Which current NFL RBs will lose value to rookies?

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knuckles50
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Which current NFL RBs will lose value to rookies?

Postby knuckles50 » Fri Apr 07, 2017 3:05 pm

I think the rbs who lose the most value to rookies include Blount, JStew, Dion Lewis, Montgomery, Abdullah, Ware. Who else do you see in danger?
Team 1
12 team, 1/2 ppr 1 qb, 2 rbs, 3 wr, 1 flex, 1 te
QBs-Brees,Luck,Bridgewater
RBs- LeVeon,Ingram,R. Freeman,Thompson,Riddick,Conner,Walton,J. Jackson,Dixon
WRs- Evans,A Rob,Parker,Hurns,Sutton,Pettis,Moncrief,Treadwell,Sanu,Tavon,Dorsett,Carroo
TEs- Gronk,Kittle,Butt

Team 2
12 team 1 qb, 2rbs,v 3wrs, 1te
Qbs- Brees,Cam,Cousins,Jackson
Rbs- Gurley,Zeke,Kamara,McCaffery,Hunt,Shady
Wrs-A. Brown,Evans,C. Davis,Watkins,Goodwin,Woods,Washington,Treadwell,Jordy
Te- Gronk,Kittle,ASJ

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Re: Which current NFL RBs will lose value to rookies?

Postby knuckles50 » Fri Apr 07, 2017 3:12 pm

Forgot Gore.
Team 1
12 team, 1/2 ppr 1 qb, 2 rbs, 3 wr, 1 flex, 1 te
QBs-Brees,Luck,Bridgewater
RBs- LeVeon,Ingram,R. Freeman,Thompson,Riddick,Conner,Walton,J. Jackson,Dixon
WRs- Evans,A Rob,Parker,Hurns,Sutton,Pettis,Moncrief,Treadwell,Sanu,Tavon,Dorsett,Carroo
TEs- Gronk,Kittle,Butt

Team 2
12 team 1 qb, 2rbs,v 3wrs, 1te
Qbs- Brees,Cam,Cousins,Jackson
Rbs- Gurley,Zeke,Kamara,McCaffery,Hunt,Shady
Wrs-A. Brown,Evans,C. Davis,Watkins,Goodwin,Woods,Washington,Treadwell,Jordy
Te- Gronk,Kittle,ASJ

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Re: Which current NFL RBs will lose value to rookies?

Postby Space Cowboy » Fri Apr 07, 2017 3:24 pm

I'd add
CJA/Booker
Forte (not so much Powell for me)
Paul Perkins (will still have some luster)
All of Philly backfield
Doug Martin

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Re: Which current NFL RBs will lose value to rookies?

Postby GridironGuerilla » Fri Apr 07, 2017 3:27 pm

Rob Kelley, Spencer Ware, and Matt Forte.
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Re: Which current NFL RBs will lose value to rookies?

Postby Goddard » Fri Apr 07, 2017 3:30 pm

Just about any RB outside of the top 7 will take a hit in value if their team drafts a RB in the first 3-4 rounds. Even guys like Miller, Ajayi, McCoy, and Hyde can see a drop in ADP if that happened. Not saying a rookie is going to steal their jobs or even take away playing time, but people's perceptions will cause them to lose some value.

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Re: Which current NFL RBs will lose value to rookies?

Postby lukkynumber13 » Fri Apr 07, 2017 3:37 pm

Honestly I don't think Dion Lewis will lose any value. He already has lost value by his post season fumbles, James White's SB heroics, and most importantly, the signing of Burkhead.
TEAM A - 12T (22 R/U, 20 R/U, 19 R/U, 18 Champ, 17 R/U)
HERBERT, Baker
BIJAN/KAMARA/MIXON, A Jones
HILL/AJB/DK/G WILSON/D Adams, Pittman, Z Flowers, Evans
KITTLE
/
TEAM B - 16T, SF, TEP (22 R/U)
HURTS/MINSHEW, Cousins, D Jones
JT/JACOBS, Mostert, Gus E
HILL/MCLAURIN/DEEBO
KELCE/KITTLE, LaPorta
/
TEAM C - 14T, SF (Joined in 22)
GENO
HENRY/A JONES, Gus E
HILL/DIGGS/K ALLEN
WALLER
/
TEAM D - 14T, 1QB (Joined in 22)
MAHOMES, Goff
BIJAN/BREECE/POLLARD
CHASE/DIGGS/G WILSON/AIYUK, DJM, Pittman
KITTLE, Goedert
/
TEAM E - 14T, SF, 2TE (Started in 22)
MAHOMES/T-LAW, Carr
BIJAN/CMC/SAQUON/POLLARD, Hall
HILL/AIYUK/EVANS/GODWIN, Hollywood, Thielen
MCBRIDE/ENGRAM, Goedert, Chig
/
TEAM F - 16T (Joined in 23)
R WILSON, Minshew
SAQUON/KAMARA/MIXON, Monty
DIGGS/GODWIN/AIYUK/EVANS, Thielen, A Cooper
KELCE, Schultz
/
TEAM G - 12T, SF & TEP (Joined in 23)
HERBERT/TUA, Kyler
BIJAN/MIXON, Spears, J Warren
JJ/G WILSON/WADDLE/OLAVE, Godwin, J Reed
LAPORTA

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Re: Which current NFL RBs will lose value to rookies?

