Brown and Eli Rogers).
Right?? There's inevitably a dude in every league who just ridiculously overvalues everyone on his roster, but I've never seen someone just spew it all out there on a message board, completely unsolicited. Haha.
Both are 12-team 1QB PPR dynasties

🦬PRIME🦬
QB: Hurts, Howell
RB: Mixon, Jones, Sanders, Dobbins, Akers, Roschon, Dowdle, Kelley
WR: Nuk, Godwin, Cooper, Lockett, Flowers, Chark, Collins, Hollins, Tillman, Tolbert
TE: Hockenson, Chig, Trautman
Taxi: Willis, Z. White, M. Mims, T. Palmer

Hull Awaits
$450 cap, 60 contract years

QB: Lawrence $5/3, Richardson $5/5, Minshew $1/0, Jones $1/0, Heinicke $1/0, Tyrod $1/0
RB: Achane $4/4, Warren $2/4, Roschon $7/5, Dillon $4/1, Hubbard $2/1, Kelley $1/0
WR: Nuk $78/1, MT $25/1, M. Williams $1/0, JSN $21/5, Reed $4/5, Rice $4/5, M. Wilson $2/5
TE: Thomas $1/0, Hill $1/0, Parham $1/0

crisdecamposmd
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Re: Will someone help talk me into this?

Postby crisdecamposmd » Mon Apr 24, 2017 10:40 am

M-Dub wrote: Sun Apr 23, 2017 11:57 pm
crisdecamposmd wrote: Sun Apr 23, 2017 9:56 pm
Iamwebb223 wrote: Sat Apr 22, 2017 12:30 pm I've been contacted about my 1.11 in our rookie draft. He's throwing out Keenan Allen. Love his talent and situation but he cannot stay healthy. Am i crazy for saying no??? Team 1 in sig.
I think it depends on your depth chart and what's available. I think there will be a big shift in WRs this year so I stacked up last year utilizing the waiver. I have Tyrell Williams and would not trade him for Keenan Allen. Most people think that's absolutely nuts... but he's bigger, taller, faster, younger, and healthier. Keenan Allen put up monster points for half a year? Not only is it unlikely he'll put up the same points, he's rarely healthy. The following is my bench stash, and I think I'd take MOST of them before KA at 1.11: (in addition to these guys I have AJ Green)

- Kamar Aiken
- Jaron Brown
- Chris Conley
- Josh Doctson (I have B Quick too... who you could pick up at the end of your draft... at least one of them will have a monster year... assuming Cousins isn't in SF this time next week)
- Quincy Enunwa
- Marqise Lee
- Jordan Matthews
- Cameron Meredith
- Cordarrelle Patterson
- Eli Rogers

Clearly KA is rated higher than just about all of these guys. But, I think they all have a lot of upside based on their talent and situation.

AIKEN - is a stud with a chip on his shoulder and the OC remembers him when he came in as an UDFA in Buffalo (I think) and from what I've read he was even a stud at that time, plus he was the OC on another team (I think the Chiefs) when he had a monster game on them, including snagging a 50 yard TD bomb at halftime and another play of beating Marcus Peters deep.
BROWN - if you read up on him you'll find that he has been a monster Monday-Saturday on that team but has just been stuck behind Floyd (draft equity) and Fitz (last year). He has made some big time plays on Sunday but his opportunities have been limited... If he comes back healthy from his ACL though, he should have a good chance at a 800-1100 year, and then even more upside in 2018.
CONLEY - I can afford to hold him
DOCTSON/QUICK - One or both of these guys will have a monster year, simple logic on this one really -- grab them both, Doctson will be favored to get the targets (draft equity), but Quick can easily make big plays and is also simply behind Pryor/Doctson, both who have struggled with injuries.
ENUNWA - they didn't see paying Marshall 7.5 million which tells you something about Enunwa. They've been very happy with his development and Marshall's 130 targets just walked out the door. Some of those will absolutely be going to Enunwa who already had 105 in 2016.
LEE - drafted higher than AR15, finally emerged as a healthy version of himself in 2015. He was far more efficient than AR15 in 2016 -- 63/851/3 on 105 targets vs 73/883/6 on 151 targets. I'd expect it to be a coin flip between who is going to get more targets in 2017. Theoretically, if the targets were swapped Lee would have produced in the area of 88/1,191/4-5.
MATTHEWS - His value has plummeted, but he has done nothing to warrant that. Jeffery is actually his comparison when all the objective physical numbers are compared... the difference is he went into a good fantasy situation in Chicago and Matthews went into a horrific one -- limited to slot duties, surrounded by no other weapons, inconsistent coaching and QB play. Jeffery can very easily miss half of next year on top of that. Matthews advanced metrics actually compare to Jeffery, Fitzgerald, Jordy Nelson, AJ Green, and Eric Decker. If Wentz simply progresses in year 2, Matthews will most likely be a 1000 receiver, especially if Jeffery or Smith can ever command double-coverage.
MEREDITH - Clearly their #1. The GM raves about him and compares his development to Maquess Colston.
PATTERSON - Can be taken in late late rounds probably and, like Quick, has moved into a much better situation.
ROGERS - I can afford to hold him. Plus, if AB goes down he may have a chance to really go wild in his 2nd year.
I appreciate your boundless optimism, but damn, you must drive trade partners crazy with some of those valuations. Haha.

