I'm in a salary/contract league and have to decide how long to extend Gurley-- we can only extend a player once. It costs an additional $5 per year and his currently salary is $5 (cap $200), so if I want to extend him 4 years, his new contract is $25 ($5 contract + 4 years @ $5/yr). The kicker is, if you cut a player before his extended contract expires, you face a 50% penalty of the REMAINING contract. So if I cut him after year 2, I face a $25 cap hit (2yr remaining @ 25/yr ($50 remaining) x 50%).
My concern is RB shelf-life. If I extend him through 2021, what're the chances I'm looking to cut him at age 27 (year 3) and face a $12-13 cap penalty. Worst case scenario is an ACL injury that costs him the majority of the next year forcing me to eat $25 the next year or cut him for a bigger penalty.
Do you err on the side of caution when keeping/extending RBs? My heart is saying 4 years but my brain says 3.
Play it safe when extending RBs?
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Play it safe when extending RBs?
Last edited by Portsmouth Spartans on Fri Jul 13, 2018 10:45 am, edited 1 time in total.
10 team standard, keeper with 5-year option contracts (remaining years in parentheses, $5 per additional year when extended), $200 salary cap. Start: 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE
2015, 2017 Champs
QB: Jackson ($8 3yr+extension)
RB: Mixon ($5 1yr+extension), Chubb ($5 2yr+extension), Sanders ($5 3yr+ extension), Michel ($5 1yr+extension), Guice ($5 2yr+extension)
WR: Godwin ($1 2yr+extension), AJ Brown ($3 3yr+extension), Chark ($8 3yr+extension), M. Brown ($3 3y +extension), Isabella ($3 3yr+ extension)
TE: Kittle ($3, 2yr+extension), Henry ($1 2yr+extension), Goedert ($1 3yr+extension)
2020: 1.01, 1.02, 1.03, 2.01, 2.04, 2.10
2021: 1 1st
2022: 2 1st
2023: 1 1st
2015, 2017 Champs
QB: Jackson ($8 3yr+extension)
RB: Mixon ($5 1yr+extension), Chubb ($5 2yr+extension), Sanders ($5 3yr+ extension), Michel ($5 1yr+extension), Guice ($5 2yr+extension)
WR: Godwin ($1 2yr+extension), AJ Brown ($3 3yr+extension), Chark ($8 3yr+extension), M. Brown ($3 3y +extension), Isabella ($3 3yr+ extension)
TE: Kittle ($3, 2yr+extension), Henry ($1 2yr+extension), Goedert ($1 3yr+extension)
2020: 1.01, 1.02, 1.03, 2.01, 2.04, 2.10
2021: 1 1st
2022: 2 1st
2023: 1 1st
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Re: Play it safe when extending RBs?
I dont play in Salary cap leagues, but what is the downside of only extending for 3 years, and then deciding after that if you want to extend him again? Besides the slight bump in money.
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12 Team 1PPR 1QB/1-3RB/1-3 WR/1TE/1DST
QB:Brady
RB: Barkley, Chubb, Jacobs, Henry, Mack, Etienne
WR: Nuk, Thielen, Cooks, Diontae, Pittman, Gallup
TE: Henry
12 Team 1PPR 1QB/1-3RB/1-3 WR/1TE/1DST
QB:Brady
RB: Barkley, Chubb, Jacobs, Henry, Mack, Etienne
WR: Nuk, Thielen, Cooks, Diontae, Pittman, Gallup
TE: Henry
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Re: Play it safe when extending RBs?
I updated the post... we can only extend once
10 team standard, keeper with 5-year option contracts (remaining years in parentheses, $5 per additional year when extended), $200 salary cap. Start: 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE
2015, 2017 Champs
QB: Jackson ($8 3yr+extension)
RB: Mixon ($5 1yr+extension), Chubb ($5 2yr+extension), Sanders ($5 3yr+ extension), Michel ($5 1yr+extension), Guice ($5 2yr+extension)
WR: Godwin ($1 2yr+extension), AJ Brown ($3 3yr+extension), Chark ($8 3yr+extension), M. Brown ($3 3y +extension), Isabella ($3 3yr+ extension)
TE: Kittle ($3, 2yr+extension), Henry ($1 2yr+extension), Goedert ($1 3yr+extension)
2020: 1.01, 1.02, 1.03, 2.01, 2.04, 2.10
2021: 1 1st
2022: 2 1st
2023: 1 1st
2015, 2017 Champs
QB: Jackson ($8 3yr+extension)
RB: Mixon ($5 1yr+extension), Chubb ($5 2yr+extension), Sanders ($5 3yr+ extension), Michel ($5 1yr+extension), Guice ($5 2yr+extension)
WR: Godwin ($1 2yr+extension), AJ Brown ($3 3yr+extension), Chark ($8 3yr+extension), M. Brown ($3 3y +extension), Isabella ($3 3yr+ extension)
TE: Kittle ($3, 2yr+extension), Henry ($1 2yr+extension), Goedert ($1 3yr+extension)
2020: 1.01, 1.02, 1.03, 2.01, 2.04, 2.10
2021: 1 1st
2022: 2 1st
2023: 1 1st
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Re: Play it safe when extending RBs?
I think you have to do a case-by-case decision. I'd feel comfortable doing an extension for Gurley, I wouldn't do it for a Lev Bell. A guy like DJ would be a very tough call.
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Re: Play it safe when extending RBs?
I would extend him at least 5 years then. In his case at least. Shelf life is a consideration, but injuries could happen to any rb, so I would not factor that too much.
