What round would YOU draft Marshawn Lynch?

[_yeti]

Debate is raging in another thread specific to one person's team. Poll is the best way to settle this!

I am not taking him until the 3rd.

[Cowboysfan33]

I had a bunch of rookie/veteran drafts this past weekend and he went, 1.09, 2.01, 1.06, 2.01, 1.09 & 2.03. Those were all 12 team PPR leagues. I would take him around mid 2nd for a win-now team.

[jordanzs]

I took him at 2.4 for a win-now team.

In another league, I traded him for draft picks that became Marlon Mack, Chad Williams, and Jake Butt. I took some flack from a few league members. I'm not sure how it'll play out, but I have a lot of RBs on my roster so I can cover it.

[ninotoreS]

I brain-farted and thought this thread was referring to Paxton Lynch. Unfortunately, I only realized after voting. I don't see a way to change my vote.

I voted 'not interested'. Now that I understand it refers to Marshawn, I would vote for the 3rd round. Same as OP.

Even if Marshawn can turn back time to his '14 self and not his '15 self, don't doubt that Oakland will still find snaps to give to Richard and Washington, especially Richard. Lynch is definitely the leadback right now, but that probably isn't going to be anything like a workhorse role in Oakland. I'm guessing he'll average something like 13 carries a week. Despite the great offense in Oakland, Lynch may still only be a mid-low RB2 due to being in a committee, so I don't know that he's gonna be a true game-changer for win-now fantasy rosters.

[_yeti]

I brain-farted and thought this thread was referring to Paxton Lynch. Unfortunately, I only realized after voting. I don't see a way to change my vote.

I voted 'not interested'. Now that I understand it refers to Marshawn, I would vote for the 3rd round. Same as OP.

Even if Marshawn can turn back time to his '14 self and not his '15 self, don't doubt that Oakland will still find snaps to give to Richard and Washington, especially Richard. Lynch is definitely the leadback right now, but that probably isn't going to be anything like a workhorse role in Oakland. I'm guessing he'll average something like 13 carries a week. Despite the great offense in Oakland, Lynch may still only be a mid-low RB2 due to being in a committee, so I don't know that he's gonna be a true game-changer for win-now fantasy rosters.

Nice catch. I fixed the title and enabled vote changing on the poll

[skip]

Somewhere between the 3rd and not interested but for the sake of the poll I voted 3rd. Despite the number of leagues where he is being drafted even as early as the first round, I do not believe there are more than an owner or two in each league seriously looking at him until much later.

[Goddard]

Good to see no one's picked 1st round yet.

[jordanzs]

Out of curiousity, where will everyone be taking him in a redraft league? He was there in my current MFL10 in the 3rd, but I took Crowell instead. I don't think he'll wrap back to my pick in the 4th though.

Edit: I took Crowell at 3.7. Marshawn went at 3.8.

[ericanadian]

Back of the second. The draft is pretty deep this year and I just don't understand paying so much for a rental with so much risk in the offseason. You'll be able to get someone of his caliber mid-season for a late first/early second, so why pay the same price and take on the risk that he gets injured and you get nothing? If you need him to be competitive early, you're almost certainly not the team that should be wasting picks on Lynch.

[Space Cowboy]

Late second possibly, more than likely early third.

He went 1.11 in my most recent draft.

[_yeti]

Out of curiousity, where will everyone be taking him in a redraft league? He was there in my current MFL10 in the 3rd, but I took Crowell instead. I don't think he'll wrap back to my pick in the 4th though.

Edit: I took Crowell at 3.7. Marshawn went at 3.8.

Tbh I would still say the 4th or 5th round for me in a redraft. The reason is I am terrified of getting nothing out of my early round picks and want to insulate myself from danger with them and get a safe player (younger, not injury prone) who I can count on to hold up the team.

I think his dynasty and redraft value kind of aligns bc even in dynasty he is being drafted basically for the hopes of one big year and everything else on top of that isn't really that likely. Redraft is more comparable to a startup where he has to compete with all vets instead of rookies, a lot of which won't pan out, so it pushes him down a bit imo

[Madadamus]

If I am contending I'd take him in the mid 2nd round. I was able to get him in one spot in the late 3rd in a huge rebuild but I think that is pretty much an outlier. Even if you don't think he will last a full season, there will be opportunities to turn him into a 1st most likely.

[TTHTD]

If I'm competing and all the t2 RBs are gone I'm considering him. Probably around 2.03ish

[M-Dub]

I voted 2nd round. For a strong contender, the earliest I'd take him is probably 2.01. In a serious rebuild, the lowest I'd let him fall is the 3.01. In most other situations, mid/late 2nd is about where I'd start considering him.

[jcc6fd]

I'd be excited to take him in the mid second, but if you really want him you have to be prepared to take him early second and even then you still might not get him. Just not worried about taking him in the first because if he's taken there that likely means a better value is pushed to you in the second.

I get that there are reasons to doubt him, just know that if you're saying you wouldn't take him until the 3rd, you're effectively saying you're not interested because he won't be there. I also don't quite understand how a day 1 starting RB can only be worth a 3rd rounder despite his age/post retirement concerns. Who are you getting in the 3rd who even has a shot at being as productive and valuable as lynch? You can get anyone picked in the 3rd for lynch straight up later in the season if you want.