Over / Under - Josh Gordon
Over / Under - Josh Gordon
While there are plenty of posts on what he’s worth, what he can be sold for, I’m curious as to what the community think about Gordon’s actual contribution will be.
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Re: Over / Under - Josh Gordon
Here's a relevant article which I find interesting. I'm sure you can find more Josh Gordon prop bets elsewhere on the internet too. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/josh- ... suspension
Taken from there...
Taken from there...
BetOnline is offering either side an opportunity to make money off its opinions.
Will Josh Gordon be suspended during the 2018 regular season?
Yes: +350
No: -600
How many games will Josh Gordon play for the Patriots in 2018?
Over 9.5: +175
Under 9.5: -250
The second prop is the more interesting one if you ask me, particularly because of where the total is set. As Schefter’s tweet explains, if Gordon is active for fewer than 10 games this season, the Patriots will receive a late-round pick from the Browns — a pick that was later confirmed to be a seventh rounder.
Clearly, oddsmakers don’t think it’s likely that Gordon will hit that 10-game threshold. The -250 line on the under implies that oddsmakers see a 71.4% chance that Gordon plays nine or fewer games for the Pats this year.
10-team standard, 18-man rosters (plus K/D + 1 IR + 2 TAXI)
1QB | 2RB | 2WR | 1TE | 1FLEX
2021: 8-6, 5th (AP: 76-50 / 60.3%, 3rd) ||| Runner-up
2022: 5-1, 2nd (AP: 47-7 / 87.0%, 1st)
QB: Hurts, Russ, Carr
RB: Chubb, Pierce, Swift, JRob, D'Ernest, Ford
WR: Diggs, Evans, GDavis, Nuk, Keenan, Hollywood, Mooney, CSamuel, Doubs
TE: Kelce, Dulcich, Fant
2023 Picks: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th
2024 Picks: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th
1QB | 2RB | 2WR | 1TE | 1FLEX
2021: 8-6, 5th (AP: 76-50 / 60.3%, 3rd) ||| Runner-up
2022: 5-1, 2nd (AP: 47-7 / 87.0%, 1st)
QB: Hurts, Russ, Carr
RB: Chubb, Pierce, Swift, JRob, D'Ernest, Ford
WR: Diggs, Evans, GDavis, Nuk, Keenan, Hollywood, Mooney, CSamuel, Doubs
TE: Kelce, Dulcich, Fant
2023 Picks: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th
2024 Picks: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th
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Re: Over / Under - Josh Gordon
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/josh ... rely-good/
As for Gordon's personal numbers, expectations are still high for the troubled wideout over the season's remaining 14 games. Gordon's touchdown over/under is 7.5, while his over/under for receiving yards is 875.5, according to BetDSI Sportsbook. That's a lot to expect for a guy who has missed 41 of a possible 98 games since entering the league in 2012 . It's the equivalent of a 50/50 -- he'll either boom or bust in New England. He's being given a cushion for his first week against the Lions when he'll undoubtedly be learning a Patriots offense that's very difficult to grasp, however. His line is at 4.5 catches and 55.5 yards.
10-team standard, 18-man rosters (plus K/D + 1 IR + 2 TAXI)
1QB | 2RB | 2WR | 1TE | 1FLEX
2021: 8-6, 5th (AP: 76-50 / 60.3%, 3rd) ||| Runner-up
2022: 5-1, 2nd (AP: 47-7 / 87.0%, 1st)
QB: Hurts, Russ, Carr
RB: Chubb, Pierce, Swift, JRob, D'Ernest, Ford
WR: Diggs, Evans, GDavis, Nuk, Keenan, Hollywood, Mooney, CSamuel, Doubs
TE: Kelce, Dulcich, Fant
2023 Picks: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th
2024 Picks: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th
1QB | 2RB | 2WR | 1TE | 1FLEX
2021: 8-6, 5th (AP: 76-50 / 60.3%, 3rd) ||| Runner-up
2022: 5-1, 2nd (AP: 47-7 / 87.0%, 1st)
QB: Hurts, Russ, Carr
RB: Chubb, Pierce, Swift, JRob, D'Ernest, Ford
WR: Diggs, Evans, GDavis, Nuk, Keenan, Hollywood, Mooney, CSamuel, Doubs
TE: Kelce, Dulcich, Fant
2023 Picks: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th
2024 Picks: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th
Re: Over / Under - Josh Gordon
Thanks for that, if we had the opportunity for a multi poll I would have added games played. I'm going to look into betting the under on the yards, that is a lot.Life of Pablo wrote: ↑Thu Sep 20, 2018 11:49 am https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/josh ... rely-good/
As for Gordon's personal numbers, expectations are still high for the troubled wideout over the season's remaining 14 games. Gordon's touchdown over/under is 7.5, while his over/under for receiving yards is 875.5, according to BetDSI Sportsbook. That's a lot to expect for a guy who has missed 41 of a possible 98 games since entering the league in 2012 . It's the equivalent of a 50/50 -- he'll either boom or bust in New England. He's being given a cushion for his first week against the Lions when he'll undoubtedly be learning a Patriots offense that's very difficult to grasp, however. His line is at 4.5 catches and 55.5 yards.