Valhalla's Father
12 Team 1PPR 1QB/1-3RB/1-3 WR/1TE/1DST
QB:Brady
RB: Barkley, Chubb, Jacobs, Henry, Mack, Etienne
WR: Nuk, Thielen, Cooks, Diontae, Pittman, Gallup
TE: Henry
12 Team 1PPR 1QB/1-3RB/1-3 WR/1TE/1DST
QB:Brady
RB: Barkley, Chubb, Jacobs, Henry, Mack, Etienne
WR: Nuk, Thielen, Cooks, Diontae, Pittman, Gallup
TE: Henry
Re: Play it safe when extending RBs?
Similar situation. I’m going full 5. The penalties aren’t strong enough to deter me. The odds of Gurley being completely irrelevant within the next 3-4 years are so slim. Injuries may happen but that’s part of the game and a guy like him will always have trade value if you’re too uncomfortable and want to get out.
While a lot of RB’s do have short shelf lifes elite backs often give you 6-8 years of fantasy production. Steven Jackson eroded after year 8. Shady is still going. Bell is still going after 5. Gurley will still be kicking through years 6-7 easily IMO, unless some unfortunate injuries really hit him. He’s only 3 years in though. Should certainly give you at least 3 more uber productive seasons.
While a lot of RB’s do have short shelf lifes elite backs often give you 6-8 years of fantasy production. Steven Jackson eroded after year 8. Shady is still going. Bell is still going after 5. Gurley will still be kicking through years 6-7 easily IMO, unless some unfortunate injuries really hit him. He’s only 3 years in though. Should certainly give you at least 3 more uber productive seasons.
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Re: Play it safe when extending RBs?
I’d do 4 or 5. He’ll still young, and odds are that you’ll get to the end and want one more year rather than one fewer. And if needed, you could always trade him at the end if you think he’s going to drop off.
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QB: Mahomes, Prescott, Mayfield
RB: Hall, Pacheco, Jacobs, Connor, Chubb, Mattison
WR: Tyreek, AJ Brown, Flowers, CSutton, JJeudy, Slayton, Iosivas
TE: McBride, DSchultz, Musgrave, Kraft, MGesicki
2024: 1.02, 2.02
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WR: Downs, MMims, EMoore, Jeudy, MWilson + scrubs
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2025: 2 1sts, 2 2nds
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2025: 1 1st, 1 2nd
PPR SF, WR & TE Premium (WR 1.2 PPR , TE 1.5 PPR), 10 total starters, 1 QB, 1SF, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 3 Flex
QB: Mahomes, Prescott, Mayfield
RB: Hall, Pacheco, Jacobs, Connor, Chubb, Mattison
WR: Tyreek, AJ Brown, Flowers, CSutton, JJeudy, Slayton, Iosivas
TE: McBride, DSchultz, Musgrave, Kraft, MGesicki
2024: 1.02, 2.02
2022 and 2023 League Champ
SafeLeague #1 (12 team, SF, 2.0 PPR TE Prem). 10 total starters 1 QB, 1SF (QB/TE/RB/WR), 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 3 Flex
QB: Purdy, Levis, DTR
RB: Pacheco + scrubs
WR: Downs, MMims, EMoore, Jeudy, MWilson + scrubs
TE: Hock, Kincaid, Pitts, Mayer + scrubs
2024: 1.01, 1.05, 1.11, 2.01, 2.02, 2.06,
2025: 2 1sts, 2 2nds
SafeLeague #2
QB: Purdy, Richardson, Hooker, Willis
RB: literal ZERO RB (for now)
WR: Mingo, MMims, Toney, Skyy, Iosivas
TE: LaPorta, Kincaid, McBride, Mayer, Musgrave, Schoonmaker (and a bunch more 2nd stringers)
2024: 1.01, 1.05, 1.06, 1.08, 1.09, 1.10, 2.01, 2.05, 2.06
2025: 1 1st, 1 2nd
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Re: Play it safe when extending RBs?
thanks for the help everyone... you've convinced me to go longer
10 team standard, keeper with 5-year option contracts (remaining years in parentheses, $5 per additional year when extended), $200 salary cap. Start: 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE
2015, 2017 Champs
QB: Jackson ($8 3yr+extension)
RB: Mixon ($5 1yr+extension), Chubb ($5 2yr+extension), Sanders ($5 3yr+ extension), Michel ($5 1yr+extension), Guice ($5 2yr+extension)
WR: Godwin ($1 2yr+extension), AJ Brown ($3 3yr+extension), Chark ($8 3yr+extension), M. Brown ($3 3y +extension), Isabella ($3 3yr+ extension)
TE: Kittle ($3, 2yr+extension), Henry ($1 2yr+extension), Goedert ($1 3yr+extension)
2020: 1.01, 1.02, 1.03, 2.01, 2.04, 2.10
2021: 1 1st
2022: 2 1st
2023: 1 1st
2015, 2017 Champs
QB: Jackson ($8 3yr+extension)
RB: Mixon ($5 1yr+extension), Chubb ($5 2yr+extension), Sanders ($5 3yr+ extension), Michel ($5 1yr+extension), Guice ($5 2yr+extension)
WR: Godwin ($1 2yr+extension), AJ Brown ($3 3yr+extension), Chark ($8 3yr+extension), M. Brown ($3 3y +extension), Isabella ($3 3yr+ extension)
TE: Kittle ($3, 2yr+extension), Henry ($1 2yr+extension), Goedert ($1 3yr+extension)
2020: 1.01, 1.02, 1.03, 2.01, 2.04, 2.10
2021: 1 1st
2022: 2 1st
2023: 1 1st
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Re: Play it safe when extending RBs?
Go long,and look to trade him with 2 years remaining, cash out on a younger cheap player and picks and keep restocking your dts. A stud rb at 15% of your cap isn't a huge number
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