Postby Goddard » Fri Apr 07, 2017 4:11 pm

lukkynumber13 wrote: Fri Apr 07, 2017 3:37 pm Honestly I don't think Dion Lewis will lose any value. He already has lost value by his post season fumbles, James White's SB heroics, and most importantly, the signing of Burkhead.
That's true. I guess I was referring more to the starting RBs who currently have a defined role.

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Re: Which current NFL RBs will lose value to rookies?

Postby Cameron Giles » Fri Apr 07, 2017 4:17 pm

Wouldn't be surprised if Cincy drafts an RB. Hill has strictly been a volume runner after his rookie year and he's a free agent after the season.

Also, I agree that Rob Kelley is a strong sell if he wasn't already.

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Re: Which current NFL RBs will lose value to rookies?

Postby ericanadian » Fri Apr 07, 2017 4:34 pm

If Montgomery loses value, it won't be much. Most people are already pricing in a rookie being signed. I would say the same about Gore, Kelley and Forte.

I think with Hill's inconsistency and Gio's injury issues, Cincy will draft a running back. My guess is Hill is more likely to lose value in that situation.

Jordan Howard is probably anfairly high risk as well. The team will want a better third down option as Howard wasn't a great receiver and I don't see that being discussed at all. With it being John Fox coaching, you could end up with another DWilly/JStew situation.

I expect Detroit to grab someone.
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QB - Stafford, Stroud, Tune
RB - Swift, Hall, Penny, Bigsby, Ford
WR - Pittman, Olave, Di. Johnson, G. Wilson, J. Williams, Metchie, Robinson, M. Wilson
TE - Okonkwo, Schoonmaker
LB - Brooks, R. Smith, Phillips
DL - Crosby, Allen, Simmons
DB - D. James, Baker, Delpit
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Re: Which current NFL RBs will lose value to rookies?

Postby pokerface40 » Fri Apr 07, 2017 4:45 pm

Ingram. As an owner I'm a bit worried. They're bringing in AP for a visit next week, and with Hightower gone they could go RB early easily.

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Re: Which current NFL RBs will lose value to rookies?

Postby Madadamus » Fri Apr 07, 2017 5:05 pm

Lamar Miller
Mark Ingram
C.J. Anderson
Spencer Ware
Ameer Abdullah
Kenneth Dixon
Ty Montgomery
Giovani Bernard
Latavius Murray
Paul Perkins
T.J. Yeldon
Rob Kelley
Jeremy Hill
12 Team PPR Dynasty - DLFS
1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 2 RB/WR/TE, 1 QB/RB/WR/TE, 1 TE
QB: J. Burrow, M. Stafford, C. Wentz
RB: S. Barkley, D. Swift, J.K. Dobbins, C. Edwards-Helaire, R. Penny, G. Edwards, K. Drake
WR: T. Higgins, M. Evans, B. Aiyuk, C. Watson, K. Toney, M. Thomas, C. Ridley, C. Davis, J. Reagor
TE: D. Waller, E. Engram, H. Hurst, D. Njoku, G. Dulich, J. Akins
2023 Picks: 1st, 2nd, 2nd (mid), 3rd, 4th, 4th (mid)

12 Team PPR Dynasty
1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 2 RB/WR/TE, 1 QB/RB/WR/TE, 1 TE
QB: J. Herbert, M. Stafford, J. Winston, D. Lock, M. Mariota, J. Stidham, R. Fitzpatrick
RB: C. McCaffrey, A. Kamara, E. Elliott, J. Dobbin, J. Mixon, A. Mattison, J. White, L. Bell
WR: D. Moore, J. Jeudy, O. Beckham Jr., C. Claypool, C. Davis. D. Parker, L. Fitzgerald, B. Perriman, W. Snead
TE: E. Engram, C. Kmet, C. Herndon, K. Warring
2021 Picks: 1.10, 2.10, 3.10, 4.10

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Re: Which current NFL RBs will lose value to rookies?

Postby Valhalla » Fri Apr 07, 2017 5:14 pm

Another question: which team(s) may draft two backs? Like the Lacy Franklin draft that lowered both of their draft values

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Re: Which current NFL RBs will lose value to rookies?

Postby lukkynumber13 » Fri Apr 07, 2017 5:16 pm

ericanadian wrote: Fri Apr 07, 2017 4:34 pm If Montgomery loses value, it won't be much. Most people are already pricing in a rookie being signed. I would say the same about Gore, Kelley and Forte.
This is a very good point. If GB traded up for Fournette, or took a guy like Foreman or Perine in the 3rd, Monty will still have a Gio/Woodhead role most likely and that's all he's being valued at by most sane dynasty owners.