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Re: Over / Under - Josh Gordon
Pffft. You forgot the 2 in front of that 500 brah
16 team league
1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 2 Flex (RB/WR/TE)
26 upman rosters - full point ppr
2015, 17, 18, 19, 20 Champs
QB: Watson, Flacco Stidham
RB: Bijan, Gibbs, McLaughlin
WR: Olave, Addison, Flowers, Rice, Sutton, Downs, Mims, Tillman
TE: Kittle, Goedert, Chig, Woods
24 Picks: 1.06
1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 2 Flex (RB/WR/TE)
26 upman rosters - full point ppr
2015, 17, 18, 19, 20 Champs
QB: Watson, Flacco Stidham
RB: Bijan, Gibbs, McLaughlin
WR: Olave, Addison, Flowers, Rice, Sutton, Downs, Mims, Tillman
TE: Kittle, Goedert, Chig, Woods
24 Picks: 1.06
Re: Over / Under - Josh Gordon
I put over - but not by much.
I could see 500-600 yards; the Pats have gotten better production under similar scrubs.
I could see 500-600 yards; the Pats have gotten better production under similar scrubs.
Re: Over / Under - Josh Gordon
Wow, pretty split community. I'm pretty surprised by the results so far - there are a lot of people who think Gordon will have some meaningful snaps with the Pats.
Over -13
Under - 14
Over -13
Under - 14
Re: Over / Under - Josh Gordon
Meaningful contribution to help the Pats win a few games? Sure.
Meaningful contribution to be a fantasy starter?
35 Team Dyn PPR, 3 x Copy SF start 2TE Super Prem (TE 2 PPR, 8pt TD), 6 pt/non-TE TD, 1pt/20 yds pass (300 +3pt), 1pt/10 yds rush/rec (100 +3pt)
Start 12: 1QB 1SFLX 2RB 4WR 2TE 2FLX | 30 Active Roster, unlim Taxi, 3 IR/Out (+) | est. '21 | playoffs '21, '22
QB - J Allen, T Lawrence ...
RB - A Ekeler, S Barkley, J Cook, I Pacheco ...
WR - AJ Brown, C Ridley, G Pickens, C Sutton ...
TE - D Njoku, D Knox ...
® 2024 - | 2025 -
Start 12: 1QB 1SFLX 2RB 4WR 2TE 2FLX | 30 Active Roster, unlim Taxi, 3 IR/Out (+) | est. '21 | playoffs '21, '22
QB - J Allen, T Lawrence ...
RB - A Ekeler, S Barkley, J Cook, I Pacheco ...
WR - AJ Brown, C Ridley, G Pickens, C Sutton ...
TE - D Njoku, D Knox ...
® 2024 - | 2025 -
- kris_kapsner
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Re: Over / Under - Josh Gordon
I voted the over. But that's because I am guessing 550-700 yards from him this season. I think he could hit 8 TD's though. So, I do think he'll have fantasy relevance. But, he needs an off season to absorb the Pats playbook and get in sync with Brady to reach his potential. That could happen next year if the Pats keep him on board. Or, he could go somewhere else. It's so hard to say right now.
16 team PPR Est. 2002 (Champion: 2007, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2016)
Start: QB, 2-4WR, 2-3RB, 1-2TE, K, D
QB: Russell Wilson, Zach Wilson
RB: Barkley, Mixon, Chubb, Hunt, G. Bernard
WR: Adams, Metcalf, Callaway, Shepard, Watkins, Fuller, T. Williams, Proche
TE: Kelce, Pitts, Njoku, Seals-Jones
K: Gay
D: Vikings
Start: QB, 2-4WR, 2-3RB, 1-2TE, K, D
QB: Russell Wilson, Zach Wilson
RB: Barkley, Mixon, Chubb, Hunt, G. Bernard
WR: Adams, Metcalf, Callaway, Shepard, Watkins, Fuller, T. Williams, Proche
TE: Kelce, Pitts, Njoku, Seals-Jones
K: Gay
D: Vikings
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Re: Over / Under - Josh Gordon
I think he'll be less valuable than Dorsett ROS.
Re: Over / Under - Josh Gordon
Odds makers are pretty smart, so if they have his odds at 875, then I'll take the over on 500 yards pretty easily.
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Re: Over / Under - Josh Gordon
What do you think they would be basing their odds on? I don’t think they are very smart on this one, I think they’re throwing a dart like everyone else.
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Re: Over / Under - Josh Gordon
Basing it on the money these guys bring in every single year. Its foolish to think they're not smart on any line they put out.
Re: Over / Under - Josh Gordon
So you think think they have a better way of predicting if Gordon will relapse? Or if Belichrck will cut him after a few weeks if he doesn’t like the effort?ImaRounder wrote: ↑Sat Sep 22, 2018 11:24 pmBasing it on the money these guys bring in every single year. Its foolish to think they're not smart on any line they put out.
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Re: Over / Under - Josh Gordon
Under because he will not stick on the roster.
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