Feel lucky with Luck?

General discussion and team advice concerning Redraft & Keeper leagues.
Pew Dogs
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Joined: Sat Mar 24, 2018 5:14 am

Feel lucky with Luck?

Postby Pew Dogs » Wed Jul 04, 2018 4:45 pm

Simple setup ... 12 team ppr starts 1QB, 1RB, 3WRs, 1RB/WR flex, 1TE ... we keep 1 at each position plus 1 extra RB or WR

Deal on table ...

Give Russell Wilson & Tyreek Hill
Get Andrew Luck & Julio Jones

4 of 5 dynasty trade analyzers say to accept (the other says it's even)

My thinking ... if Luck comes back ok, I win big. If not I deal with drafting a QB as the position is deep. Also, Hill may be a bit of an outlier and Sammy Watkins will threaten to be top dog, not to mention a new QB means it could be simply different at KC.

(Not that it should make a difference but my other keepers are Devonta Freeman, Stefan Diggs, and Travis Kelce. I'll be drafting Saquon Barkley with the 1.01 and also have the 1.06.)

Should I accept?
12 team, dynasty, ppr, 1RB, 3WR, 1RB/WR

QB Wilson, Mahomes
RB Gurley, Freeman, Crowell, Carson, McKissic, Clark
WR Thomas, Jones, Hilton, Watkins,Godwin, Reynolds, Latimer
TE Graham, Brate, SealsJones

QB Rodgers, Goff
RB Gordon, Ingram, Ekeler, Powell, Bernard
WR Beckham, Cooks, Garçon, Lee, Godwin, Taylor x2 (Trent and Taywan), Sutton
TE Gesicki, Sefarian-Jenkins

QB Winston, Garrapolo
RB Mixon, Jones, Michel, Hyde
WR Crowder, Richardson, Doctson, Hogan, Amendola, San. Moore
TE Hooper, Ebron

TheBelgian
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Joined: Fri Jun 29, 2018 12:55 pm

Re: Feel lucky with Luck?

Postby TheBelgian » Thu Jul 05, 2018 3:15 pm

This is a easy reject, for me. Wilson is arguably the best dynasty QB right now. Andrew Luck is still a big question mark. Even if Luck stays healthy, will he preform at a high level? With the Hill for Julio side, Julio is a stud, but getting older, by WR standards. Hill is coming off a career year and is 5 years younger than Julio. Because of upside the Hill vs Julio side of things is probably a wash in a dynasty. I have Wilson as the best dynasty QB, so Wilson wins over Luck. If I'm you, I'm keeping Hill and Wilson.
Team 1 First Year Startup
12 Team Superflex Dynasty (.5 PPR for RB/WR, PPR for TE) no K,D/ST or IDP. 32 man roster
Start:QB, 3RB, 3WR, TE, WT, RWT, Flex
QB- Brady, Brees, Prescott, Bridgewater, Brissett, Allen, Rudolph, Kizer
RB- Henry, Ajayi, Collins, CJ Anderson, Booker, Foreman, Clement, Gallman, Stewart, McKinnon
WR- Cooks, Landry, Garcon, Kupp, Edelman, Cobb, DJ Moore Pettis, Chark, Hurns,
TE- Graham, Burton, Atkins, Swaim

Picks: 2019 1,2,4,5

Team 2 First Year Startup
10 Team Dynasty Auction Superflex (1.5 PPR for WR/TE) no K,D/ST or IDP. 28 man roster
Start: QB, 2RB, 3WR, TE, 2RWT, Flex
QB- Brady, Brees, Roethlisberger, Rivers, Darnold
RB- Crowell, Lynch, Powell, Booker, Thompson
WR- Hopkins, OBJ, A. Brown, Fitzgerald, Sanders,R. Matthews,Edelman, Doctson, Godwin
TE- Kelce, Reed, Hooper

Picks: 2019 1,2,3,4

Pew Dogs
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Re: Feel lucky with Luck?

Postby Pew Dogs » Thu Jul 05, 2018 5:09 pm

TheBelgian wrote:
Thu Jul 05, 2018 3:15 pm
This is a easy reject, for me. Wilson is arguably the best dynasty QB right now. Andrew Luck is still a big question mark. Even if Luck stays healthy, will he preform at a high level? With the Hill for Julio side, Julio is a stud, but getting older, by WR standards. Hill is coming off a career year and is 5 years younger than Julio. Because of upside the Hill vs Julio side of things is probably a wash in a dynasty. I have Wilson as the best dynasty QB, so Wilson wins over Luck. If I'm you, I'm keeping Hill and Wilson.
Thank you. I appreciate the thoughts.
12 team, dynasty, ppr, 1RB, 3WR, 1RB/WR

QB Wilson, Mahomes
RB Gurley, Freeman, Crowell, Carson, McKissic, Clark
WR Thomas, Jones, Hilton, Watkins,Godwin, Reynolds, Latimer
TE Graham, Brate, SealsJones

QB Rodgers, Goff
RB Gordon, Ingram, Ekeler, Powell, Bernard
WR Beckham, Cooks, Garçon, Lee, Godwin, Taylor x2 (Trent and Taywan), Sutton
TE Gesicki, Sefarian-Jenkins

QB Winston, Garrapolo
RB Mixon, Jones, Michel, Hyde
WR Crowder, Richardson, Doctson, Hogan, Amendola, San. Moore
TE Hooper, Ebron


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