To the OP, take Keenan already.


LOL!!! I totally do.

flyersfan1981
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Re: Will someone help talk me into this?

Postby flyersfan1981 » Wed Apr 26, 2017 5:06 am

crisdecamposmd wrote: Mon Apr 24, 2017 10:40 am
M-Dub wrote: Sun Apr 23, 2017 11:57 pm
crisdecamposmd wrote: Sun Apr 23, 2017 9:56 pm

I think it depends on your depth chart and what's available. I think there will be a big shift in WRs this year so I stacked up last year utilizing the waiver. I have Tyrell Williams and would not trade him for Keenan Allen. Most people think that's absolutely nuts... but he's bigger, taller, faster, younger, and healthier. Keenan Allen put up monster points for half a year? Not only is it unlikely he'll put up the same points, he's rarely healthy. The following is my bench stash, and I think I'd take MOST of them before KA at 1.11: (in addition to these guys I have AJ Green)

- Kamar Aiken
- Jaron Brown
- Chris Conley
- Josh Doctson (I have B Quick too... who you could pick up at the end of your draft... at least one of them will have a monster year... assuming Cousins isn't in SF this time next week)
- Quincy Enunwa
- Marqise Lee
- Jordan Matthews
- Cameron Meredith
- Cordarrelle Patterson
- Eli Rogers

Clearly KA is rated higher than just about all of these guys. But, I think they all have a lot of upside based on their talent and situation.

AIKEN - is a stud with a chip on his shoulder and the OC remembers him when he came in as an UDFA in Buffalo (I think) and from what I've read he was even a stud at that time, plus he was the OC on another team (I think the Chiefs) when he had a monster game on them, including snagging a 50 yard TD bomb at halftime and another play of beating Marcus Peters deep.
BROWN - if you read up on him you'll find that he has been a monster Monday-Saturday on that team but has just been stuck behind Floyd (draft equity) and Fitz (last year). He has made some big time plays on Sunday but his opportunities have been limited... If he comes back healthy from his ACL though, he should have a good chance at a 800-1100 year, and then even more upside in 2018.
CONLEY - I can afford to hold him
DOCTSON/QUICK - One or both of these guys will have a monster year, simple logic on this one really -- grab them both, Doctson will be favored to get the targets (draft equity), but Quick can easily make big plays and is also simply behind Pryor/Doctson, both who have struggled with injuries.
ENUNWA - they didn't see paying Marshall 7.5 million which tells you something about Enunwa. They've been very happy with his development and Marshall's 130 targets just walked out the door. Some of those will absolutely be going to Enunwa who already had 105 in 2016.
LEE - drafted higher than AR15, finally emerged as a healthy version of himself in 2015. He was far more efficient than AR15 in 2016 -- 63/851/3 on 105 targets vs 73/883/6 on 151 targets. I'd expect it to be a coin flip between who is going to get more targets in 2017. Theoretically, if the targets were swapped Lee would have produced in the area of 88/1,191/4-5.
MATTHEWS - His value has plummeted, but he has done nothing to warrant that. Jeffery is actually his comparison when all the objective physical numbers are compared... the difference is he went into a good fantasy situation in Chicago and Matthews went into a horrific one -- limited to slot duties, surrounded by no other weapons, inconsistent coaching and QB play. Jeffery can very easily miss half of next year on top of that. Matthews advanced metrics actually compare to Jeffery, Fitzgerald, Jordy Nelson, AJ Green, and Eric Decker. If Wentz simply progresses in year 2, Matthews will most likely be a 1000 receiver, especially if Jeffery or Smith can ever command double-coverage.
MEREDITH - Clearly their #1. The GM raves about him and compares his development to Maquess Colston.
PATTERSON - Can be taken in late late rounds probably and, like Quick, has moved into a much better situation.
ROGERS - I can afford to hold him. Plus, if AB goes down he may have a chance to really go wild in his 2nd year.
I appreciate your boundless optimism, but damn, you must drive trade partners crazy with some of those valuations. Haha.

To the OP, take Keenan already.


