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by Cameron Giles
Tue Apr 30, 2024 10:30 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Post Draft top 12 1 QB
Replies: 52
Views: 1491

Re: Post Draft top 12 1 QB

Tank and MB missed time to injury, as I said it is a factor Who hasn't missed games because of injury? I never get why weight is the reason lighter players get injured, but "it's football" is the reason for everyone else. Anthony Richardson played in 4 games last year and he's built like ...
by Cameron Giles
Tue Apr 30, 2024 10:27 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Post Draft top 12 1 QB
Replies: 52
Views: 1491

Re: Post Draft top 12 1 QB

I feel like I have this conversation every year and it's never the issue people argue it to be. Yes, the NFL is giving more opportunities to smaller WR's. However, the average weight of the 2024 WR class was still 196 pounds. Xavier weighs 30 pounds less than that. To say that isn't a factor is har...
by Cameron Giles
Tue Apr 30, 2024 8:26 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Post Draft top 12 1 QB
Replies: 52
Views: 1491

Re: Post Draft top 12 1 QB

Tank Dell - 5'8, 165 Marquise Brown - 5'9, 166 Josh Downs - 5'9, 171 Xavier Worthy - 5'11, 165 Jordan Addison - 5'11, 175 DeVonta Smith - 6'0, 170 Unless someone thinks 5 lbs of water weight is the difference between these players games translating. Tank and MB missed time to injury, as I said it i...
by Cameron Giles
Tue Apr 30, 2024 8:11 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Post Draft top 12 1 QB
Replies: 52
Views: 1491

Re: Post Draft top 12 1 QB

Both these things can be true at the same time. Basically the only player who has ever been successful close to Xavier's weight is Smith. Tank Dell - 5'8, 165 Marquise Brown - 5'9, 166 Josh Downs - 5'9, 171 Xavier Worthy - 5'11, 165 Jordan Addison - 5'11, 175 DeVonta Smith - 6'0, 170 Unless someone...
by Cameron Giles
Tue Apr 30, 2024 8:04 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: George Pickens, where did we go wrong?
Replies: 390
Views: 21283

Re: George Pickens, where did we go wrong?

Fans on Arthur Smith’s own team rejoiced when he was fired. Arrow up for Pickens It's almost like people completely forgot about how much frustration there was in ATL the last few years Arthur Smith Offenses Ranked by Passing Attempts: 2019: 31st 2020: 30th 2021: 19th 2022: 31st 2023: 25th Highest ...
by Cameron Giles
Tue Apr 30, 2024 7:36 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Post Draft top 12 1 QB
Replies: 52
Views: 1491

Re: Post Draft top 12 1 QB

As we've been seeing in the modern NFL, this doesn't really matter much anymore I definitely think it still matters. It is not a complete deal breaker, but it is a factor. Devante Smith is the only real "success story" I can think of at this weight and draft capital. Tank Dell was on pace...
by Cameron Giles
Tue Apr 30, 2024 7:03 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Post Draft top 12 1 QB
Replies: 52
Views: 1491

Re: Post Draft top 12 1 QB

Xavier Worthy is going to be the most over drafted player in this rookie draft. I don't even think this is a bold take. Have we not learned that being drafted or traded to KC doesn't make you something you are not? We shouldn't act like Worthy is being launched purely because he went to Kansas City...
by Cameron Giles
Tue Apr 30, 2024 6:33 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: George Pickens, where did we go wrong?
Replies: 390
Views: 21283

Re: George Pickens, where did we go wrong?

But that's my point in a nutshell. Russ doesn't have to be above average for Pickens to have a good chance to outproduce his 2023 stats. Fields was not a better-than-average QB in 2023, yet he supported a WR6 season for DJM. AOC helped give Devante Adams a WR10 season. Minshew was largely responsib...
by Cameron Giles
Tue Apr 30, 2024 6:29 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Post Draft top 12 1 QB
Replies: 52
Views: 1491

Re: Post Draft top 12 1 QB

Xavier Worthy is going to be the most over drafted player in this rookie draft. I don't even think this is a bold take. Have we not learned that being drafted or traded to KC doesn't make you something you are not? We shouldn't act like Worthy is being launched purely because he went to Kansas City...
by Cameron Giles
Tue Apr 30, 2024 6:11 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: George Pickens, where did we go wrong?
Replies: 390
Views: 21283

Re: George Pickens, where did we go wrong?

While we're discussing the 2022-23 seasons of various QBs, it might be helpful to have some, you know, actual statistical evidence. 2022 & 2023 stats, averaged and extrapolated to one 17 game season Russ - 3736yds, 24TDs, 11INT Pickett - 3042yds, 9TDs, 9INT Naw. Not much difference between thes...
by Cameron Giles
Tue Apr 30, 2024 5:50 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: George Pickens, where did we go wrong?
Replies: 390
Views: 21283

Re: George Pickens, where did we go wrong?

I don't see the situation being that much better than last year to just assume Pickens vaults up to the next tier. I think it will be more of the same and probably more volatile. Staying away from Arthur Smith and Fields/Russ It's not really an assumption. He's got a (albeit slight) QB upgrade, and...
by Cameron Giles
Mon Apr 29, 2024 3:42 pm
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Predictions for the Draft
Replies: 435
Views: 7931

Re: Predictions for the Draft

I should have also stated, and I didn’t study 4th round rbs in particular, but in general, day 2 rbs are far better bets than day 3 rbs. I don’t have the exact numbers on 3rd vs 4th round though. To back this up, the Athletic did a study a few years ago looking at where Pro Bowlers come from at eac...
by Cameron Giles
Mon Apr 29, 2024 11:05 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Xavier Legette is your 1.1 now!
Replies: 51
Views: 5254

Re: Xavier Legette is your 1.1 now!

Good:
+ Got 1st round pedigree and a trade up

Bad:
- Came from the team that drafted Mingo six spots after a year ago

Half kidding with the last one.
by Cameron Giles
Mon Apr 29, 2024 8:59 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Post Draft top 12 1 QB
Replies: 52
Views: 1491

Re: Post Draft top 12 1 QB

Yeah, I don't see any way that Worthy is not a 1st rounder in rookie drafts, though it wasn't really clear if these are our own rankings or how we think drafts will go. KC has been sketchy with evaluating WR talent though outside of Rice. Worthy is very different though from what they usually pick....
by Cameron Giles
Mon Apr 29, 2024 8:55 am
Forum: Dynasty League Discussion
Topic: Post Draft top 12 1 QB
Replies: 52
Views: 1491

Re: Post Draft top 12 1 QB

That's what it feels like in 1QB after the first round. There's just a drastic dropoff in quality. I love these kinds of drafts. I see some opportunity for significant reward for those willing to dig deeper in their research. Yeah, I mean I haven’t done a deep dive on every rookie. I’m more speakin...