And for Indy, I expect Gore to be in the opposite (but similar situation). Unless we take a RB in the 1st round, or take Mixon in the 2nd, I fully expect Gore to lead a committee again. So a 4th/5th round selection of McNichols, Hunt, McGuire, Jamal Williams, etc really shouldn't change Gore's outlook a ton. Nobody is buying him for anything more than a cheap 1-year rental
TEAM A - 12T (22 R/U, 20 R/U, 19 R/U, 18 Champ, 17 R/U)
HERBERT, Baker
BIJAN/KAMARA/MIXON, A Jones
HILL/AJB/DK/G WILSON/D Adams, Pittman, Z Flowers, Evans
KITTLE
/
TEAM B - 16T, SF, TEP (22 R/U)
HURTS/MINSHEW, Cousins, D Jones
JT/JACOBS, Mostert, Gus E
HILL/MCLAURIN/DEEBO
KELCE/KITTLE, LaPorta
/
TEAM C - 14T, SF (Joined in 22)
GENO
HENRY/A JONES, Gus E
HILL/DIGGS/K ALLEN
WALLER
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TEAM D - 14T, 1QB (Joined in 22)
MAHOMES, Goff
BIJAN/BREECE/POLLARD
CHASE/DIGGS/G WILSON/AIYUK, DJM, Pittman
KITTLE, Goedert
/
TEAM E - 14T, SF, 2TE (Started in 22)
MAHOMES/T-LAW, Carr
BIJAN/CMC/SAQUON/POLLARD, Hall
HILL/AIYUK/EVANS/GODWIN, Hollywood, Thielen
MCBRIDE/ENGRAM, Goedert, Chig
/
TEAM F - 16T (Joined in 23)
R WILSON, Minshew
SAQUON/KAMARA/MIXON, Monty
DIGGS/GODWIN/AIYUK/EVANS, Thielen, A Cooper
KELCE, Schultz
/
TEAM G - 12T, SF & TEP (Joined in 23)
HERBERT/TUA, Kyler
BIJAN/MIXON, Spears, J Warren
JJ/G WILSON/WADDLE/OLAVE, Godwin, J Reed
LAPORTA

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Re: Which current NFL RBs will lose value to rookies?

Postby lukkynumber13 » Fri Apr 07, 2017 5:17 pm

Valhalla wrote: Fri Apr 07, 2017 5:14 pm Another question: which team(s) may draft two backs? Like the Lacy Franklin draft that lowered both of their draft values
Green Bay & Cincy both have quite a few draft picks, I believe...
TEAM A - 12T (22 R/U, 20 R/U, 19 R/U, 18 Champ, 17 R/U)
HERBERT, Baker
BIJAN/KAMARA/MIXON, A Jones
HILL/AJB/DK/G WILSON/D Adams, Pittman, Z Flowers, Evans
KITTLE
/
TEAM B - 16T, SF, TEP (22 R/U)
HURTS/MINSHEW, Cousins, D Jones
JT/JACOBS, Mostert, Gus E
HILL/MCLAURIN/DEEBO
KELCE/KITTLE, LaPorta
/
TEAM C - 14T, SF (Joined in 22)
GENO
HENRY/A JONES, Gus E
HILL/DIGGS/K ALLEN
WALLER
/
TEAM D - 14T, 1QB (Joined in 22)
MAHOMES, Goff
BIJAN/BREECE/POLLARD
CHASE/DIGGS/G WILSON/AIYUK, DJM, Pittman
KITTLE, Goedert
/
TEAM E - 14T, SF, 2TE (Started in 22)
MAHOMES/T-LAW, Carr
BIJAN/CMC/SAQUON/POLLARD, Hall
HILL/AIYUK/EVANS/GODWIN, Hollywood, Thielen
MCBRIDE/ENGRAM, Goedert, Chig
/
TEAM F - 16T (Joined in 23)
R WILSON, Minshew
SAQUON/KAMARA/MIXON, Monty
DIGGS/GODWIN/AIYUK/EVANS, Thielen, A Cooper
KELCE, Schultz
/
TEAM G - 12T, SF & TEP (Joined in 23)
HERBERT/TUA, Kyler
BIJAN/MIXON, Spears, J Warren
JJ/G WILSON/WADDLE/OLAVE, Godwin, J Reed
LAPORTA

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Re: Which current NFL RBs will lose value to rookies?

Postby TheDogPound » Fri Apr 07, 2017 5:47 pm

This is an interesting post. For me it's hard to definitively say who will lose value prior to the draft. I think it depends on what teams actually draft a RB that they inted to let compete not to mention between rounds 1-4.
I think we can definitely speculate the potential candidates but to definitively say so is tough.

Since we are on rbs what do we expect from Paul Perkins and Blial Powell? (Let me know if it's appropriate to ask this on this post. Sorry if it's not.)


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