LOL!!! I totally do.
LOL...that's not a good thing. Just reading your thought process had me wanting to bash my head in my door, can't imagine actually having to negotiate with you...
#1-12 Team .5 PPR TE Premium (20-max)

Winston, Wentz
Ingram, Jones, Dalvin Cook, Rawls, Smallwood, McGuire
Evans, Keenan, Parker, Corey Davis, Lockett, Ty Williams
Ertz
1.05/1.06/1.07

#2-12 Team .5 PPR (25-max)

Rivers, Wilson
Gurley, JStew, West, Duke, Breida, Smallwood, Joe Williams
Nuk, Alshon, Sanders, Doctson, Crowder, Carroo, Carlos Henderson
Ertz, Kittle

#3 14-team PPR (27-max) Year 2

Rodgers, Bortles
McCoy, Howard, Chubb, Crowell, Cohen, D. Martin, McGuire, Joe Williams, Breida, West, Aaron Jones
Cooks, Alshon, MBryant, Britt, Boyd, Wright, Carroo, Chad Williams
Kelce, Julius Thomas, Jesse James, Shaheen, D. Allen

#4 12-team PPR S-flex TE Prem

Wentz, Trubisky, Cutler
Kamara, Ajayi, Howard, Lacy, Mack, Elijah McGuire, Sproles, Turbin
Hopkins, Alshon, Parker, Stills, Britt, ArDarius, P Cooper, TWilliams
Brate, Green, D Allen, Higbee, Hodges, Anderson
1.02/1.10

hockeyBjj
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Re: Will someone help talk me into this?

Postby hockeyBjj » Wed Apr 26, 2017 5:19 am

As an Allen owner, take him. No way I'd trade him away for the 11th pick. What WR are you going to get for that? Curtis Samuel? Carlos Henderson?
Team 1- 10 team ppr, 1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, 2Flx, 1D, 1K
2022: 1-8
Finishes: 6th, 6th, 1st, 5th, 6th, 9th
QB: Lamar Jackson, Purdy
RB: Bijan, Dobbins, Achane, Charbonnet, Algier, McBride, waiver trash
WR: JSN, QJ, Addison, Dotson, Skyy Moore, Jameson Williams, Hyatt, T Dell, Boutte, Skowronek, Quez Watkins, Greg Dortch, waiver trash
TE: Hockenson, F Monroe, Juwan, Musgrave
D/K: Patriots, Vikings, Saints, Dicker

picks-
2024- 1,1,1,1,2,2,2,3,3,4,5,5
2025 1,1,1,2,3,4,5

team 2- 12 team SF, .5PPR, .5TE boost, 1QB, 1SF, 2 RB, 3WR, 1TE, 2Flex
2022: 8-1
Finishes: 2nd, 2nd, 2nd, 2nd :wall:
QB: Ljax, GenoD Jones, Minshew, Dobbs
RB: CMC, Stevenson, A Jones, Chubb, A Mattison, D cook, Perine, Mckinnon,
WR:Tyreek, Diggs, C Kupp, D Adams, Keenan Allen, Lockett, Gallup, A Lazard, Hodgins
TE: Kelce, LaPorta, Irv Smith,
No picks until 2026 5th rounder lol

Ray Finkle
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Re: Will someone help talk me into this?

Postby Ray Finkle » Wed Apr 26, 2017 6:13 am

This is a funny thread. Once I read the the guy's post with his evaluation of his roster, I knew it would trigger some reaction.

To the OP, take the trade. Even if YOU truly value the 1.11 or the other guy would truly value Eli Rogers, Jaron Brown, Tom Waddle or whoever more than Keenan, you should still make the trade because everybody else in your league and the planet values Keenan more. Then you'll be able to flip Keenan.

I prefer driving Chevy pickups to Dodge pickups. If someone wants to trade a 2015 Ram to me for my '02 Silverado, I'm taking the deal even though I truly value my truck more. Then there would be a for sale sign slapped on the Dodge that same day.

crisdecamposmd
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Re: Will someone help talk me into this?

Postby crisdecamposmd » Wed Apr 26, 2017 9:58 pm

flyersfan1981 wrote: Wed Apr 26, 2017 5:06 am
crisdecamposmd wrote: Mon Apr 24, 2017 10:40 am
M-Dub wrote: Sun Apr 23, 2017 11:57 pm

I appreciate your boundless optimism, but damn, you must drive trade partners crazy with some of those valuations. Haha.

To the OP, take Keenan already.


LOL!!! I totally do.
LOL...that's not a good thing. Just reading your thought process had me wanting to bash my head in my door, can't imagine actually having to negotiate with you...
I don't care about how much people enjoy negotiating with me really. I'm more concerned with how good my team is and where my players will be in 3 years (this is dynasty league concept I have). Again, my league points are weighted towards WRs that get a lot of targets + opportunity for big plays. The sad fact is that I have a top 5 QB, the #1 TE, the #1 WR (if we are going by points per game... not ADP), and 3 other WRs that averaged top 25 the last 4 weeks of the season.

BUT, if you disagree with any of the comments I made with each player, I'd love to hear your logical reasoning. :thumbup:


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