How Do You Evauate Weekly Matchups?
Posted: Mon Oct 30, 2017 7:27 am
Im talking about non-stud LBs in tackle heavy formats, although i guess insight into other positions could be useful also. Obviously if you have Telvin Smith or Blake Martinez you just plug them in and let the chips fall where they may. But how do you choose between those outside the top 25 LBs that you need to use for BYE weeks or injuries? What factors are you using to make a decision? Or is IDP just as completely random as it starting to feel to me.
I thought starting Tahir Whitehead and Jarrad Davis vs Pitt would be a good matchup for me last night. This season Whitehead had scored 7, 16,14,16,10 and 10 points and Davis had scored 21,12,13 and 14 points. I knew two of Whiteheads bigger games came while Davis was out with his concussion, but they also played together in 4 games where they combined to score 28, 28, 23, and 24 points. But then they go out and throw out this stinker in which they combined for 2 solos, 3 assists and 7 points. The Steelers ran the ball 29 times, right at their weekly average of 29.4 rush attempts per game. They ran 60 total plays, which is slightly lower than their average of 65.4 but pretty close. IDPGuru had the Steelers in the middle of the pack for LB pts allowed (20th). I mean i wasnt expecting Whitehead and Davis to each record 12 solos, a couple of sacks, a turnover and to cure the common cold at halftime. But i just think 7 combined points is almost as unlikely in the other direction. I guess im just trying to figure out if there was any way to see this coming.
And yeah i get it weekly variance and unpredictability and all that. But surely there is some better method for picking between backups and fill ins than just plain ol' guessing.
I thought starting Tahir Whitehead and Jarrad Davis vs Pitt would be a good matchup for me last night. This season Whitehead had scored 7, 16,14,16,10 and 10 points and Davis had scored 21,12,13 and 14 points. I knew two of Whiteheads bigger games came while Davis was out with his concussion, but they also played together in 4 games where they combined to score 28, 28, 23, and 24 points. But then they go out and throw out this stinker in which they combined for 2 solos, 3 assists and 7 points. The Steelers ran the ball 29 times, right at their weekly average of 29.4 rush attempts per game. They ran 60 total plays, which is slightly lower than their average of 65.4 but pretty close. IDPGuru had the Steelers in the middle of the pack for LB pts allowed (20th). I mean i wasnt expecting Whitehead and Davis to each record 12 solos, a couple of sacks, a turnover and to cure the common cold at halftime. But i just think 7 combined points is almost as unlikely in the other direction. I guess im just trying to figure out if there was any way to see this coming.
And yeah i get it weekly variance and unpredictability and all that. But surely there is some better method for picking between backups and fill ins than just plain ol' guessing.